⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 4 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 5 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 6 James Wood 4 HRs · 7 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 8 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 9 Julio Rodríguez 4 HRs · 10 Ketel Marte 4 HRs · 11 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 4 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 5 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 6 James Wood 4 HRs · 7 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 8 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 9 Julio Rodríguez 4 HRs · 10 Ketel Marte 4 HRs · 11 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs
LAD
@
TOR
Rogers Centre · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.10×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
neutral
Combined
1.100
Wind
0 mph
dome
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Shohei Ohtani Shohei Ohtani 77 🟡 B · · 3 0.340 94.9 14.1% 29.4% 406 12.5% 12.5% 34.7% 30
2 Max Muncy Max Muncy 68 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 12 0.227 91.3 10.7% 16.8% 400 20.0% 20.0% 20.8% 42
3 Will Smith Will Smith 64 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 18 0.202 91.3 10.1% 13.3% 399 25.0% 25.0% 18.5% 25
4 Freddie Freeman Freddie Freeman 64 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 19 0.207 90.9 9.3% 15.1% 406 25.0% 25.0% 18.4% 41
5 Teoscar Hernandez Teoscar Hernandez 58 🟠 C · · 35 0.207 90.2 9.8% 17.7% 397 12.5% 12.5% 22.8% 23
6 Andy Pages Andy Pages 57 🟠 C · · 38 0.189 88.6 8.4% 14.1% 397 25.0% 25.0% 18.6% 32
7 Mookie Betts Mookie Betts 52 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 57 0.148 89.1 6.8% 8.2% 390 12.5% 12.5% 10.2% 26
8 Michael Conforto Michael Conforto 41 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 134 0.134 89.9 9.0% 10.3% 408 0.0% 0.0% 8.3% 5
9 Tommy Edman Tommy Edman 39 ⚪ D · · 147 0.156 88.3 6.2% 13.4% 392 0.0% 0.0% 11.1% 0
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 George Springer George Springer 65 🔵 C+ · · 15 0.251 90.0 9.6% 20.0% 409 20.0% 20.0% 27.1% 27
2 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 48 ⚪ D · · 85 0.175 92.0 8.3% 14.3% 405 10.0% 10.0% 10.9% 30
3 Addison Barger Addison Barger 45 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 95 0.211 91.7 8.1% 15.7% 403 0.0% 0.0% 13.8% 14
4 Andres Gimenez Andres Gimenez 44 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 106 0.103 86.3 4.1% 7.6% 396 12.5% 12.5% 7.8% 31
5 Bo Bichette Bo Bichette 38 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 152 0.172 91.0 6.7% 11.8% 397 0.0% 0.0% 9.8% 34
6 Alejandro Kirk Alejandro Kirk 37 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 155 0.140 91.1 7.6% 10.1% 402 11.1% 11.1% 8.3% 18
7 Nathan Lukes Nathan Lukes 29 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 198 0.152 87.9 5.2% 10.4% 391 0.0% 0.0% 8.1% 13
8 Ernie Clement Ernie Clement 26 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 220 0.121 86.6 3.7% 4.3% 388 0.0% 0.0% 4.5% 39
9 Myles Straw Myles Straw 23 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 224 0.105 87.2 4.7% 5.1% 386 0.0% 0.0% 4.9% 11
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