3
HRs allowed
5.7%
HR rate (pool)
18.9%
Overall HR/FB
4.81
FIP
3.75
xFIP
+1.06
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
86
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
Meltdown Risk
Vulnerability 86th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed
69.4%
Fly-ball rate
—
avg HR 105.0 EV · 401 ft
max EV allowed 112.8
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
7D · 1 HR
15D · 3 HR ↑
30D · 3 HR
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Garrett Crochet.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Fastball Hard
32.7%
82.9
28.8°
3
+1.6
Cutter Hard
25.2%
86.2
10.2°
1
-0.2
Sinker Hard
22.3%
81.9
6.3°
1
+1.4
Sweeper Breaking
14.8%
87.2
9.6°
1
+5.8
Changeup Offspeed
3.7%
83.7
5.0°
0
-0.8
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups53
HRs allowed (pool)3
Pool HR rate5.7%
Pool HR/game day0.5
Top-15 matchups6
HRs to top-150
Overall HR/FB18.9% 86
HR/9—
FIP4.81 75
xFIP3.75
FIP − xFIP+1.06 91
Barrel% allowed0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed69.4%
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-07-17
Fastball
Hard · 32.7% usage
+1.6
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against82.9 mph
Avg launch angle28.8°
HRs allowed3
Pitches196
Cutter
Hard · 25.2% usage
-0.2
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against86.2 mph
Avg launch angle10.2°
HRs allowed1
Pitches151
Sinker
Hard · 22.3% usage
+1.4
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against81.9 mph
Avg launch angle6.3°
HRs allowed1
Pitches134
Sweeper
Breaking · 14.8% usage
+5.8
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against87.2 mph
Avg launch angle9.6°
HRs allowed1
Pitches89
Changeup
Offspeed · 3.7% usage
-0.8
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against83.7 mph
Avg launch angle5.0°
HRs allowed0
Pitches22
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Garrett Crochet.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
3 allowed · scored pool
avg 105.0 EV · 401 ft
3 in last 30D
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 6 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-04-25
9
0
112.8
2026-04-19
9
1
105.6
2026-04-13
8
2
108.2
2026-04-07
9
0
99.5
2026-04-01
9
0
110.7
2026-03-26
9
0
104.7
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Garrett Crochet isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Wall-distance overlays aren't tracked yet.
Venue splits
his HR/9 by venue
Per-venue HR splits aren't tracked yet.