LongDong™ — DET @ BAL

DET

@ 12:35p

BAL

Camden Yards · 36 ranked batters

Park Factor

1.10×

Weather Mod

-2.0%

cold air · light crosswind · roof open

Combined

0.878

Temp

54.2°F

Wind

5.8 mph

cross

Roof

open

Brandon Young RHP

9 batters

#	Batter	Score	Tier	Odds	Form	Rank	ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg.	EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg.	Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg.	HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg.	HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg.	Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor.	14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form.	Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number.	BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1	Dillon Dingler	72	🟡 B	·	🌧️ COOL	12	0.267	90.1	10.5%	31.0%	401	17.0%	25.0%	37.9%	29
2	Zack Short	57	🟠 C	·	🌧️ COOL	57	0.215	91.1	8.9%	31.2%	·	0.0%	0.0%	24.7%	7
3	Matt Vierling	53	🟠 C	·	·	75	0.165	87.5	6.9%	14.3%	370	12.0%	18.2%	18.0%	28
4	Riley Greene	52	🟠 C	·	·	76	0.152	90.9	10.5%	9.7%	409	6.0%	0.0%	9.7%	31
5	Kevin McGonigle	44	⚪ D	·	🌧️ COOL	131	0.127	88.6	9.2%	4.3%	402	3.0%	8.3%	7.6%	35
6	Jake Rogers	40	⚪ D	·	❄ COLD	155	0.083	87.1	8.9%	0.0%	·	0.0%	0.0%	9.6%	4
7	Wenceel Pérez	36	⚪ D	·	❄ COLD	192	0.128	87.1	7.4%	17.6%	388	0.0%	0.0%	9.4%	29
8	Colt Keith	27	⚪ D	·	❄ COLD	244	0.060	88.9	6.1%	0.0%	·	0.0%	0.0%	7.0%	23
9	Zach McKinstry	26	⚪ D	·	🌧️ COOL	246	0.059	83.6	3.4%	5.6%	399	3.8%	0.0%	7.8%	33

Troy Melton RHP

9 batters

#	Batter	Score	Tier	Odds	Form	Rank	ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg.	EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg.	Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg.	HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg.	HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg.	Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor.	14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form.	Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number.	BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1	Adley Rutschman	72	🟡 B	·	🌤️ WARM	13	0.230	88.8	10.5%	21.1%	399	19.0%	28.6%	20.5%	33
2	Pete Alonso	70	🟡 B	·	·	18	0.216	95.0	12.6%	25.0%	391	18.0%	18.2%	20.5%	33
3	Samuel Basallo	70	🟡 B	·	🌤️ WARM	19	0.208	92.9	11.4%	28.6%	404	14.7%	20.0%	27.7%	19
4	Gunnar Henderson	62	🔵 C+	·	·	34	0.206	89.9	10.8%	16.7%	389	18.8%	9.1%	14.2%	38
5	Jackson Holliday	57	🟠 C	·	❄ COLD	59	0.152	93.2	15.5%	5.9%	400	0.0%	0.0%	11.1%	4
6	Colton Cowser	49	⚪ D	·	🌤️ WARM	95	0.086	86.4	10.2%	7.1%	394	5.6%	50.0%	13.2%	9
7	Blaze Alexander	40	⚪ D	·	🌤️ WARM	156	0.057	92.2	7.1%	0.0%	·	0.0%	0.0%	6.9%	12
8	Taylor Ward	39	⚪ D	·	🌧️ COOL	164	0.115	88.8	7.3%	4.2%	390	3.9%	9.1%	7.5%	25
9	Leody Taveras	37	⚪ D	·	❄ COLD	185	0.149	87.3	7.3%	15.8%	409	0.0%	0.0%	10.2%	19

Trevor Rogers LHP

9 batters

#	Batter	Score	Tier	Odds	Form	Rank	ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg.	EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg.	Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg.	HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg.	HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg.	Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor.	14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form.	Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number.	BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1	Dillon Dingler	68	🔵 C+	·	🌧️ COOL	22	0.267	90.1	9.8%	23.1%	401	17.0%	25.0%	31.5%	29
2	Zack Short	53	🟠 C	·	🌧️ COOL	73	0.215	91.1	8.3%	20.0%	·	0.0%	0.0%	19.8%	7
3	Matt Vierling	50	🟠 C	·	·	92	0.165	87.5	6.4%	9.1%	370	12.0%	18.2%	15.1%	28
4	Riley Greene	49	⚪ D	·	·	100	0.152	90.9	9.8%	16.7%	409	6.0%	0.0%	10.0%	31
5	Spencer Torkelson	48	⚪ D	·	❄ COLD	103	0.173	90.4	9.6%	9.1%	400	14.0%	8.3%	10.9%	25
6	Jahmai Jones	47	⚪ D	·	❄ COLD	107	0.142	92.5	9.9%	25.0%	410	0.0%	0.0%	13.8%	6
7	Kevin McGonigle	41	⚪ D	·	🌧️ COOL	147	0.127	88.6	8.5%	9.1%	402	3.0%	8.3%	7.7%	35
8	Hao-Yu Lee	36	⚪ D	·	❄ COLD	193	0.127	88.8	9.1%	9.1%	402	0.0%	0.0%	8.3%	15
9	Wenceel Pérez	33	⚪ D	·	❄ COLD	218	0.128	87.1	6.9%	9.1%	388	0.0%	0.0%	8.3%	29

Framber Valdez LHP

9 batters

#	Batter	Score	Tier	Odds	Form	Rank	ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg.	EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg.	Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg.	HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg.	HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg.	Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor.	14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form.	Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number.	BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1	Adley Rutschman	65	🔵 C+	·	🌤️ WARM	26	0.230	88.8	7.6%	20.0%	399	19.0%	28.6%	18.9%	33
2	Pete Alonso	62	🔵 C+	·	·	33	0.216	95.0	9.2%	11.1%	391	18.0%	18.2%	15.7%	33
3	Gunnar Henderson	57	🟠 C	·	·	58	0.206	89.9	7.8%	50.0%	389	18.8%	9.1%	18.7%	38
4	Jeremiah Jackson	53	🟠 C	·	🔥 HOT	72	0.174	89.1	7.2%	20.0%	396	11.1%	0.0%	11.7%	21
5	Tyler O'Neill	39	⚪ D	·	·	170	0.088	88.7	5.5%	0.0%	397	12.5%	25.0%	6.3%	21
6	Blaze Alexander	36	⚪ D	·	🌤️ WARM	200	0.057	92.2	5.2%	0.0%	·	0.0%	0.0%	6.3%	12
7	Taylor Ward	34	⚪ D	·	🌧️ COOL	210	0.115	88.8	5.3%	8.3%	390	3.9%	9.1%	7.5%	25
8	Weston Wilson	34	⚪ D	·	🌧️ COOL	211	0.139	86.5	5.2%	16.7%	363	0.0%	0.0%	15.1%	10
9	Leody Taveras	32	⚪ D	·	❄ COLD	223	0.149	87.3	5.3%	0.0%	409	0.0%	0.0%	7.2%	19

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