⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 4 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 5 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 6 James Wood 4 HRs · 7 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 8 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 9 Julio Rodríguez 4 HRs · 10 Ketel Marte 4 HRs · 11 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 4 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 5 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 6 James Wood 4 HRs · 7 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 8 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 9 Julio Rodríguez 4 HRs · 10 Ketel Marte 4 HRs · 11 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs
CIN
@
MIA
loanDepot Park · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.09×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
neutral
Combined
1.090
Wind
0 mph
dome
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Tyler Stephenson Tyler Stephenson 63 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 22 0.191 90.5 11.1% 18.3% 387 11.1% 11.1% 24.4% 18
2 Elly De La Cruz Elly De La Cruz 63 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 23 0.176 91.0 9.4% 15.7% 405 22.2% 22.2% 20.8% 29
3 Noelvi Marte Noelvi Marte 52 🟠 C · ❄ COLD 53 0.186 88.5 8.8% 15.4% 406 0.0% 0.0% 16.1% 7
4 Spencer Steer Spencer Steer 52 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 56 0.173 87.3 8.1% 12.1% 388 0.0% 0.0% 10.6% 24
5 Matt McLain Matt McLain 50 🟠 C · 🔥 HOT 73 0.124 88.8 8.1% 9.9% 391 0.0% 0.0% 7.3% 25
6 Austin Hays Austin Hays 49 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 79 0.187 88.8 9.5% 14.7% 396 11.1% 11.1% 12.8% 20
7 Gavin Lux Gavin Lux 34 ⚪ D · · 178 0.105 88.3 5.6% 5.3% 370 0.0% 0.0% 6.7% 0
8 TJ Friedl TJ Friedl 28 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 204 0.117 87.1 4.8% 8.2% 385 0.0% 0.0% 6.7% 24
9 Santiago Espinal Santiago Espinal 21 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 235 0.040 86.5 2.5% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 1.1% 8
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Kyle Stowers Kyle Stowers 57 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 39 0.256 91.1 12.3% 22.9% 395 0.0% 0.0% 16.8% 30
2 Liam Hicks Liam Hicks 53 🟠 C · 🔥 HOT 50 0.099 84.6 5.3% 6.4% 377 37.5% 37.5% 8.0% 25
3 Otto Lopez Otto Lopez 45 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 101 0.121 88.5 7.5% 9.5% 402 11.1% 11.1% 5.8% 30
4 Agustin Ramirez Agustin Ramirez 41 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 133 0.182 90.8 9.4% 13.9% 410 0.0% 0.0% 9.7% 21
5 Eric Wagaman Eric Wagaman 41 ⚪ D · · 137 0.128 91.0 7.4% 6.6% 417 0.0% 0.0% 6.0% 0
6 Connor Norby Connor Norby 40 ⚪ D · · 145 0.138 88.3 8.7% 9.9% 396 0.0% 0.0% 6.2% 21
7 Dane Myers Dane Myers 34 ⚪ D · · 179 0.091 90.7 7.9% 7.7% 398 0.0% 0.0% 5.2% 14
8 Xavier Edwards Xavier Edwards 33 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 185 0.070 86.8 2.5% 2.2% 378 0.0% 0.0% 2.8% 34
9 Javier Sanoja Javier Sanoja 32 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 189 0.153 88.5 3.8% 5.9% 379 0.0% 0.0% 5.3% 21
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