⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 4 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 5 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 6 James Wood 4 HRs · 7 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 8 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 9 Julio Rodríguez 4 HRs · 10 Ketel Marte 4 HRs · 11 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 4 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 5 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 6 James Wood 4 HRs · 7 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 8 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 9 Julio Rodríguez 4 HRs · 10 Ketel Marte 4 HRs · 11 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs
CHC
@
TB
Tropicana Field · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.99×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
neutral
Combined
0.990
Wind
0 mph
dome
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Junior Caminero Junior Caminero 63 🔵 C+ · · 24 0.271 92.4 7.0% 24.5% 392 25.0% 25.0% 18.8% 34
2 Jonathan Aranda Jonathan Aranda 51 🟠 C · · 62 0.173 93.0 6.7% 14.7% 398 25.0% 25.0% 14.6% 34
3 Yandy Diaz Yandy Diaz 51 🟠 C · · 66 0.182 93.0 5.4% 18.2% 379 33.3% 33.3% 11.4% 36
4 Brandon Lowe Brandon Lowe 47 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 88 0.221 91.1 6.7% 22.0% 400 12.5% 12.5% 22.8% 27
5 Christopher Morel Christopher Morel 41 ⚪ D · · 132 0.176 91.8 7.2% 14.5% 404 0.0% 0.0% 10.9% 0
6 Josh Lowe Josh Lowe 40 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 143 0.146 88.6 4.5% 12.9% 392 0.0% 0.0% 7.7% 18
7 Taylor Walls Taylor Walls 26 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 219 0.099 87.0 3.4% 4.8% 388 0.0% 0.0% 4.7% 3
8 Jake Mangum Jake Mangum 16 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 239 0.072 87.3 3.0% 4.1% 405 0.0% 0.0% 3.5% 20
9 Chandler Simpson Chandler Simpson 15 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 240 0.051 84.3 0.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 0.6% 36
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Ian Happ Ian Happ 61 🔵 C+ · 🔥 HOT 29 0.178 90.0 8.1% 13.3% 393 50.0% 50.0% 17.8% 22
2 Seiya Suzuki Seiya Suzuki 52 🟠 C · · 52 0.233 91.3 10.2% 16.5% 398 0.0% 0.0% 19.2% 0
3 Matt Shaw Matt Shaw 52 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 55 0.168 84.9 6.6% 10.8% 387 33.3% 33.3% 14.5% 25
4 Dansby Swanson Dansby Swanson 51 🟠 C · · 67 0.173 90.5 8.6% 15.5% 403 20.0% 20.0% 11.2% 20
5 Michael Busch Michael Busch 49 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 74 0.261 92.2 10.4% 20.9% 397 0.0% 0.0% 18.2% 29
6 Carson Kelly Carson Kelly 44 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 104 0.179 88.8 7.8% 13.6% 386 0.0% 0.0% 10.7% 21
7 Pete Crow-Armstrong Pete Crow-Armstrong 43 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 110 0.234 89.5 9.0% 14.2% 395 0.0% 0.0% 14.3% 28
8 Kyle Tucker Kyle Tucker 41 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 131 0.198 90.1 8.2% 11.8% 393 0.0% 0.0% 11.1% 30
9 Nico Hoerner Nico Hoerner 28 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 212 0.097 86.7 3.8% 3.7% 379 0.0% 0.0% 4.1% 29
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