⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 4 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 5 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 6 James Wood 4 HRs · 7 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 8 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 9 Julio Rodríguez 4 HRs · 10 Ketel Marte 4 HRs · 11 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 4 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 5 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 6 James Wood 4 HRs · 7 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 8 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 9 Julio Rodríguez 4 HRs · 10 Ketel Marte 4 HRs · 11 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs
DET
@
MIN
Target Field · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.95×
Weather Mod
-3.0%
cold air · light wind in · roof open
Combined
0.665
Temp
26.4°F
Wind
6.6 mph
in
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Matt Wallner Matt Wallner 64 🔵 C+ · · 17 0.262 91.0 10.6% 19.6% 406 33.3% 33.3% 25.3% 22
2 Byron Buxton Byron Buxton 50 🟠 C · ❄ COLD 69 0.287 92.5 11.9% 21.3% 406 0.0% 0.0% 15.6% 27
3 Royce Lewis Royce Lewis 42 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 125 0.152 89.8 8.4% 9.6% 402 22.2% 22.2% 11.0% 19
4 Ryan Jeffers Ryan Jeffers 37 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 160 0.131 89.3 7.1% 7.0% 411 0.0% 0.0% 4.8% 20
5 Luke Keaschall Luke Keaschall 32 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 188 0.143 86.2 6.5% 7.7% 399 11.1% 11.1% 5.5% 37
6 Trevor Larnach Trevor Larnach 31 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 191 0.153 90.9 7.6% 12.0% 405 0.0% 0.0% 7.3% 16
7 Brooks Lee Brooks Lee 30 ⚪ D · · 195 0.133 88.6 6.9% 10.3% 383 0.0% 0.0% 7.0% 17
8 Edouard Julien Edouard Julien 28 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 206 0.104 89.2 9.9% 10.3% 391 0.0% 0.0% 5.8% 11
9 Christian Vazquez Christian Vazquez 22 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 228 0.084 85.9 5.5% 4.1% 386 14.3% 14.3% 5.3% 14
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Kerry Carpenter Kerry Carpenter 63 🔵 C+ · · 21 0.245 91.4 9.5% 17.3% 391 22.2% 22.2% 25.6% 20
2 Dillon Dingler Dillon Dingler 49 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 81 0.147 90.0 8.1% 11.1% 389 11.1% 11.1% 12.3% 20
3 Riley Greene Riley Greene 47 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 89 0.235 89.9 11.1% 22.9% 397 0.0% 0.0% 16.7% 33
4 Spencer Torkelson Spencer Torkelson 45 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 97 0.217 90.2 9.9% 15.0% 394 0.0% 0.0% 12.5% 19
5 Colt Keith Colt Keith 44 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 108 0.157 90.0 8.1% 10.7% 390 0.0% 0.0% 7.6% 25
6 Zach McKinstry Zach McKinstry 43 ⚪ D · · 113 0.179 85.7 6.6% 10.3% 376 11.1% 11.1% 10.8% 16
7 Wenceel Perez Wenceel Perez 42 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 124 0.186 90.3 8.0% 11.0% 385 0.0% 0.0% 11.5% 3
8 Gleyber Torres Gleyber Torres 37 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 157 0.132 90.0 7.7% 9.0% 400 11.1% 11.1% 5.9% 26
9 Javier Baez Javier Baez 28 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 203 0.141 88.2 6.3% 10.4% 391 0.0% 0.0% 6.8% 15
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