BOS
@
—
CIN
Park Factor
1.18×
Weather Mod
-3.0%
cold air · light wind in · roof open
Combined
0.826
Temp
41.5°F
Wind
6.0 mph
in
Roof
open
Brady Singer
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Wilyer Abreu | 60 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 16 | 0.223 | 90.8 | 10.8% | 15.2% | 400 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 14.5% | 21 |
| 2 |
|
Carlos Narvaez | 53 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 45 | 0.179 | 91.1 | 9.2% | 13.6% | 387 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 13.8% | 22 |
| 3 |
|
Romy Gonzalez | 53 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 46 | 0.178 | 93.3 | 10.9% | 12.7% | 413 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 13.3% | 7 |
| 4 |
|
Trevor Story | 50 | 🟠 C | · | 🔥 HOT | 68 | 0.170 | 91.4 | 9.6% | 15.2% | 388 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 14.5% | 2 |
| 5 |
|
Roman Anthony | 49 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 73 | 0.171 | 94.5 | 12.1% | 14.8% | 406 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 14.4% | 12 |
| 6 |
|
Alex Bregman | 49 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 74 | 0.189 | 90.1 | 7.9% | 11.2% | 386 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 12.5% | 3 |
| 7 |
|
Ceddanne Rafaela ⚡ | 48 | ⚪ D | · | · | 82 | 0.165 | 88.3 | 9.3% | 9.3% | 391 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.4% | 0 |
| 8 |
|
Jarren Duran | 48 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 83 | 0.185 | 91.8 | 9.6% | 9.0% | 401 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.2% | 11 |
| 9 |
|
Abraham Toro | 40 | ⚪ D | · | · | 153 | 0.131 | 86.3 | 6.5% | 8.5% | 387 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.9% | 0 |
Sonny Gray
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Noelvi Marte | 56 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 25 | 0.186 | 88.5 | 9.4% | 15.4% | 406 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 17.6% | 43 |
| 2 |
|
Tyler Stephenson | 55 | 🟠 C | · | 🔥 HOT | 29 | 0.191 | 90.5 | 11.9% | 18.3% | 387 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 19.2% | 2 |
| 3 |
|
Elly De La Cruz | 50 | 🟠 C | · | · | 65 | 0.176 | 91.0 | 10.0% | 15.7% | 405 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 17.8% | 0 |
| 4 |
|
Spencer Steer ⚡ | 50 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 66 | 0.173 | 87.3 | 8.6% | 12.1% | 388 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 15.6% | 10 |
| 5 |
|
Austin Hays | 48 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 79 | 0.187 | 88.8 | 10.1% | 14.7% | 396 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 17.2% | 16 |
| 6 |
|
TJ Friedl | 38 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 167 | 0.117 | 87.1 | 5.1% | 8.2% | 385 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 12.9% | 33 |
| 7 |
|
Matt McLain | 36 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 185 | 0.124 | 88.8 | 8.7% | 9.9% | 391 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 14.1% | 12 |
| 8 |
|
Gavin Lux | 35 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 190 | 0.105 | 88.3 | 5.9% | 5.3% | 370 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.3% | 7 |
| 9 |
|
Santiago Espinal | 21 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 246 | 0.040 | 86.5 | 2.6% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 2.2% | 5 |