⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Freddie Freeman 4 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 8 Wenceel Pérez 4 HRs · 9 Hunter Goodman 4 HRs · 10 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 11 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 12 James Wood 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Freddie Freeman 4 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 8 Wenceel Pérez 4 HRs · 9 Hunter Goodman 4 HRs · 10 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 11 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 12 James Wood 4 HRs
BOS
@
CIN
Great American Ball Park · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.18×
Weather Mod
-3.0%
cold air · light wind in · roof open
Combined
0.826
Temp
41.5°F
Wind
6.0 mph
in
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Wilyer Abreu Wilyer Abreu 60 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 16 0.223 90.8 10.8% 15.2% 400 0.0% 0.0% 14.5% 21
2 Carlos Narvaez Carlos Narvaez 53 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 45 0.179 91.1 9.2% 13.6% 387 0.0% 0.0% 13.8% 22
3 Romy Gonzalez Romy Gonzalez 53 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 46 0.178 93.3 10.9% 12.7% 413 0.0% 0.0% 13.3% 7
4 Trevor Story Trevor Story 50 🟠 C · 🔥 HOT 68 0.170 91.4 9.6% 15.2% 388 0.0% 0.0% 14.5% 2
5 Roman Anthony Roman Anthony 49 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 73 0.171 94.5 12.1% 14.8% 406 0.0% 0.0% 14.4% 12
6 Alex Bregman Alex Bregman 49 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 74 0.189 90.1 7.9% 11.2% 386 0.0% 0.0% 12.5% 3
7 Ceddanne Rafaela Ceddanne Rafaela 48 ⚪ D · · 82 0.165 88.3 9.3% 9.3% 391 0.0% 0.0% 11.4% 0
8 Jarren Duran Jarren Duran 48 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 83 0.185 91.8 9.6% 9.0% 401 0.0% 0.0% 11.2% 11
9 Abraham Toro Abraham Toro 40 ⚪ D · · 153 0.131 86.3 6.5% 8.5% 387 0.0% 0.0% 10.9% 0
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Noelvi Marte Noelvi Marte 56 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 25 0.186 88.5 9.4% 15.4% 406 0.0% 0.0% 17.6% 43
2 Tyler Stephenson Tyler Stephenson 55 🟠 C · 🔥 HOT 29 0.191 90.5 11.9% 18.3% 387 0.0% 0.0% 19.2% 2
3 Elly De La Cruz Elly De La Cruz 50 🟠 C · · 65 0.176 91.0 10.0% 15.7% 405 0.0% 0.0% 17.8% 0
4 Spencer Steer Spencer Steer 50 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 66 0.173 87.3 8.6% 12.1% 388 0.0% 0.0% 15.6% 10
5 Austin Hays Austin Hays 48 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 79 0.187 88.8 10.1% 14.7% 396 0.0% 0.0% 17.2% 16
6 TJ Friedl TJ Friedl 38 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 167 0.117 87.1 5.1% 8.2% 385 0.0% 0.0% 12.9% 33
7 Matt McLain Matt McLain 36 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 185 0.124 88.8 8.7% 9.9% 391 0.0% 0.0% 14.1% 12
8 Gavin Lux Gavin Lux 35 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 190 0.105 88.3 5.9% 5.3% 370 0.0% 0.0% 10.3% 7
9 Santiago Espinal Santiago Espinal 21 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 246 0.040 86.5 2.6% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 2.2% 5
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