BAL
@
4:10p
LAD
Stadium Conditions
Dodger Stadium
First pitch 4:10p
· roof open
Park 1.23×
Wind 7 mph out
71°F
open
+15
8 mph · out
81°F
4:10p
Strong boost for HR environment
+15
8 mph · out
81°F
5:10p
Strong boost for HR environment
+15
8 mph · out
81°F
6:10p
Strong boost for HR environment
+15
8 mph · out
81°F
7:10p
Strong boost for HR environment
+15
8 mph · out
81°F
8:10p
Strong boost for HR environment
⚪ Boost · Combined 1.47
71°F, wind 7 mph S (out) — modifier: +2. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Shohei Ohtani | 77 | 🟡 B | · | 🔥 HOT | 5 | 0.247 | 93.8 | 11.1% | 23.3% vs RHP | 404 | 18.3% | 50.0% | 33.0% | 23 |
| 2 |
|
Max Muncy | 75 | 🟡 B | · | 🌧️ COOL | 6 | 0.250 | 90.4 | 10.6% | 29.1% vs RHP | 408 | 19.8% | 30.8% | 35.0% | 48 |
| 3 |
|
Ryan Ward | 70 | 🟡 B | · | · | 14 | 0.283 | 89.6 | 8.4% | 42.9% vs RHP | 394 | 25.0% | 0.0% | 39.5% | 17 |
| 4 |
|
Freddie Freeman | 60 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 48 | 0.196 | 90.7 | 9.2% | 17.3% vs RHP | 393 | 13.9% | 16.7% | 15.9% | 37 |
| 5 |
|
Andy Pages | 59 | 🟠 C | · | ❄ COLD | 54 | 0.212 | 89.5 | 8.0% | 27.3% vs RHP | 390 | 16.4% | 9.1% | 17.8% | 38 |
| 6 |
|
Mookie Betts | 54 | 🟠 C | · | · | 75 | 0.176 | 89.8 | 7.7% | 16.2% vs RHP | 385 | 8.8% | 18.2% | 13.5% | 39 |
| 7 |
|
Kyle Tucker | 44 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 128 | 0.138 | 88.8 | 6.1% | 10.4% vs RHP | 400 | 5.5% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 29 |
| 8 |
|
Alex Freeland ⚡ | 40 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 145 | 0.113 | 89.6 | 6.9% | 11.1% vs RHP | 373 | 3.8% | 0.0% | 8.9% | 18 |
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Pete Alonso | 73 | 🟡 B | · | 🌧️ COOL | 9 | 0.217 | 94.5 | 11.2% | 28.6% vs RHP | 397 | 19.7% | 30.8% | 32.2% | 32 |
| 2 |
|
Gunnar Henderson | 67 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 19 | 0.207 | 89.5 | 9.8% | 19.2% vs RHP | 388 | 20.3% | 23.1% | 32.0% | 36 |
| 3 |
|
Colton Cowser | 62 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 35 | 0.167 | 86.2 | 11.2% | 24.1% vs RHP | 418 | 17.1% | 18.2% | 27.3% | 24 |
| 4 |
|
Samuel Basallo | 62 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌧️ COOL | 37 | 0.194 | 91.5 | 11.1% | 24.3% vs RHP | 400 | 13.2% | 10.0% | 18.9% | 27 |
| 5 |
|
Coby Mayo ⚡ | 60 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌧️ COOL | 45 | 0.179 | 91.2 | 10.2% | 12.5% vs RHP | 407 | 14.8% | 12.5% | 18.7% | 14 |
| 6 |
|
Jeremiah Jackson | 56 | 🟠 C | · | ❄ COLD | 70 | 0.169 | 89.3 | 9.0% | 23.3% vs RHP | 391 | 11.1% | 20.0% | 17.6% | 7 |
| 7 |
|
Blaze Alexander | 43 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 132 | 0.108 | 92.4 | 8.2% | 7.7% vs RHP | 393 | 4.3% | 0.0% | 8.8% | 28 |
| 8 |
|
Leody Taveras | 41 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 138 | 0.126 | 87.3 | 6.9% | 10.3% vs RHP | 409 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.7% | 30 |
| 9 |
|
Taylor Ward | 40 | ⚪ D | · | · | 146 | 0.091 | 89.5 | 7.0% | 4.7% vs RHP | 386 | 3.9% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 42 |