Rafael Marchán
PHI
· 12 appearances tracked
1
HRs
8.3%
HR Rate
7.7%
Avg HR/FB
85.2
Avg EV
0.068
ISO
#60
Best Rank
HR Profile
Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
No HR profile for this matchup yet.
The percentile ladder populates once this batter is on a scored slate.
Pitch Analysis
season · as of 2026-09-23
Pitch
Seen
Barrel%
HR
K%
Fastball
60.0%
2
Breaking
25.3%
0
Offspeed
14.7%
0
All
100%
2.6%
2
15.8%
Barrel vs. Whiff
BRL
K
Fastball
Breaking
Offspeed
Crushes the fastball — whiffs climb on breaking & offspeed.
K% shown per family; true swing-whiff pending.
Batter vs. Pitcher
head-to-head
NO SAMPLE · 0 PA
—
AVG
—
SLG
—
HR
No probable pitcher set for this matchup. Lean on the season profile and the modifiers below.
Modifiers
0 of 4 active
Ballpark —
Pitcher form —
Platoon —
Weather —
Edge by rate
· batter ●
vs pitcher-allowed ●
K%
15.8
vs
—
Batter rates are season-to-date; pitcher-allowed shown where tracked.
HR Days
recent home runs
No home runs captured on a scored slate yet.
All Appearances
12 tracked · 1 HR · 0 top‑50
Date
Opp · Pitcher
BIP
Max EV
Result
HR
Sep 10
vs HOU · Cristian Javier
1
55.1
1 BIP
Jul 22
vs LAD · Eric Lauer
3
85.7
3 BIP
Jul 10
@ DET · Jack Flaherty
4
80.4
4 BIP
Jul 2
vs PIT · Jared Jones
2
88.0
2 BIP
Jun 27
@ NYM · Christian Scott
3
97.4
3 BIP
Jun 22
@ WSH · Foster Griffin
3
98.4
3 BIP
Jun 14
@ MIL · Kyle Harrison
3
84.5
3 BIP
Jun 7
vs CWS · CWS Bullpen Proxy
4
100.5
HR
4 BIP
May 25
@ SD · Griffin Canning
2
95.7
2 BIP
May 19
vs CIN · Chase Burns
3
88.3
3 BIP
Apr 30
vs SF · Logan Webb
3
81.1
3 BIP
Apr 26
@ ATL · Chris Sale
2
100.0
2 BIP
Ballpark
park factor · wind · spray
Ballpark conditions unavailable — this batter isn’t on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
TONIGHT
board — not posted yet
next game Wed 9/23
Dueness now
—
fewer than 3 HRs — not enough to read a rhythm
Cadence
—
median between HRs, game-days
Current gap
—
since his last HR, Jun 7
Season
1 HR
12 games · 0 HR last 14d
Rhythm tightness
his gaps between HRs, in game-days — tight columns = metronome, spread = streaky
0 gaps on record — not enough to read a rhythm (needs 3+ HRs).
dueness — · honest empty state, never a fake number
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
Rhythm observation, not a prediction — the “g+n” counters and crossing marks only read his own history. See tonight’s board for the model’s actual ranking. Model picks · For entertainment.
Common questions about Rafael Marchán
Will Rafael Marchán hit a home run today?
Rafael Marchán is not on today's TheHomeRuns slate. This season he has homered 1 times in 12 scored games (about 8% of games). Check back when he next appears on the daily board.
How often does Rafael Marchán hit home runs?
Across 12 scored games this season, Rafael Marchán has 1 home runs — one every 12.0 games, or about 8% of his scored games.
Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.