Miguel Vargas
RHB
CWS
· 105 appearances tracked
23
HRs
21.9%
HR Rate
19.6%
Avg HR/FB
89.8
Avg EV
0.229
ISO
#1
Best Rank
HR Profile
Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
ISO0.248
Avg EV90.7
Barrel%11.7%
HR/FB vs LHP28.9%
Avg HR Dist393
Match%34.2%
Season HR%
21.9%
14D Pace
27.3%
Pitch Analysis
season · as of 2026-08-17
Pitch
Seen
Barrel%
HR
K%
Fastball
60.9%
19
Breaking
30.7%
5
Offspeed
8.4%
3
All
100%
14.5%
27
18.0%
Barrel vs. Whiff
BRL
K
Fastball
Breaking
Offspeed
Crushes the fastball — whiffs climb on breaking & offspeed.
Batter vs. Pitcher
vs Shota Imanaga · LHP · CWS
SMALL SAMPLE · 2 PA · since 2025
.500
AVG
.500
SLG
0
HR
1-for-2 across 2 plate appearances since 2025. Thin sample — lean on the season profile.
Modifiers
3 of 4 active
Wrigley +HR
Pitcher form Cold
Platoon Edge
Weather Neutral
Edge by rate
· batter ●
vs pitcher-allowed ●
Barrel%
11.7
vs
—
HR/FB
28.9
vs
19.8 ▲ edge
K%
18.0
vs
—
Batter rates are season-to-date; pitcher-allowed shown where tracked. HR/FB compared head-to-head.
HR Days
23 this season · avg 388 ft
Date
Opp · Pitcher
Pitch
EV
Dist
Apr 27
Jack Kochanowicz · Rate Field
—
104.0
401.0
May 15
Edward Cabrera · Rate Field
—
101.8
348.0
May 16
Jameson Taillon · Rate Field
—
108.4
421.0
May 24
@ SF · Robbie Ray
—
99.8
378.0
May 29
vs DET · Troy Melton
—
102.3
391
Jun 1
@ MIN · Joe Ryan
—
102.9
363
Jun 9
vs ATL · Grant Holmes
—
109.0
377
Jun 26
vs KC · Mitch Spence
—
100.7
372
Jun 28
vs KC · Luinder Avila
—
105.1
407
Jul 3
@ CLE · Gavin Williams
—
106.3
374
Jul 10
vs ATH · Carlos Cortes
—
101.3
384
Jul 26
vs HOU · Ronel Blanco
—
102.3
393
Aug 2
@ TB · Chris Roycroft
—
104.9
413
Aug 11
vs CIN · Nick Lodolo
—
106.6
407
Aug 14
@ DET · Ty Madden
—
100.7
397
Aug 16
@ DET · Jacob Waguespack
—
98.0
381
HR by month
Jun
Jul
Aug
All Appearances
105 tracked · 23 HR · 70 top‑50
Date
Opp · Pitcher
BIP
Max EV
Result
HR
Aug 16
@ DET · Drew Anderson
3
98.0
HR
3 BIP
Aug 15
@ DET · Troy Melton
3
109.8
3 BIP
Aug 14
@ DET · DET Bullpen Proxy
5
104.7
HR
5 BIP
Aug 13
vs CIN · Andrew Abbott
4
99.1
4 BIP
Aug 11
vs CIN · Nick Lodolo
4
106.6
HR
4 BIP
Aug 9
vs CLE · Joey Cantillo
3
93.1
3 BIP
Aug 8
vs CLE · Gavin Williams
3
96.2
3 BIP
Aug 7
vs CLE · Parker Messick
2
91.3
2 BIP
Aug 6
@ BOS · Ranger Suarez
3
92.0
3 BIP
Aug 5
@ BOS · Sonny Gray
2
99.0
2 BIP
Aug 4
@ BOS · Patrick Sandoval
1
94.8
1 BIP
Aug 2
@ TB · Griffin Jax
4
104.9
HR
4 BIP
Aug 1
@ TB · Drew Rasmussen
2
100.9
2 BIP
Jul 31
@ TB · Nick Martinez
3
107.8
HR
3 BIP
Jul 30
vs NYY · Ryan Weathers
2
102.0
2 BIP
Jul 29
vs NYY · Cam Schlittler
4
102.8
4 BIP
Jul 28
vs NYY · Gerrit Cole
3
109.1
3 BIP
Jul 27
vs NYY · Max Fried
3
106.4
3 BIP
Jul 26
vs HOU · HOU Bullpen Proxy
3
102.3
HR
3 BIP
Jul 25
vs HOU · Hunter Brown
3
96.5
3 BIP
Jul 24
vs HOU · Spencer Arrighetti
3
91.1
3 BIP
Jul 22
@ TEX · Tyler Alexander
3
97.7
3 BIP
Jul 21
@ TEX · Kumar Rocker
3
85.5
3 BIP
Jul 20
@ TEX · Jacob deGrom
4
100.5
4 BIP
Jul 19
@ TOR · Trey Yesavage
3
101.6
3 BIP
Jul 18
@ TOR · Shane Bieber
4
102.8
4 BIP
Jul 17
@ TOR · Spencer Miles
2
98.1
2 BIP
Jul 12
vs ATH · J.T. Ginn
3
102.7
3 BIP
Jul 11
vs ATH · Gage Jump
4
102.6
4 BIP
Jul 10
vs ATH · Jacob Lopez
5
111.2
HR
5 BIP
Jul 9
vs BOS · BOS Bullpen Proxy
3
98.3
3 BIP
Jul 8
vs BOS · Jake Bennett
4
99.6
4 BIP
Jul 7
vs BOS · Payton Tolle
2
93.1
2 BIP
Jul 5
@ CLE · Tanner Bibee
2
102.5
2 BIP
Jul 4
@ CLE · Parker Messick
3
99.3
3 BIP
Jul 3
@ CLE · Gavin Williams
2
106.3
HR
2 BIP
Jul 2
@ CLE · Slade Cecconi
3
102.2
3 BIP
Jul 1
@ BAL · Dean Kremer
4
103.3
4 BIP
Jun 30
@ BAL · Trey Gibson
4
104.1
4 BIP
Jun 29
@ BAL · Shane Baz
4
99.6
4 BIP
Jun 28
vs KC · Luinder Avila
2
105.1
HR
2 BIP
Jun 27
vs KC · Michael Wacha
3
103.8
3 BIP
Jun 26
vs KC · Steven Cruz
5
103.8
HR
5 BIP
Jun 24
vs CLE · Tanner Bibee
4
99.6
4 BIP
Jun 23
vs CLE · Parker Messick
3
104.3
HR
3 BIP
Jun 22
vs CLE · Gavin Williams
2
91.4
2 BIP
Jun 20
@ DET · Troy Melton
3
96.5
3 BIP
Jun 19
@ DET · Tarik Skubal
2
98.7
2 BIP
Jun 18
@ NYY · Ryan Weathers
3
100.1
3 BIP
Jun 17
@ NYY · Carlos Rodón
4
103.9
4 BIP
Jun 16
@ NYY · Gerrit Cole
2
89.5
2 BIP
Jun 14
vs LAD · Emmet Sheehan
3
100.7
3 BIP
Jun 13
vs LAD · Yoshinobu Yamamoto
4
103.2
4 BIP
Jun 12
vs LAD · Roki Sasaki
4
102.0
4 BIP
Jun 11
vs ATL · Martín Pérez
0
—
—
Jun 10
vs ATL · Chris Sale
4
87.2
4 BIP
Jun 9
vs ATL · Grant Holmes
4
109.0
HR
4 BIP
Jun 7
@ PHI · Aaron Nola
5
93.1
5 BIP
Jun 6
@ PHI · Andrew Painter
2
102.4
2 BIP
Jun 5
@ PHI · Jesús Luzardo
1
110.1
1 BIP
Jun 3
@ MIN · Taj Bradley
3
89.4
3 BIP
Jun 2
@ MIN · Connor Prielipp
3
100.7
3 BIP
Jun 1
@ MIN · Joe Ryan
5
104.1
HR
5 BIP
May 31
vs DET · Keider Montero
3
103.2
3 BIP
May 30
vs DET · Framber Valdez
2
98.9
2 BIP
May 29
vs DET · Troy Melton
5
102.3
HR
5 BIP
May 28
vs MIN · Simeon Woods Richardson
1
98.7
1 BIP
May 27
vs MIN · Connor Prielipp
1
101.7
1 BIP
May 26
vs MIN · Joe Ryan
4
100.1
4 BIP
May 25
vs MIN · Zebby Matthews
4
103.0
4 BIP
May 24
@ SF · Robbie Ray
2
99.8
HR
2 BIP
May 23
@ SF · Adrian Houser
4
107.0
4 BIP
May 22
@ SF · Trevor McDonald
3
—
3 BIP
May 19
@ SEA · Bryce Miller
1
84.0
1 BIP
May 18
@ SEA · Bryan Woo
3
96.6
3 BIP
May 17
vs CHC · Colin Rea
3
102.8
3 BIP
May 16
vs CHC · Jameson Taillon
4
108.4
HR
4 BIP
May 15
vs CHC · Edward Cabrera
4
105.0
HR
4 BIP
May 14
vs KC · Kris Bubic
2
100.9
2 BIP
May 13
vs KC · Seth Lugo
3
99.9
3 BIP
May 12
vs KC · Stephen Kolek
3
100.9
3 BIP
May 10
vs SEA · Logan Gilbert
4
108.4
4 BIP
May 9
vs SEA · Luis Castillo
2
112.9
HR
2 BIP
May 8
vs SEA · Emerson Hancock
3
91.3
3 BIP
May 6
@ LAA · Walbert Ureña
3
103.0
3 BIP
May 4
@ LAA · José Soriano
4
102.1
HR
4 BIP
May 3
@ SD · Griffin Canning
1
55.1
1 BIP
May 2
@ SD · Michael King
3
89.1
3 BIP
May 1
@ SD · Germán Márquez
4
104.0
4 BIP
Apr 29
vs LAA · Yusei Kikuchi
3
102.5
3 BIP
Apr 28
vs LAA · José Soriano
1
102.5
1 BIP
Apr 27
vs LAA · Jack Kochanowicz
2
104.0
HR
2 BIP
Apr 26
vs WSH · Foster Griffin
2
98.2
2 BIP
Apr 25
vs WSH · Jake Irvin
2
100.0
2 BIP
Apr 24
vs WSH · PJ Poulin
4
93.1
4 BIP
Apr 23
@ AZ · Michael Soroka
4
100.7
4 BIP
Apr 22
@ AZ · Eduardo Rodriguez
3
109.0
HR
3 BIP
Apr 21
@ AZ · Merrill Kelly
1
79.8
1 BIP
Apr 19
@ ATH · Jeffrey Springs
3
98.5
HR
3 BIP
Apr 18
@ ATH · Luis Severino
4
99.6
4 BIP
Apr 17
@ ATH · Aaron Civale
4
99.2
4 BIP
Apr 16
vs TB · Steven Matz
5
109.6
HR
5 BIP
Apr 14
vs TB · Shane McClanahan
4
107.6
4 BIP
Apr 10
@ KC · Kris Bubic
3
104.5
3 BIP
Mar 29
@ MIL · Brandon Sproat
4
95.3
4 BIP
Ballpark
Wrigley Field · open-air
Park Factor
1.074
Wind
2 mph from ESE
Temp
76°F
Roof
Open
TimeWindTempFIT
7:05p
2 ↗
76°
+2
8:05p
2 ↗
75°
+3
9:05p
3 ↗
73°
+5
10:05p
4 ↗
71°
+6
11:05p
5 ↗
70°
+7
+5
Slight green alignment
true spray · live hourly FIT · open-air wind signal
HIT LOCATIONS'25–'26
Game-window avg wind · blowing out to center (from SSW)
Open the Dueness Calendar → His month grid, rhythm tightness, and tonight’s crossing mark load on demand.
Score Breakdown
Base 69 → 69
ISO (Power)
Barrel Matchup
Park Factor
season hr rate
HR/FB Matchup
Pitcher FIP
recent hr density 14d
Exit Velocity
Common questions about Miguel Vargas
Will Miguel Vargas hit a home run today?
Miguel Vargas is on today's TheHomeRuns slate, ranked #5 among tonight's scored batters for home run likelihood, facing Shota Imanaga at Wrigley Field. That's a model ranking, not a prediction of a certain outcome — even the model's top-ranked bats homer in roughly one of five games. Not gambling advice.
How often does Miguel Vargas hit home runs?
Across 105 scored games this season, Miguel Vargas has 23 home runs — one every 4.6 games, or about 22% of his scored games.
Has Miguel Vargas homered off Shota Imanaga before?
Not yet — Miguel Vargas has faced Shota Imanaga 2 times without a home run.
Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.