2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Esmerlyn Valdez 6 HRs · 2 Cole Young 4 HRs · 3 Eugenio Suárez 4 HRs · 4 Joey Ortiz 4 HRs · 5 James Wood 4 HRs · 6 Wilyer Abreu 4 HRs · 7 Junior Caminero 4 HRs · 8 Ty France 4 HRs · 9 Willy Adames 4 HRs · 10 Chase DeLauter 3 HRs · 11 Brayan Rocchio 3 HRs · 12 Ben Rice 3 HRs 1 Esmerlyn Valdez 6 HRs · 2 Cole Young 4 HRs · 3 Eugenio Suárez 4 HRs · 4 Joey Ortiz 4 HRs · 5 James Wood 4 HRs · 6 Wilyer Abreu 4 HRs · 7 Junior Caminero 4 HRs · 8 Ty France 4 HRs · 9 Willy Adames 4 HRs · 10 Chase DeLauter 3 HRs · 11 Brayan Rocchio 3 HRs · 12 Ben Rice 3 HRs
Junior Caminero
Junior Caminero
TB · RHB
Junior Caminero

Junior Caminero

RHB
TB · 96 appearances tracked
27 HRs
28.1% HR Rate
34.0% Avg HR/FB
92.3 Avg EV
0.235 ISO
#2 Best Rank
as of 2026-07-19
HR Profile Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
ISO
96
0.270
Avg EV
95
93.3
Barrel%
69
9.8%
HR/FB vs RHP
99
41.5%
Avg HR Dist
86
408
Match%
99
36.1%
Season HR%
28.7%
14D Pace
36.4%
ISO EV BRL HR/FB DIST MATCH
96
95
69
99
86
99
ISOEVBRLHR/FBDISTMATCH
BBE 28 · season HR% & 14D pace unranked
Pitch Analysis season · as of 2026-07-21
Pitch Seen Barrel% HR K%
Fastball 49.7%
16.3%
16
14.0%
Breaking 35.3%
12.5%
10
25.8%
Offspeed 15.0%
7.0%
2
15.8%
All 100% 13.7% 28 18.4%
Barrel vs. Whiff BRL K
Fastball Breaking Offspeed
Crushes the fastball — whiffs climb on breaking & offspeed.
Batter vs. Pitcher vs Sonny Gray · RHP · TB
SMALL SAMPLE · 5 PA · since 2023
.000
AVG
.000
SLG
0
HR
0-for-4 and 1 walk across 5 plate appearances since 2023. Thin sample — lean on the season profile.
Modifiers 2 of 4 active
Fenway +HR Pitcher form Steady Platoon Even Weather +1
Edge by rate · batter vs pitcher-allowed
Barrel% 9.8 vs
9.8
HR/FB 41.5 vs 20.0 ▲ edge
41.5
20.0
K% 18.4 vs
18.4
Batter rates are season-to-date; pitcher-allowed shown where tracked. HR/FB compared head-to-head.
HR Days 27 this season · avg 410 ft
Date Opp · Pitcher Pitch EV Dist
Apr 5 Simeon Woods Richardson · Target Field 103.2 397.0
Apr 6 Jameson Taillon · Tropicana Field 106.8 401.0
May 18 Trevor Rogers · Tropicana Field 105.8 380.0
Jun 1 vs DET · Ty Madden 110.4 422
Jun 14 @ LAA · Sam Bachman 96.0 374
Jun 25 vs KC · Tyler Tolbert 103.4 393
Jun 26 vs AZ · Zac Gallen 111.3 437
Jun 27 vs AZ · Jose Cabrera 106.9 361
Jun 28 vs AZ · Merrill Kelly 113.5 463
Jun 30 @ KC · Noah Cameron 108.6 438
Jul 1 @ KC · Seth Lugo 104.8 425
Jul 3 @ HOU · Steven Okert 96.8 374
Jul 4 @ HOU · Hunter Brown 107.5 437
Jul 9 vs NYY · Paul Blackburn 108.3 438
Jul 10 vs SEA · José A. Ferrer 102.3 385
Jul 17 @ BOS · Eduardo Rivera 111.6 423
Jul 17 @ BOS · Eduardo Rivera 111.6 423
HR by month
1
7
7
May Jun Jul
All Appearances 95 tracked · 26 HR · 66 top‑50
Date Opp · Pitcher BIP Max EV Result HR
Jul 20 @ TOR · Dylan Cease 4 113.2 4 BIP
Jul 19 @ BOS · Sonny Gray 4 95.7 4 BIP
Jul 18 @ BOS · BOS Bullpen Proxy 4 114.4 4 BIP
Jul 17 @ BOS · Jake Bennett 7 111.6 HR 7 BIP
Jul 12 vs SEA · Emerson Hancock 0
Jul 11 vs SEA · Logan Gilbert 1 115.2 1 BIP
Jul 10 vs SEA · Luis Castillo 3 105.6 HR 3 BIP
Jul 9 vs NYY · Paul Blackburn 4 108.3 HR 4 BIP
Jul 8 vs NYY · Gerrit Cole 2 66.7 2 BIP
Jul 7 vs NYY · Will Warren 2 116.9 2 BIP
Jul 6 vs NYY · Cam Schlittler 3 95.6 3 BIP
Jul 5 @ HOU · Peter Lambert 2 94.3 2 BIP
Jul 4 @ HOU · Hunter Brown 3 107.5 HR 3 BIP
Jul 3 @ HOU · Spencer Arrighetti 3 96.8 HR 3 BIP
Jul 2 @ KC · Stephen Kolek 5 112.5 5 BIP
Jul 1 @ KC · Seth Lugo 1 104.8 HR 1 BIP
Jun 30 @ KC · Noah Cameron 5 114.1 HR 5 BIP
Jun 28 vs AZ · Merrill Kelly 3 113.5 HR 3 BIP
Jun 27 vs AZ · AZ Bullpen Proxy 3 106.9 HR 3 BIP
Jun 26 vs AZ · Zac Gallen 3 111.3 HR 3 BIP
Jun 25 vs KC · Seth Lugo 4 107.5 HR 4 BIP
Jun 24 vs KC · Noah Cameron 0
Jun 23 vs KC · Luinder Avila 5 109.3 HR 5 BIP
Jun 22 vs KC · Michael Wacha 4 115.8 4 BIP
Jun 21 vs WSH · Andrew Alvarez 1 70.8 1 BIP
Jun 20 vs WSH · Cade Cavalli 4 104.3 4 BIP
Jun 19 vs WSH · PJ Poulin 3 112.2 3 BIP
Jun 17 @ LAD · Shohei Ohtani 3 108.8 3 BIP
Jun 16 @ LAD · Justin Wrobleski 1 105.0 1 BIP
Jun 15 @ LAD · Eric Lauer 3 111.5 3 BIP
Jun 14 @ LAA · Grayson Rodriguez 4 113.7 HR 4 BIP
Jun 13 @ LAA · José Soriano 1 106.9 1 BIP
Jun 12 @ LAA · Sam Aldegheri 2 93.3 2 BIP
Jun 10 vs BOS · Jake Bennett 2 112.4 2 BIP
Jun 9 vs BOS · Payton Tolle 3 109.3 3 BIP
Jun 8 vs BOS · Connelly Early 2 102.4 2 BIP
Jun 7 @ MIA · Sandy Alcantara 4 104.0 4 BIP
Jun 6 @ MIA · Lake Bachar 2 74.0 2 BIP
Jun 5 @ MIA · MIA Bullpen Proxy 3 109.3 3 BIP
Jun 3 vs DET · Troy Melton 3 102.7 3 BIP
Jun 2 vs DET · Jack Flaherty 4 111.0 4 BIP
Jun 1 vs DET · Ty Madden 3 110.4 HR 3 BIP
May 31 vs LAA · Jack Kochanowicz 3 109.0 3 BIP
May 30 vs LAA · Reid Detmers 2 101.2 2 BIP
May 29 vs LAA · Walbert Ureña 4 107.3 4 BIP
May 27 @ BAL · Trey Gibson 3 102.9 3 BIP
May 26 @ BAL · Shane Baz 3 116.9 3 BIP
May 25 @ BAL · Kyle Bradish 4 97.0 4 BIP
May 24 @ NYY · Ryan Weathers 3 90.3 3 BIP
May 22 @ NYY · Gerrit Cole 3 113.8 3 BIP
May 20 vs BAL · Shane Baz 4 115.8 4 BIP
May 19 vs BAL · Kyle Bradish 1 107.8 1 BIP
May 18 vs BAL · Trevor Rogers 4 116.8 HR 4 BIP
May 17 vs MIA · Eury Pérez 1 104.0 HR 1 BIP
May 16 vs MIA · Sandy Alcantara 5 105.7 5 BIP
May 15 vs MIA · Janson Junk 3 90.2 3 BIP
May 13 @ TOR · Dylan Cease 3 111.4 3 BIP
May 12 @ TOR · Patrick Corbin 5 114.6 5 BIP
May 11 @ TOR · Kevin Gausman 4 106.5 4 BIP
May 10 @ BOS · Payton Tolle 3 105.2 HR 3 BIP
May 9 @ BOS · Payton Tolle 0
May 8 @ BOS · Connelly Early 4 109.0 4 BIP
May 7 @ BOS · Jake Bennett 4 115.8 HR 4 BIP
May 6 vs TOR · Patrick Corbin 3 103.4 3 BIP
May 5 vs TOR · Kevin Gausman 3 82.2 3 BIP
May 3 vs SF · Tyler Mahle 2 110.5 2 BIP
May 2 vs SF · Landen Roupp 1 67.8 1 BIP
May 1 vs SF · Robbie Ray 2 112.9 HR 2 BIP
Apr 29 @ CLE · Gavin Williams 2 80.5 2 BIP
Apr 28 @ CLE · Tanner Bibee 1 58.1 1 BIP
Apr 27 @ CLE · Parker Messick 2 114.1 2 BIP
Apr 26 vs MIN · Simeon Woods Richardson 4 105.4 4 BIP
Apr 25 vs MIN · Bailey Ober 4 109.2 4 BIP
Apr 24 vs MIN · Taj Bradley 4 112.7 HR 4 BIP
Apr 22 vs CIN · Brandon Williamson 4 110.0 HR 4 BIP
Apr 21 vs CIN · Chase Burns 3 113.1 3 BIP
Apr 20 vs CIN · Rhett Lowder 4 112.6 4 BIP
Apr 19 @ PIT · Mitch Keller 4 109.5 HR 4 BIP
Apr 18 @ PIT · Paul Skenes 7 109.2 7 BIP
Apr 17 @ PIT · Bubba Chandler 3 106.9 3 BIP
Apr 16 @ CWS · Jordan Leasure 4 101.2 HR 4 BIP
Apr 15 @ CWS · Sean Burke 3 104.8 HR 3 BIP
Apr 12 vs NYY · Cam Schlittler 3 100.7 3 BIP
Apr 11 vs NYY · Max Fried 3 111.1 3 BIP
Apr 10 vs NYY · Luis Gil 3 98.2 3 BIP
Apr 8 vs CHC · Colin Rea 2 78.3 2 BIP
Apr 7 vs CHC · Javier Assad 1 90.4 1 BIP
Apr 6 vs CHC · Jameson Taillon 3 106.8 HR 3 BIP
Apr 5 @ MIN · Simeon Woods Richardson 4 104.9 HR 4 BIP
Apr 4 @ MIN · Mick Abel 5 100.4 5 BIP
Apr 1 @ MIL · Jacob Misiorowski 2 95.0 2 BIP
Mar 31 @ MIL · Brandon Woodruff 2 92.8 2 BIP
Mar 30 @ MIL · Kyle Harrison 4 116.9 4 BIP
Mar 29 @ STL · Dustin May 3 107.3 3 BIP
Mar 28 @ STL · Michael McGreevy 3 105.9 3 BIP
Ballpark Fenway Park · open-air
Park Factor 1.012 Wind 6 mph from SSW Temp 78°F Roof Open
TimeWindTempFIT
1:35p 6 78° +3
2:35p 6 78° +3
3:35p 6 78° +3
4:35p 6 78° +3
5:35p 6 78° +3
+3
Neutral alignment
proxy spray · game-window FIT · open-air wind signal
HIT LOCATIONS'25–'26
6 mph 15% 8% 30% 10% 37% OPPO PULL Fenway Park
Game-window avg wind · blowing across to pull (from SSW)
TONIGHT board — not posted yet next game Wed 7/22
Dueness now
1.50×
overdue — gap ÷ cadence
Cadence
2 gm
median between HRs, game-days
Current gap
3 gm
since his last HR, Jul 17
Season
27 HR
96 games · 4 HR last 14d
Rhythm tightness
his gaps between HRs, in game-days — tight columns = metronome, spread = streaky
one dot per gap · 26 gaps · median 2 gm · MAD ± 1.0 gm · now marker = current gap
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat

Rhythm observation, not a prediction — the “g+n” counters and crossing marks only read his own history. See tonight’s board for the model’s actual ranking. Model picks · For entertainment.

Score Breakdown Base 64 → 64
ISO (Power)
+25.3
Barrel Matchup
+14.1
Park Factor
+6.3
season hr rate
+5.9
HR/FB Matchup
+5.5
recent hr density 14d
+3.9
Pitcher FIP
+1.7
Exit Velocity
+1.7
Six home runs to freedom

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