Esmerlyn Valdez
RHB
PIT
· 53 appearances tracked
9
HRs
17.0%
HR Rate
33.2%
Avg HR/FB
92.0
Avg EV
0.336
ISO
#1
Best Rank
HR Profile
Season-to-date · live-tape thresholds
ISO0.271
Avg EV91.7
Barrel%12.5%
HR/FB vs RHP25.9%
Avg HR Dist398
Match%25.2%
Season HR%
18.9%
14D Pace
14.3%
Pitch Analysis
season · as of 2026-09-09
Pitch
Seen
Barrel%
HR
K%
Fastball
57.5%
10
Breaking
28.2%
6
Offspeed
14.3%
0
All
100%
19.5%
16
38.5%
Barrel vs. Whiff
BRL
K
Fastball
Breaking
Offspeed
Barrel & whiff rates by pitch family.
Batter vs. Pitcher
vs Sean Burke · RHP · PIT
NO SAMPLE · 0 PA
—
AVG
—
SLG
—
HR
No prior plate appearances vs Sean Burke in our data. Lean on the season profile and the modifiers below.
Modifiers
1 of 4 active
Rate +HR
Pitcher form Steady
Platoon Even
Weather Neutral
Edge by rate
· batter ●
vs pitcher-allowed ●
Barrel%
12.5
vs
—
HR/FB
25.9
vs
11.8 ▲ edge
K%
38.5
vs
—
Batter rates are season-to-date; pitcher-allowed shown where tracked. HR/FB compared head-to-head.
HR Days
9 this season · avg 399 ft
Date
Opp · Pitcher
Pitch
EV
Dist
Jun 26
vs CIN · Andrew Abbott
—
106.5
414
Jun 28
vs CIN · Pierce Johnson
—
109.8
461
Jul 9
vs ATL · Bryce Elder
—
104.3
394
Jul 11
vs MIL · Aaron Ashby
—
103.7
380
Jul 18
@ CLE · Gavin Williams
—
101.6
373
Jul 19
@ CLE · Will Dion
—
102.2
371
Jul 20
@ NYY · Ryan Weathers
—
106.6
436
Jul 26
vs CHC · Jameson Taillon
—
106.1
405
Aug 30
@ STL · Matthew Liberatore
—
97.6
355
HR by month
Jun
Jul
Aug
All Appearances
53 tracked · 9 HR · 47 top‑50
Date
Opp · Pitcher
BIP
Max EV
Result
HR
Sep 8
@ CWS · Sean Burke
4
100.7
4 BIP
Sep 6
vs LAA · Walbert Ureña
2
99.8
2 BIP
Sep 5
vs LAA · Yusei Kikuchi
1
105.8
1 BIP
Sep 2
vs SF · Landen Roupp
1
62.6
1 BIP
Sep 1
vs SF · Logan Webb
2
101.0
2 BIP
Aug 30
@ STL · Matthew Liberatore
3
97.6
HR
3 BIP
Aug 28
@ STL · Quinn Mathews
2
100.1
2 BIP
Aug 26
@ SD · Randy Vásquez
3
90.4
3 BIP
Aug 23
@ LAD · Blake Snell
0
—
—
Aug 22
@ LAD · Tarik Skubal
2
111.6
2 BIP
Aug 19
vs DET · Jackson Jobe
0
—
—
Aug 18
vs DET · Keider Montero
2
92.8
2 BIP
Aug 17
vs DET · Framber Valdez
2
96.3
2 BIP
Aug 16
vs BOS · Patrick Sandoval
3
102.0
3 BIP
Aug 15
vs BOS · Sonny Gray
2
103.0
2 BIP
Aug 14
vs BOS · Jake Bennett
2
110.5
2 BIP
Aug 13
@ MIA · Tyler Phillips
4
100.6
4 BIP
Aug 12
@ MIA · Janson Junk
4
99.5
4 BIP
Aug 11
@ MIA · Eury Pérez
3
97.9
3 BIP
Aug 9
vs NYM · Sean Manaea
0
—
—
Aug 8
vs NYM · NYM Bullpen Proxy
1
97.9
1 BIP
Aug 7
vs NYM · Zac Thornton
2
78.9
2 BIP
Aug 2
@ CIN · Chase Burns
0
—
—
Aug 1
@ CIN · Andrew Abbott
2
95.5
2 BIP
Jul 31
@ CIN · Hunter Greene
3
97.3
3 BIP
Jul 29
vs AZ · Eduardo Rodriguez
3
98.4
3 BIP
Jul 28
vs AZ · Brandon Pfaadt
4
101.8
4 BIP
Jul 27
vs AZ · Merrill Kelly
1
106.4
1 BIP
Jul 26
vs CHC · Jameson Taillon
2
106.1
HR
2 BIP
Jul 25
vs CHC · Shota Imanaga
1
84.2
1 BIP
Jul 24
vs CHC · Matthew Boyd
3
97.6
3 BIP
Jul 22
@ NYY · Gerrit Cole
1
110.2
1 BIP
Jul 20
@ NYY · Ryan Weathers
1
106.6
HR
1 BIP
Jul 19
@ CLE · Joey Cantillo
1
102.2
HR
1 BIP
Jul 18
@ CLE · Gavin Williams
4
108.8
HR
4 BIP
Jul 12
vs MIL · Robert Gasser
2
98.8
2 BIP
Jul 11
vs MIL · Brandon Sproat
5
109.2
HR
5 BIP
Jul 10
vs MIL · Brandon Sproat
0
—
—
Jul 9
vs ATL · Bryce Elder
3
104.3
HR
3 BIP
Jul 8
vs ATL · Grant Holmes
1
100.7
1 BIP
Jul 7
vs ATL · Hurston Waldrep
2
92.3
2 BIP
Jul 5
@ WSH · Cade Cavalli
1
83.9
1 BIP
Jul 4
@ WSH · WSH Bullpen Proxy
2
91.0
2 BIP
Jul 3
@ WSH · Foster Griffin
4
103.4
4 BIP
Jul 2
@ PHI · Alan Rangel
4
112.7
4 BIP
Jul 1
@ PHI · Zack Wheeler
4
92.4
4 BIP
Jun 30
@ PHI · Cristopher Sánchez
3
100.2
3 BIP
Jun 28
vs CIN · Brady Singer
4
109.8
HR
4 BIP
Jun 26
vs CIN · Andrew Abbott
3
106.5
HR
3 BIP
May 27
vs CHC · Jameson Taillon
0
—
—
May 26
vs CHC · Jordan Wicks
0
—
—
May 24
@ TOR · Dylan Cease
0
—
—
May 23
@ TOR · Patrick Corbin
0
—
—
Ballpark
Rate Field · open-air
Park Factor
1.070
Wind
—
Temp
—
Roof
—
TimeWindTempFIT
——
——
——
——
——
——
+2
Neutral alignment
true spray · park signal · open-air wind signal
HIT LOCATIONS'25–'26
Open the Dueness Calendar → His month grid, rhythm tightness, and tonight’s crossing mark load on demand.
Score Breakdown
Base 63 → 63
ISO (Power)
Barrel Matchup
Park Factor
season hr rate
HR/FB Matchup
Pitcher FIP
recent hr density 14d
Exit Velocity
Common questions about Esmerlyn Valdez
Will Esmerlyn Valdez hit a home run today?
Esmerlyn Valdez is on today's TheHomeRuns slate, ranked #8 among tonight's scored batters for home run likelihood, facing Sean Burke at Rate Field. That's a model ranking, not a prediction of a certain outcome — even the model's top-ranked bats homer in roughly one of five games. Not gambling advice.
How often does Esmerlyn Valdez hit home runs?
Across 53 scored games this season, Esmerlyn Valdez has 9 home runs — one every 5.9 games, or about 17% of his scored games.
Model output for entertainment and research. Not gambling advice.