Today · 2026-07-14

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AL @ NL 8:00p

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⭐ Today's Slate

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Ranked by composite score BP = Bullpen · WT = Weather

📦 STACK Cristopher Sánchez FIP 2.7 HR/FB 6.2% → #1 Ben Rice, #2 Yordan Alvarez, #3 Junior Caminero, #5 Shea Langeliers, #6 Mike Trout, #9 Riley Greene, #15 Cody Bellinger

📦 STACK Dylan Cease FIP 2.22 HR/FB 15.4% → #4 Kyle Schwarber, #7 Juan Soto, #8 Cj Abrams, #10 Max Muncy, #11 Freddie Freeman, #12 Drake Baldwin, #13 Andy Pages, #14 Brandon Marsh

2025 full-season backtest

2025 backtest: a top-15 pick went yard on 92.9% of slates · top-50 picks hit 1.6x the field

Sample window: 2025 full-season backtest · 182 slates · 2025-03-27 to 2025-09-28 Live 2026 is current through 2026-07-12. Past performance ≠ guarantee.

92.9% top-15 slates, 2025

1.6x top-50 vs field

92.6% Live 2026 top-15

See the full record

#	Batter	Score	Edge	Roster	Pitcher · Game	Time	Tier	Hand	'26 HR	Form	Last HR	Last 5	Due	BvP	BP	Weather
1	Ben Rice (L) ²	74	·	·	Cristopher Sánchez (LHP) AL @ NL · Citizens Bank Park	8:00p	🟡 B	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	29	HOT Form · HOT SignalHOT Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%11.7% Avg EV92.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	4d Last HR · 2026-07-10 OffCarson Palmquist Exit Velo102.0 mph Angle29.0° Distance387 ft StadiumNationals Park	○●●○○	1.0×	·	NL Bullpen · No read Analyst note: no reliable bullpen read is available for this matchup. Treat BP as neutral until the data refreshes.	+62 Weather · Citizens Bank Park mild air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp67.6°F Wind3 mph W Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+62 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 29 HR Note68°F, wind 3 mph W (out) — modifier: +0
2	Yordan Alvarez (L) ²	74	+3.8	·	Cristopher Sánchez (LHP) AL @ NL · Citizens Bank Park	8:00p	🟡 B	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	31	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls37 BBE Barrel%12.9% Avg EV94.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	3d Last HR · 2026-07-11 OffKumar Rocker Exit Velo112.8 mph Angle28.0° Distance425 ft StadiumGlobe Life Field	○○●●○	0.5×	·	NL Bullpen · No read Analyst note: no reliable bullpen read is available for this matchup. Treat BP as neutral until the data refreshes.	+62 Weather · Citizens Bank Park mild air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp67.6°F Wind3 mph W Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+62 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 28 HR Note68°F, wind 3 mph W (out) — modifier: +0
3	Junior Caminero (R)	69	+2.2	·	Cristopher Sánchez (LHP) AL @ NL · Citizens Bank Park	8:00p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	28	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%11.1% Avg EV93.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	4d Last HR · 2026-07-10 OffJosé A. Ferrer Exit Velo102.3 mph Angle27.0° Distance385 ft StadiumTropicana Field	○●●○○	1.0×	·	NL Bullpen · No read Analyst note: no reliable bullpen read is available for this matchup. Treat BP as neutral until the data refreshes.	+54 Weather · Citizens Bank Park mild air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp67.6°F Wind3 mph W Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+54 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 28 HR Note68°F, wind 3 mph W (out) — modifier: +0
4	Kyle Schwarber (L) ³	66	-5.1	·	Dylan Cease (RHP) AL @ NL · Citizens Bank Park	8:00p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	32	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls24 BBE Barrel%8.9% Avg EV93.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	6d Last HR · 2026-07-08 OffRhett Lowder Exit Velo105.6 mph Angle25.0° Distance387 ft StadiumGreat American Ball Park	●○○○○	1.3×	1	AL Bullpen · No read Analyst note: no reliable bullpen read is available for this matchup. Treat BP as neutral until the data refreshes.	+62 Weather · Citizens Bank Park mild air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp67.6°F Wind3 mph W Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+62 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 32 HR Note68°F, wind 3 mph W (out) — modifier: +0
5	Shea Langeliers (R)	63	·	·	Cristopher Sánchez (LHP) AL @ NL · Citizens Bank Park	8:00p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	21	HOT Form · HOT SignalHOT Batted Balls17 BBE Barrel%11.5% Avg EV91.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2d Last HR · 2026-07-12 OffNoah Schultz Exit Velo105.1 mph Angle29.0° Distance411 ft StadiumRate Field	○○○○●	0.0×	·	NL Bullpen · No read Analyst note: no reliable bullpen read is available for this matchup. Treat BP as neutral until the data refreshes.	+58 Weather · Citizens Bank Park mild air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp67.6°F Wind3 mph W Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+58 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 21 HR Note68°F, wind 3 mph W (out) — modifier: +0
6	Mike Trout (R)	62	·	·	Cristopher Sánchez (LHP) AL @ NL · Citizens Bank Park	8:00p	🔵 C+	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	18	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls14 BBE Barrel%13.4% Avg EV90.7 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	6d Last HR · 2026-07-08 OffRobby Ahlstrom Exit Velo110.6 mph Angle23.0° Distance438 ft StadiumGlobe Life Field	●○○○○	1.0×	·	NL Bullpen · No read Analyst note: no reliable bullpen read is available for this matchup. Treat BP as neutral until the data refreshes.	+55 Weather · Citizens Bank Park mild air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp67.6°F Wind3 mph W Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+55 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 18 HR Note68°F, wind 3 mph W (out) — modifier: +0
7	Juan Soto (L) ⁴	62	·	·	Dylan Cease (RHP) AL @ NL · Citizens Bank Park	8:00p	🔵 C+	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	21	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%7.8% Avg EV92.6 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	5d Last HR · 2026-07-09 OffBeck Way Exit Velo106.6 mph Angle29.0° Distance435 ft StadiumCiti Field	○●○○○	1.0×	·	AL Bullpen · No read Analyst note: no reliable bullpen read is available for this matchup. Treat BP as neutral until the data refreshes.	+61 Weather · Citizens Bank Park mild air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp67.6°F Wind3 mph W Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+61 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 21 HR Note68°F, wind 3 mph W (out) — modifier: +0
8	Riley Greene (L) ²	54	+4.1	·	Cristopher Sánchez (LHP) AL @ NL · Citizens Bank Park	8:00p	🟠 C	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	13	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls27 BBE Barrel%11.1% Avg EV91.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	9d Last HR · 2026-07-05 OffKumar Rocker Exit Velo111.2 mph Angle36.0° Distance431 ft StadiumGlobe Life Field	○○○○○	1.2×	·	NL Bullpen · No read Analyst note: no reliable bullpen read is available for this matchup. Treat BP as neutral until the data refreshes.	+59 Weather · Citizens Bank Park mild air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp67.6°F Wind3 mph W Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+59 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 13 HR Note68°F, wind 3 mph W (out) — modifier: +0
9	Max Muncy (S) ²	52	·	·	Dylan Cease (RHP) AL @ NL · Citizens Bank Park	8:00p	🟠 C	SHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	5	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls27 BBE Barrel%7.5% Avg EV90.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	15d Last HR · 2026-06-29 OffGage Jump Exit Velo104.0 mph Angle30.0° Distance422 ft StadiumSutter Health Park	○○○○○	4.3×	·	AL Bullpen · No read Analyst note: no reliable bullpen read is available for this matchup. Treat BP as neutral until the data refreshes.	+61 Weather · Citizens Bank Park mild air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp67.6°F Wind3 mph W Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+61 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 23 HR Note68°F, wind 3 mph W (out) — modifier: +0
10	Freddie Freeman (L)	49	+1.5	·	Dylan Cease (RHP) AL @ NL · Citizens Bank Park	8:00p	⚪ D	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	15	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls39 BBE Barrel%6.6% Avg EV90.5 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	10d Last HR · 2026-07-04 OffKyle Hart Exit Velo100.6 mph Angle36.0° Distance388 ft StadiumDodger Stadium	○○○○○	1.8×	·	AL Bullpen · No read Analyst note: no reliable bullpen read is available for this matchup. Treat BP as neutral until the data refreshes.	+61 Weather · Citizens Bank Park mild air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp67.6°F Wind3 mph W Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+61 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 15 HR Note68°F, wind 3 mph W (out) — modifier: +0
11	Drake Baldwin (L)	49	·	·	Dylan Cease (RHP) AL @ NL · Citizens Bank Park	8:00p	⚪ D	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	15	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls41 BBE Barrel%7.9% Avg EV91.4 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	9d Last HR · 2026-07-05 OffHuascar Brazobán Exit Velo101.3 mph Angle30.0° Distance383 ft StadiumTruist Park	○○○○○	3.5×	·	AL Bullpen · No read Analyst note: no reliable bullpen read is available for this matchup. Treat BP as neutral until the data refreshes.	+61 Weather · Citizens Bank Park mild air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp67.6°F Wind3 mph W Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+61 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 15 HR Note68°F, wind 3 mph W (out) — modifier: +0
12	Cj Abrams (L) ²	48	+0.0	·	Dylan Cease (RHP) AL @ NL · Citizens Bank Park	8:00p	⚪ D	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	20	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls33 BBE Barrel%6.3% Avg EV89.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	39d Last HR · 2026-06-05 OffMerrill Kelly Exit Velo106.0 mph Angle20.0° Distance386 ft StadiumChase Field	●○○	·	·	AL Bullpen · No read Analyst note: no reliable bullpen read is available for this matchup. Treat BP as neutral until the data refreshes.	+60 Weather · Citizens Bank Park mild air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp67.6°F Wind3 mph W Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+60 · Green alignment Spray Sourceblend · 1 HR Note68°F, wind 3 mph W (out) — modifier: +0
13	Andy Pages (R)	47	·	·	Dylan Cease (RHP) AL @ NL · Citizens Bank Park	8:00p	⚪ D	RHH vs RHP Analyst note: neutral platoon context. No major boost or penalty from handedness. Let score, pitcher, and environment carry the decision.	17	COOL Form · COOL SignalCOOL Batted Balls32 BBE Barrel%5.9% Avg EV89.1 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	4d Last HR · 2026-07-10 OffEduardo Rodriguez Exit Velo105.1 mph Angle26.0° Distance419 ft StadiumDodger Stadium	○○●○○	0.3×	·	AL Bullpen · No read Analyst note: no reliable bullpen read is available for this matchup. Treat BP as neutral until the data refreshes.	+50 Weather · Citizens Bank Park mild air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp67.6°F Wind3 mph W Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+50 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 17 HR Note68°F, wind 3 mph W (out) — modifier: +0
14	Brandon Marsh (L)	46	·	·	Dylan Cease (RHP) AL @ NL · Citizens Bank Park	8:00p	⚪ D	LHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	15	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls30 BBE Barrel%6.2% Avg EV89.8 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	13d Last HR · 2026-07-01 OffPaul Skenes Exit Velo99.2 mph Angle27.0° Distance351 ft StadiumCitizens Bank Park	○○○○○	2.2×	1	AL Bullpen · No read Analyst note: no reliable bullpen read is available for this matchup. Treat BP as neutral until the data refreshes.	+61 Weather · Citizens Bank Park mild air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp67.6°F Wind3 mph W Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+61 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 15 HR Note68°F, wind 3 mph W (out) — modifier: +0
15	Cody Bellinger (L)	44	·	·	Cristopher Sánchez (LHP) AL @ NL · Citizens Bank Park	8:00p	⚪ D	LHH vs LHP Analyst note: same-side left-on-left is usually the toughest version for hitters. Use as a caution flag, not an automatic fade.	11	COLD Form · COLD SignalCOLD Batted Balls34 BBE Barrel%7.6% Avg EV88.9 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	27d Last HR · 2026-06-17 OffAnthony Kay Exit Velo92.2 mph Angle28.0° Distance363 ft StadiumYankee Stadium	○○○○○	2.3×	·	NL Bullpen · No read Analyst note: no reliable bullpen read is available for this matchup. Treat BP as neutral until the data refreshes.	+63 Weather · Citizens Bank Park mild air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp67.6°F Wind3 mph W Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+63 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 10 HR Note68°F, wind 3 mph W (out) — modifier: +0
16	Ozzie Albies (S)	42	·	·	Dylan Cease (RHP) AL @ NL · Citizens Bank Park	8:00p	⚪ D	SHH vs RHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	14	WARM Form · WARM SignalWARM Batted Balls39 BBE Barrel%4.0% Avg EV87.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	11d Last HR · 2026-07-03 OffChristian Scott Exit Velo102.1 mph Angle35.0° Distance386 ft StadiumTruist Park	○○○○○	1.5×	·	AL Bullpen · No read Analyst note: no reliable bullpen read is available for this matchup. Treat BP as neutral until the data refreshes.	+57 Weather · Citizens Bank Park mild air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp67.6°F Wind3 mph W Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+57 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 14 HR Note68°F, wind 3 mph W (out) — modifier: +0
17	Ernie Clement (R) ²	37	·	·	Cristopher Sánchez (LHP) AL @ NL · Citizens Bank Park	8:00p	⚪ D	RHH vs LHP Analyst note: platoon edge. The batter gets a cleaner look from the opposite side. Helpful context, especially when the power signals already like him.	8	NTRL Form · NTRL SignalNEUTRAL Batted Balls43 BBE Barrel%4.7% Avg EV85.2 mph Surprise Barrel— Display only — not part of the model score. Recent contact quality can lead HR results, but this trend does not change any pick's number. Rolling 14-day Statcast versus season baseline.	2d Last HR · 2026-07-12 OffGermán Márquez Exit Velo98.4 mph Angle28.0° Distance376 ft StadiumPetco Park	○○○○●	0.0×	1	NL Bullpen · No read Analyst note: no reliable bullpen read is available for this matchup. Treat BP as neutral until the data refreshes.	+51 Weather · Citizens Bank Park mild air · light wind out · roof open Analyst note: no major weather edge. Let the player and pitcher signals drive the call. Roofopen Temp67.6°F Wind3 mph W Characterout HR Modifier0 Spray/Wind+51 · Green alignment Spray Sourcetrue · 8 HR Note68°F, wind 3 mph W (out) — modifier: +0

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Six home runs to freedom

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Slate reference

Symbol Guide

Every icon, badge, and shorthand on the slate. Hover the table itself for quick tips; use this when you want the full translation.

Row Actions

👁: WatchTrack a batter without counting him as one of today's locked picks.
🔒: LockAdd this batter to today's tracked picks. Locked picks are the choices that count.
★: FavoriteYou starred this batter so he is easier to find on crowded slates.
▲ / ▼: Conviction editYour notes or tags adjusted the recommendation score up or down.

Batter and Pitcher Marks

R L S: Batter handR = right-handed, L = left-handed, S = switch-hitter. Pitchers show RHP or LHP.
: Platoon advantageGreen means the batter has an opposite-handed or switch-hitter look.
: Neutral handGold means the matchup is neutral, most commonly righty versus righty.
: Same-side cautionRed means lefty versus lefty, usually the toughest handedness setup for hitters.
◎: Pitcher flagTop HR-susceptible pitcher. Open the row and inspect the full matchup.

Lightning and Tags

⚡: Arsenal EdgePitch-type mismatch. The batter damages a pitch the opposing pitcher throws and allows damage on. A small number means multiple exploitable pitch types.
⚡²: Chip firingOne or more saved Chips matched this batter tonight. This only appears when the Chip system is active for the user.
2: Your tag countNumber of your saved tags on the batter. Hover the number on the slate to see the tag names.
💬 ↑ ↓: Community toolsComment link and limited daily up/down votes. These are hidden when the launch-minimal UI is active.

Score and Tier

82: ScoreComposite 0-100 HR grade for tonight. Higher means more of the model's power, pitcher, park, and context signals agree.
🥇 S: S tierElite, score 95+.
🔥 A+: A+ tierPremium, score 90-94.
🟢 A: A tierExcellent, score 80-89.
🟡 B: B tierAbove average, score 70-79.
🔵 C+: C+ tierValue, score 60-69.
🟠 C: C tierBelow average, score 50-59.
⚪ D: D tierBelow 50.

Colors

Color meaning changes by surface. Percentile bars use Baseball Savant-style heat, where red means elite. Spray and wind use green for favorable and red for unfavorable.

Surface	Green	Orange	Red
Percentile bars	Average range	Above average	Elite / great
Spray chart	Favorable HR zone or wind fit	Neutral / mixed	Unfavorable zone or wind fit
Slate weather	Carry help	Neutral or dome context	Carry drag
Edge and results	Model ahead or hit	Mostly aligned / watch	Market ahead or miss

Edge

Edge is model probability minus market consensus probability, shown in percentage points.

+3.1: Model aheadThe model is higher than the market, a price-positive signal.
+0.2: Mostly alignedThe model and market are close.
-3.1: Market aheadThe book is more optimistic than the model, so treat the price with caution.

Form

🔥 HOT: HotRecent contact quality is running above the batter's baseline.
↗ WARM: WarmRecent indicators are positive, but not screaming.
— NTRL: NeutralNo meaningful hot or cold form signal.
↘ COOL: CoolRecent contact quality is softening.
❄ COLD: ColdRecent indicators are materially below baseline.

Timing and History

2d: Last HRDays since the batter's last home run.
●○: Last 5Home run results across the last five games. Filled dot = homered; open dot = did not homer.
1.6×: DueHow far past the batter's usual HR cadence he is. 1.5× or higher is strongly overdue; use it as a tiebreaker.
2: BvPHome runs versus today's pitcher in the app's data. Useful color, usually a small sample.

Bullpen

🔥: VulnerableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 15%.
!: WatchOpposing bullpen HR/FB is at least 12%, but below the vulnerable threshold.
✓: StableOpposing bullpen HR/FB is below 12%.
—: No readNo reliable bullpen value is available.

Weather

→: Tail / carry helpWeather modifier is +3 or better. Conditions are helping fly-ball carry.
←: Head / carry dragWeather modifier is -3 or worse. Conditions are working against carry.
⌂: Dome or retractable roofRoof context keeps weather noise low.
+24: Spray/WindOptional batter-specific wind read, comparing wind direction to where this batter usually hits home runs.

Roster and Results

●: Roster activeActive in the roster feed. This is not a health guarantee.
?: QuestionableManual availability risk flag. The batter remains visible, but the recommendation score is discounted.
IL: Injured listThe roster feed reports an IL status. These batters should be excluded from active slate scoring.
PPD: PostponedOfficial MLB game status says postponed. Treat the row as unavailable tonight.
✓: HitPast-slate result: this batter homered.
×: MissPast-slate result: no home run.
?: PendingPast-slate result has not loaded yet.

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Today's Locks

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Season · Top 50 Catch Rate

last 30 days

18.3%

▼ -2.3 pts

avg daily catch rate · vs 19.4% prior 15d

Yesterday · 2026-07-13

scoring

⏳

Results scoring in progress

Catch-rate and HR totals for 2026-07-13 update once the night's games finish and the model collects results. Usually live by mid-morning.

7-Day Streaks

top 50 pool

🔥 Hot

James Wood ×5 Ben Rice ×4 Shohei Ohtani ×4 Juan Soto ×3 JJ Bleday ×2

❄️ Cold

Corbin Carroll 0 of 6d Freddie Freeman 0 of 6d Hunter Goodman 0 of 6d Dansby Swanson 0 of 6d Ian Happ 0 of 6d

Model Health · HR catch rate by tier

season-to-date

A+

C+

S 0.0%

A+ 16.7%

A 19.8%

B 19.8%

C+ 16.7%

C 13.6%

D 8.8%

Best Day

32.0%

May 29

Today · 2026-07-14

You saw the full board yesterday

Yesterday's results + tonight's board. Every morning.