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Study Day
📅 2026-08-21
1
Top-5 Hits
6
Top-15 Hits
25
HRs in Slate
96%
Coverage
247
Scored
What Happened
The top 15 captured 6 home runs — exceptional concentration at the top of the board.
A high-volume day with 25 HRs across scored matchups.
Why It Worked
Warm Weather
13 top-15 batters played in 75°F+ conditions
HR-Friendly Parks
8 top-15 matchups in parks with factor ≥ 1.05
Stacking Opportunities
2 same-pitcher stacks for parlay potential
🔥 High Conviction Day
0 matchups met the Golden criteria (pitcher FIP > 5.0 AND HR/FB > 20%).
Stack Alerts:
Sean Manaea: {'batter': 'Munetaka Murakami', 'rank': 1, 'score': 73.0}, {'batter': 'Miguel Vargas', 'rank': 8, 'score': 64.0}
Bubba Chandler: {'batter': 'Shohei Ohtani', 'rank': 6, 'score': 66.0}, {'batter': 'Max Muncy', 'rank': 7, 'score': 64.0}
Top 15 Matchups
| # | Result | Batter | Pitcher | HR/FB | Score | FIP | Park | Form | Barrel | HR Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | — | Munetaka Murakami | Sean Manaea | 34.1% | 73 | 4.4 | 1.00 | 🌤️ | 14.0% | |
| 2 | — | Kyle Schwarber | Hunter Dobbins | 35.9% | 71 | 4.4 | 1.11 | 🌧️ | 10.9% | |
| 3 | — | Yordan Alvarez | J.T. Ginn | 21.0% | 70 | 4.2 | 1.17 | 🌧️ | 10.2% | |
| 4 | — | Ben Rice | Mason Fluharty | 30.8% | 67 | 3.7 | 1.05 | 🌤️ | 10.7% | |
| 5 | ✅ | Max Muncy | Hayden Wesneski | 25.8% | 67 | 3.8 | 1.17 | · | 10.2% | 104.3 mph · 392ft · 40.0° |
| 6 | — | Shohei Ohtani | Bubba Chandler | 30.8% | 66 | 4.2 | 1.07 | · | 9.9% | |
| 7 | ✅ | Max Muncy | Bubba Chandler | 30.9% | 64 | 4.2 | 1.07 | · | 9.2% | 104.3 mph · 392ft · 40.0° |
| 8 | ✅ | Miguel Vargas | Sean Manaea | 29.7% | 64 | 4.4 | 1.00 | · | 11.6% | 104.9 mph · 405ft · 27.0° |
| 9 | ✅ | Pete Crow-Armstrong | Emerson Hancock | 28.8% | 63 | 3.8 | 0.98 | · | 10.2% | 101.7 mph · 367ft · 39.0° |
| 10 | ✅ | Pete Alonso | Freddy Peralta | 28.4% | 63 | 4.7 | 1.01 | 🌤️ | 9.4% | 111.0 mph · 443ft · 30.0° |
| 11 | — | Eduardo Valencia | Noah Cameron | 35.9% | 62 | 3.6 | 1.00 | · | 14.4% | |
| 12 | — | Junior Caminero | Trevor Rogers | 19.4% | 60 | 3.7 | 1.01 | 🌧️ | 9.7% | |
| 13 | — | Byron Buxton | SD Bullpen Proxy | 14.3% | 63 | 4.2 | 0.90 | 🌧️ | 16.9% | |
| 14 | ✅ | Jordan Walker | Jesús Luzardo | 30.3% | 59 | 2.8 | 1.11 | 🌧️ | 8.9% | 107.3 mph · 392ft · 23.0° |
| 15 | — | Brandon Lowe | Yoshinobu Yamamoto | 29.0% | 59 | 3.4 | 1.07 | 🌧️ | 9.1% |
All 25 HRs in Slate
Show all ranked picks that hit
| # | Batter | HR/FB | EV | Dist | LA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Max Muncy | 25.8% | 104.3 | 392ft | 40.0° |
| 7 | Max Muncy | 30.9% | 104.3 | 392ft | 40.0° |
| 8 | Miguel Vargas | 29.7% | 104.9 | 405ft | 27.0° |
| 9 | Pete Crow-Armstrong | 28.8% | 101.7 | 367ft | 39.0° |
| 10 | Pete Alonso | 28.4% | 111.0 | 443ft | 30.0° |
| 14 | Jordan Walker | 30.3% | 107.3 | 392ft | 23.0° |
| 17 | Oneil Cruz | 22.2% | 112.8 | 424ft | 32.0° |
| 27 | Colson Montgomery | 17.2% | 113.1 | 399ft | 24.0° |
| 28 | Randal Grichuk | 16.9% | 106.0 | 400ft | 19.0° |
| 41 | Willson Contreras | 22.9% | 116.0 | 452ft | 30.0° |
| 49 | Ian Happ | 17.7% | 107.3 | 432ft | 27.0° |
| 60 | Rafael Devers | 17.8% | 107.1 | 412ft | 25.0° |
| 65 | Spencer Jones | 12.1% | 108.8 | 385ft | 43.0° |
| 70 | Ty France | 13.6% | 107.4 | 421ft | 30.0° |
| 81 | Cal Raleigh | 10.5% | 107.2 | 410ft | 25.0° |
| 93 | Carter Jensen | 11.5% | 107.5 | 443ft | 25.0° |
| 121 | Dylan Beavers | 14.2% | 103.9 | 396ft | 30.0° |
| 140 | Jake Rogers | 7.6% | 103.0 | 401ft | 33.0° |
| 142 | Alex Bregman | 15.2% | 102.6 | 405ft | 31.0° |
| 174 | Vinnie Pasquantino | 10.5% | 106.4 | 420ft | 32.0° |
| 183 | Jordan Lawlar | 8.1% | 100.8 | 377ft | 27.0° |
| 185 | Bo Bichette | 7.2% | 97.6 | 345ft | 39.0° |
| 201 | Keibert Ruiz | 7.0% | 100.6 | 388ft | 34.0° |
| 210 | Drew Gilbert | 11.4% | 104.3 | 389ft | 24.0° |
| 221 | Kyle Isbel | 7.9% | 100.8 | 387ft | 34.0° |