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Strong Day
📅 2026-07-03
2
Top-5 Hits
6
Top-15 Hits
28
HRs in Slate
88%
Coverage
212
Scored
What Happened
A strong day: 2 of the top 5 hit home runs.
The top 15 captured 6 home runs — exceptional concentration at the top of the board.
A high-volume day with 28 HRs across scored matchups.
Pitcher vulnerability was the dominant signal — multiple arms with elevated FIP and HR/FB rates.
Why It Worked
Pitcher Vulnerability
6 of the top 15 faced pitchers with FIP ≥ 4.50
Warm Weather
11 top-15 batters played in 75°F+ conditions
HR-Friendly Parks
12 top-15 matchups in parks with factor ≥ 1.05
Hot Bats
5 top-15 batters trending HOT or WARM
Stacking Opportunities
4 same-pitcher stacks for parlay potential
🔥 High Conviction Day
0 matchups met the Golden criteria (pitcher FIP > 5.0 AND HR/FB > 20%).
Stack Alerts:
Mike Paredes: {'batter': 'Ben Rice', 'rank': 1, 'score': 73.0}, {'batter': 'Paul Goldschmidt', 'rank': 9, 'score': 65.0}
Michael King: {'batter': 'Shohei Ohtani', 'rank': 2, 'score': 69.0}, {'batter': 'Max Muncy', 'rank': 10, 'score': 65.0}
Logan Webb: {'batter': 'Hunter Goodman', 'rank': 5, 'score': 68.0}, {'batter': 'Mickey Moniak', 'rank': 12, 'score': 63.0}
Tyler Phillips: {'batter': 'Nick Kurtz', 'rank': 7, 'score': 67.0}, {'batter': 'Shea Langeliers', 'rank': 11, 'score': 64.0}
Top 15 Matchups
| # | Result | Batter | Pitcher | HR/FB | Score | FIP | Park | Form | Barrel | HR Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ✅ | Ben Rice | Mike Paredes | 35.2% | 73 | 5.5 | 1.19 | 🌧️ | 10.0% | 101.7 mph · 357ft · 26.0° |
| 2 | — | Shohei Ohtani | Michael King | 33.6% | 69 | 4.2 | 1.22 | · | 12.0% | |
| 3 | ✅ | Junior Caminero | Spencer Arrighetti | 32.7% | 68 | 4.7 | 1.02 | 🌤️ | 9.9% | 96.8 mph · 374ft · 33.0° |
| 4 | — | Pete Alonso | Brady Singer | 32.6% | 68 | 5.9 | 1.07 | 🌧️ | 11.6% | |
| 5 | — | Hunter Goodman | Logan Webb | 32.0% | 68 | 3.0 | 1.11 | 🌤️ | 9.6% | |
| 6 | ✅ | Kody Clemens | Gerrit Cole | 34.7% | 67 | 4.8 | 1.19 | · | 10.4% | 102.4 mph · 403ft · 30.0° |
| 7 | ✅ | Nick Kurtz | Tyler Phillips | 22.7% | 67 | 4.4 | 1.20 | 🌤️ | 12.6% | 112.9 mph · 457ft · 28.0° |
| 8 | ✅ | Yordan Alvarez | Nick Martinez | 22.7% | 66 | 4.2 | 1.02 | · | 11.6% | 106.6 mph · 427ft · 25.0° |
| 9 | — | Paul Goldschmidt | Mike Paredes | 36.6% | 65 | 5.5 | 1.19 | 🌧️ | 9.0% | |
| 10 | — | Max Muncy | Michael King | 21.5% | 65 | 4.2 | 1.22 | ❄ | 11.3% | |
| 11 | — | Shea Langeliers | Tyler Phillips | 17.5% | 64 | 4.4 | 1.20 | · | 11.1% | |
| 12 | — | Mickey Moniak | Logan Webb | 29.8% | 63 | 3.0 | 1.11 | 🌤️ | 8.7% | |
| 13 | ✅ | Rafael Devers | Ryan Feltner | 29.0% | 63 | 4.8 | 1.11 | 🌤️ | 10.2% | 104.1 mph · 432ft · 31.0° |
| 14 | — | Esmerlyn Valdez | Foster Griffin | 40.1% | 62 | 4.2 | 1.02 | · | 17.2% | |
| 15 | — | Pete Crow-Armstrong | Andre Pallante | 30.7% | 61 | 4.0 | 1.10 | 🌧️ | 7.9% |
All 28 HRs in Slate
Show all ranked picks that hit
| # | Batter | HR/FB | EV | Dist | LA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ben Rice | 35.2% | 101.7 | 357ft | 26.0° |
| 3 | Junior Caminero | 32.7% | 96.8 | 374ft | 33.0° |
| 6 | Kody Clemens | 34.7% | 102.4 | 403ft | 30.0° |
| 7 | Nick Kurtz | 22.7% | 112.9 | 457ft | 28.0° |
| 8 | Yordan Alvarez | 22.7% | 106.6 | 427ft | 25.0° |
| 13 | Rafael Devers | 29.0% | 104.1 | 432ft | 31.0° |
| 18 | Samuel Basallo | 25.8% | 101.9 | 375ft | 27.0° |
| 20 | Owen Caissie | 28.1% | 101.2 | 390ft | 24.0° |
| 26 | Miguel Vargas | 25.1% | 106.3 | 374ft | 29.0° |
| 29 | Juan Soto | 18.2% | 100.6 | 359ft | 26.0° |
| 54 | Matt Olson | 17.9% | 105.9 | 411ft | 28.0° |
| 63 | Trent Grisham | 15.0% | 102.8 | 370ft | 42.0° |
| 67 | Teoscar Hernández | 15.6% | 106.6 | 419ft | 26.0° |
| 68 | Kyle Stowers | 15.3% | 106.8 | 388ft | 24.0° |
| 75 | Garrett Mitchell | 17.6% | 111.8 | 435ft | 22.0° |
| 81 | Heriberto Hernandez | 18.0% | 102.0 | 414ft | 30.0° |
| 87 | Bryan Reynolds | 14.4% | 109.8 | 426ft | 23.0° |
| 88 | Nathan Church | 17.5% | 101.1 | 384ft | 22.0° |
| 93 | Jake McCarthy | 14.7% | 100.8 | 427ft | 28.0° |
| 125 | Jackson Merrill | 8.5% | 106.1 | 423ft | 32.0° |
| 130 | Ozzie Albies | 13.7% | 102.1 | 386ft | 35.0° |
| 133 | Ezequiel Tovar | 8.1% | 101.7 | 392ft | 28.0° |
| 146 | José Tena | 8.8% | 105.5 | 434ft | 32.0° |
| 163 | Jakob Marsee | 8.5% | 106.2 | 381ft | 24.0° |
| 167 | Daylen Lile | 9.1% | 101.1 | 375ft | 26.0° |
| 171 | Caleb Durbin | 12.8% | 107.4 | 358ft | 24.0° |
| 176 | Masyn Winn | 6.4% | 97.8 | 391ft | 35.0° |
| 199 | Nick Fortes | 6.9% | 102.8 | 391ft | 31.0° |