3
HRs allowed
11.5%
HR rate (pool)
10.5%
Overall HR/FB
3.23
FIP
3.24
xFIP
-0.01
FIP − xFIP gap
Leak meter
STINGY
LEAKY
31
season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers — higher = more HR-prone
Tonight's read
vulnerability percentile · model flags
no model flags today
Vulnerability 31th pctile (season HR/FB pctile vs MLB pitchers)
Where he leaks
quality of contact allowed · season
Barrel% allowed
0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed
72.7%
Fly-ball rate
—
avg HR 108.7 EV · 422 ft
max EV allowed 114.5
Batted-ball xSLG splits and HR spray direction aren't tracked for pitchers yet.
Recent form
HR allowed by scored game day
7D · 0 HR
15D · 0 HR
30D · 0 HR
Dot size = HRs allowed that game day · scored pool only.
Threat Matrix
tonight's lineup × his arsenal families
No lineup yet — the Threat Matrix fills in when today's slate lists batters against Spencer Miles.
Arsenal ledger
per-pitch damage against · season
PitchUseEVLAHRRV/100Damage
Sinker Hard
40.7%
82.1
9.0°
2
-3.1
Curveball Breaking
26.0%
82.3
8.7°
2
-0.6
Slider Breaking
17.2%
79.6
15.5°
0
+0.1
Fastball Hard
15.9%
81.4
28.0°
0
-1.2
RV/100 = run value against per 100 pitches — higher = more damage allowed. Damage bar is scaled across his own arsenal.
Full ledger
pool + season datapoints · pctile-chipped where ranked
Pool matchups26
HRs allowed (pool)3
Pool HR rate11.5%
Pool HR/game day1.0
Top-15 matchups0
HRs to top-150
Overall HR/FB10.5% 31
HR/9—
FIP3.23 22
xFIP3.24
FIP − xFIP-0.01 46
Barrel% allowed0.0%
Hard-Hit% allowed72.7%
FB%—
K/9—
BB/9—
WHIP—
IP—
Pool = tracked matchup population · pctile chips = MLB-wide percentile (hot ≥ 85) · as of 2026-07-16
Sinker
Hard · 40.7% usage
-3.1
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against82.1 mph
Avg launch angle9.0°
HRs allowed2
Pitches394
Curveball
Breaking · 26.0% usage
-0.6
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against82.3 mph
Avg launch angle8.7°
HRs allowed2
Pitches251
Slider
Breaking · 17.2% usage
+0.1
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against79.6 mph
Avg launch angle15.5°
HRs allowed0
Pitches166
Fastball
Hard · 15.9% usage
-1.2
run value against / 100 pitches
Avg EV against81.4 mph
Avg launch angle28.0°
HRs allowed0
Pitches154
Usage by handedness
what tonight's lefties/righties will see
Per-handedness pitch usage isn't tracked yet — the arsenal cache is a season aggregate.
Zone map
damage by location
Per-zone damage isn't tracked yet for pitchers.
Pitcher vs. Batter
career PA vs tonight's listed order
No listed order yet — BvP rows appear when today's slate lists batters against Spencer Miles.
BvP under 20 PA is noise — use it for pitch-mix memory, not projection. Context only: not part of the model score.
HR Log
3 allowed · scored pool
avg 108.7 EV · 422 ft
DateBatterRankScoreStadiumEVLADist
Every row is a scored-pool matchup — HRs to unscored batters aren't tracked. Pitch type, count, and field direction aren't in the pool log yet.
Game-day log
last 3 scored game days · pool
DateStadiumMatchupsHRMax EV
2026-07-07
8
0
105.3
2026-05-31
9
1
110.1
2026-05-10
9
2
114.5
Box-score start lines (IP · H · ER · K · BB · pitch counts) aren't tracked yet — this is his scored-pool day log, matchups our model actually graded.
Tonight
park factor · wind · temp
Ballpark conditions unavailable — Spencer Miles isn't on a scored slate with park & weather inputs.
Fences vs his leak
wall distance · damage overlay
Wall-distance overlays aren't tracked yet.
Venue splits
his HR/9 by venue
Per-venue HR splits aren't tracked yet.