HR Vulnerability Snapshot
?Pitcher's HR-relevant profile. Red = HR-favorable for batters, blue = HR-resistant. Same vocabulary as batter cards.
Pool + today context
1.0
Pool HR/G ?Home runs allowed per tracked LongDong game day. Used when season HR/9 is unavailable.
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Overall HR/FB ?Pitcher's overall season HR-per-fly-ball rate. Matchup rows may show handedness splits such as vs LHH or vs RHH.
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Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
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Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
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FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
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FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
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xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
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FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
11.3%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
133
Pool Matchups
15
HRs Allowed (Pool)
10
Top-15 Matchups
2
HRs to Top-15
11.3%
HR Rate
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
HRs Allowed
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Stadium | EV | Angle | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-19 | Wyatt Langford | #121 | 44 | Globe Life Field | 107.1mph | 36.0° | 430ft |
| 2026-06-13 | Pete Alonso | #8 | 76 | Camden Yards | 104.3mph | 26.0° | 392ft |
| 2026-06-07 | Marcus Semien | #66 | 53 | Petco Park | 96.2mph | 36.0° | 360ft |
| 2026-06-07 | MJ Melendez | #67 | 52 | Petco Park | 105.6mph | 35.0° | 398ft |
| 2026-06-07 | Carson Benge | #91 | 48 | Petco Park | 106.4mph | 29.0° | 389ft |
| 2026-06-02 | Bryce Harper | #15 | 70 | Citizens Bank Park | 105.6mph | 30.0° | 419ft |
| 2026-05-26 | Bryce Harper | #27 | 65 | Petco Park | 113.5mph | 22.0° | 361.0ft |
| 2026-05-26 | Trea Turner | #179 | 35 | Petco Park | 109.1mph | 30.0° | 434.0ft |
| 2026-05-26 | J. T. Realmuto | #245 | 19 | Petco Park | 109.3mph | 23.0° | 385.0ft |
| 2026-05-20 | Shohei Ohtani | #67 | 55 | Petco Park | 111.3mph | 39.0° | 405.0ft |
| 2026-05-20 | Teoscar Hernández | #178 | 36 | Petco Park | 105.1mph | 30.0° | 406.0ft |
| 2026-05-04 | Casey Schmitt | #169 | 14 | Oracle Park | 102.5mph | 25.0° | 396.0ft |
| 2026-04-27 | Seiya Suzuki | #80 | 33 | Petco Park | 103.7mph | 30.0° | 396.0ft |
| 2026-04-15 | Luke Raley | #132 | 38 | Petco Park | 113.2mph | 27.0° | 434.0ft |
| 2026-04-09 | Brenton Doyle | #71 | 34 | Petco Park | 104.7mph | 23.0° | 408.0ft |
All Scored Matchups
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Tier | Form | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-19 | Alejandro Osuna | #216 | 13 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-19 | Nicky Lopez | #203 | 24 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-19 | Ezequiel Duran | #140 | 40 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-19 | Josh Jung | #123 | 44 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-19 | Wyatt Langford | #121 | 44 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-19 | Brandon Nimmo | #118 | 45 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-19 | Jake Burger | #71 | 52 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-19 | Joc Pederson | #43 | 61 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-13 | Leody Taveras | #158 | 36 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-13 | Taylor Ward | #127 | 44 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-13 | Tyler O'Neill | #85 | 51 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-13 | Blaze Alexander | #53 | 57 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-13 | Gunnar Henderson | #36 | 61 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-13 | Samuel Basallo | #23 | 66 | 🔵 C+ | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-13 | Jackson Holliday | #21 | 67 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-13 | Colton Cowser | #9 | 76 | 🟡 B | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-13 | Pete Alonso | #8 | 76 | 🟡 B | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-07 | Brett Baty | #186 | 30 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-07 | Bo Bichette | #158 | 37 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-07 | Luis Torrens | #122 | 43 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-07 | Carson Benge | #91 | 48 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-06-07 | MJ Melendez | #67 | 52 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-06-07 | Marcus Semien | #66 | 53 | 🟠 C | 🔥 HOT | 💥 |
| 2026-06-07 | Jared Young | #18 | 70 | 🟡 B | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-07 | Juan Soto | #12 | 71 | 🟡 B | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-02 | Justin Crawford | #208 | 28 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-06-02 | Adolis García | #190 | 32 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-06-02 | Bryson Stott | #94 | 48 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-06-02 | Garrett Stubbs | #83 | 50 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-02 | Alec Bohm | #75 | 52 | 🟠 C | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-06-02 | Brandon Marsh | #72 | 53 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-02 | Trea Turner | #62 | 55 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-06-02 | Bryce Harper | #15 | 70 | 🟡 B | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-06-02 | Kyle Schwarber | #5 | 78 | 🟡 B | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-26 | J. T. Realmuto | #245 | 19 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-26 | Adolis García | #207 | 29 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-26 | Trea Turner | #179 | 35 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-26 | Justin Crawford | #165 | 38 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-26 | Brandon Marsh | #156 | 38 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-26 | Alec Bohm | #101 | 46 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-05-26 | Bryson Stott | #97 | 46 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-26 | Bryce Harper | #27 | 65 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-05-26 | Kyle Schwarber | #1 | 85 | 🟢 A | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-20 | Hyeseong Kim | #236 | 24 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-20 | Kyle Tucker | #200 | 32 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-20 | Alex Freeland | #194 | 33 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-20 | Teoscar Hernández | #178 | 36 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-20 | Will Smith | #130 | 42 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-20 | Freddie Freeman | #116 | 44 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-20 | Shohei Ohtani | #67 | 55 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-20 | Andy Pages | #54 | 58 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-20 | Max Muncy | #40 | 64 | 🔵 C+ | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-15 | Leo Rivas | #258 | 7 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-15 | Cole Young | #205 | 30 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-15 | J.P. Crawford | #201 | 31 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-15 | Josh Naylor | #196 | 32 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-15 | Randy Arozarena | #168 | 39 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-15 | Cal Raleigh | #104 | 49 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-15 | Julio Rodríguez | #103 | 49 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-05-15 | Dominic Canzone | #83 | 54 | 🟠 C | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-15 | Luke Raley | #8 | 85 | 🟢 A | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-09 | Masyn Winn | #229 | 14 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-09 | Victor Scott II | #212 | 18 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-09 | Ivan Herrera | #197 | 19 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-09 | Nolan Gorman | #184 | 21 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-09 | Pedro Pagés | #179 | 22 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-09 | Alec Burleson | #171 | 23 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-09 | Nathan Church | #158 | 24 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-09 | JJ Wetherholt | #117 | 29 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-05-09 | Jordan Walker | #101 | 31 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-05-04 | Rafael Devers | #197 | · | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-05-04 | Matt Chapman | #196 | 2 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-04 | Harrison Bader | #187 | 7 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-04 | Patrick Bailey | #186 | 7 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-04 | Willy Adames | #182 | 9 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-05-04 | Luis Arraez | #180 | 10 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-04 | Casey Schmitt | #169 | 14 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-05-04 | Heliot Ramos | #158 | 17 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-05-04 | Jung Hoo Lee | #154 | 18 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-27 | Pete Crow-Armstrong | #130 | 17 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-27 | Michael Busch | #104 | 26 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-27 | Alex Bregman | #103 | 26 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-27 | Matt Shaw | #93 | 29 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-27 | Nico Hoerner | #89 | 30 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-04-27 | Carson Kelly | #82 | 32 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-27 | Seiya Suzuki | #80 | 33 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | 💥 |
| 2026-04-27 | Dansby Swanson | #59 | 41 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-27 | Ian Happ | #44 | 47 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-21 | Kyle Karros | #83 | 45 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-21 | TJ Rumfield | #82 | 45 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-21 | Brenton Doyle | #76 | 46 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-21 | Troy Johnston | #68 | 48 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-21 | Edouard Julien | #63 | 50 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-21 | Willi Castro | #53 | 53 | 🟠 C | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-04-21 | Ezequiel Tovar | #52 | 53 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-21 | Hunter Goodman | #13 | 67 | 🔵 C+ | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-04-21 | Mickey Moniak | #9 | 72 | 🟡 B | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-15 | Leo Rivas | #139 | 12 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-15 | Cole Young | #137 | 23 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-15 | Brendan Donovan | #136 | 26 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-15 | Luke Raley | #132 | 38 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | 💥 |
| 2026-04-15 | Josh Naylor | #121 | 34 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-15 | Randy Arozarena | #112 | 36 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-15 | Dominic Canzone | #110 | 40 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-15 | Julio Rodríguez | #106 | 34 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-15 | Cal Raleigh | #96 | 47 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-09 | Tyler Freeman | #80 | 18 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-09 | Ryan Ritter | #78 | 19 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-09 | Ezequiel Tovar | #73 | 33 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-09 | Brenton Doyle | #71 | 34 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | 💥 |
| 2026-04-09 | Jordan Beck | #68 | 35 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-09 | Kyle Farmer | #65 | 30 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-09 | Michael Toglia | #57 | 36 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-09 | Hunter Goodman | #17 | 48 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-09 | Mickey Moniak | #12 | 50 | 🟠 C | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-04 | Abraham Toro | #181 | 28 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-04-04 | Jarren Duran | #176 | 39 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-04 | Ceddanne Rafaela | #172 | 36 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-04 | Alex Bregman | #157 | 37 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-04-04 | Romy Gonzalez | #148 | 40 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-04 | Carlos Narvaez | #142 | 38 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-04 | Roman Anthony | #134 | 42 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-04 | Wilyer Abreu | #133 | 45 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-04 | Trevor Story | #132 | 37 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-28 | Gleyber Torres | #209 | 31 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-28 | Zach McKinstry | #201 | 34 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-03-28 | Javier Baez | #200 | 30 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-28 | Colt Keith | #199 | 35 | ⚪ D | · — | · |
| 2026-03-28 | Wenceel Perez | #195 | 37 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-28 | Dillon Dingler | #194 | 34 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-28 | Spencer Torkelson | #161 | 44 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-03-28 | Kerry Carpenter | #137 | 47 | ⚪ D | · — | · |
| 2026-03-28 | Riley Greene | #96 | 49 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |