MLB Home Run Predictions — May 7, 2026
The graded receipt for 2026-05-07: what the model predicted, what actually happened.
Every morning TheHomeRuns.org ranks MLB batters by home-run probability, and every night the board is graded against real results — in public, hits and misses alike. Below is the full grade for May 7, 2026. Today's board lives at MLB home run predictions today; the season-long record is on the track record page.
17
HRs by scored batters
0/5
Top-5 picks that homered
1/15
Top-15 picks that homered
31.6 vs 29.4
Avg score: HR vs miss
Catch rates by cutoff
Home runs, graded
| Rank | Batter | Vs pitcher | Score | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #15 | Sal Stewart | Shota Imanaga | 46 | D Below |
| #16 | Kyle Schwarber | J.T. Ginn | 46 | D Below |
| #31 | Bobby Witt Jr. | Slade Cecconi | 41 | D Below |
| #34 | Liam Hicks | Cade Povich | 41 | D Below |
| #35 | Ezequiel Duran | Paul Blackburn | 40 | D Below |
| #39 | Vinnie Pasquantino | Slade Cecconi | 40 | D Below |
| #42 | Shea Langeliers | Andrew Painter | 40 | D Below |
| #80 | Jake McCarthy | Christian Scott | 33 | D Below |
| #88 | Keibert Ruiz | Simeon Woods Richardson | 31 | D Below |
| #92 | Ryan Jeffers | Jake Irvin | 30 | D Below |
| #112 | Brandon Lowe | Zac Gallen | 25 | D Below |
| #116 | Bo Naylor | Seth Lugo | 23 | D Below |
| #118 | Junior Caminero | Jake Bennett | 23 | D Below |
| #122 | Corbin Carroll | Mitch Keller | 22 | D Below |
| #128 | Brent Rooker | Andrew Painter | 21 | D Below |
| #133 | Alec Burleson | Michael King | 21 | D Below |
| #155 | Jacob Wilson | Andrew Painter | 15 | D Below |
Outside the top 50
Jake McCarthy, Keibert Ruiz, Ryan Jeffers, Brandon Lowe, Bo Naylor, Junior Caminero, Corbin Carroll, Brent Rooker, Alec Burleson, Jacob Wilson
The archive is public. Tonight's names are Pro.
Every past board is graded in the open — that is the point. The full ranked board for tonight, all matchup tools included, is Pro.