MLB Home Run Predictions — May 2, 2026
The graded receipt for 2026-05-02: what the model predicted, what actually happened.
Every morning TheHomeRuns.org ranks MLB batters by home-run probability, and every night the board is graded against real results — in public, hits and misses alike. Below is the full grade for May 2, 2026. Today's board lives at MLB home run predictions today; the season-long record is on the track record page.
14
HRs by scored batters
0/5
Top-5 picks that homered
2/15
Top-15 picks that homered
32.1 vs 27.7
Avg score: HR vs miss
Catch rates by cutoff
Home runs, graded
| Rank | Batter | Vs pitcher | Score | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #6 | Pete Alonso | Ryan Weathers | 53 | C BelowAvg |
| #12 | Shea Langeliers | Slade Cecconi | 51 | C BelowAvg |
| #18 | Cody Bellinger | Kyle Bradish | 47 | D Below |
| #19 | Trent Grisham | Kyle Bradish | 47 | D Below |
| #21 | Jordan Walker | Roki Sasaki | 47 | D Below |
| #55 | Ian Happ | Ryne Nelson | 38 | D Below |
| #109 | Kazuma Okamoto | Connor Prielipp | 30 | D Below |
| #134 | Byron Buxton | Dylan Cease | 27 | D Below |
| #139 | Christian Walker | Connelly Early | 27 | D Below |
| #151 | Kyle Manzardo | Jacob Lopez | 25 | D Below |
| #177 | Dillon Dingler | Kumar Rocker | 21 | D Below |
| #211 | Brice Matthews | Connelly Early | 16 | D Below |
| #223 | Xavier Edwards | Andrew Painter | 13 | D Below |
| #256 | Jake Burger | Keider Montero | 7 | D Below |
Outside the top 50
Ian Happ, Kazuma Okamoto, Byron Buxton, Christian Walker, Kyle Manzardo, Dillon Dingler, Brice Matthews, Xavier Edwards, Jake Burger
The archive is public. Tonight's names are Pro.
Every past board is graded in the open — that is the point. The full ranked board for tonight, all matchup tools included, is Pro.