TB
@
—
STL
Park Factor
0.93×
Weather Mod
-3.0%
cold air · light wind out · roof open
Combined
0.651
Temp
44.6°F
Wind
3 mph
out
Roof
open
Michael McGreevy
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Junior Caminero ⚡ | 56 | 🟠 C | · | · | 26 | 0.271 | 92.4 | 11.1% | 24.5% | 392 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 15.6% | 14 |
| 2 |
|
Carson Williams | 45 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 99 | 0.182 | 85.9 | 8.8% | 31.3% | 394 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 17.6% | 38 |
| 3 |
|
Yandy Díaz | 45 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 102 | 0.182 | 93.0 | 8.6% | 18.2% | 379 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 13.5% | 12 |
| 4 |
|
Jake Fraley | 43 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 130 | 0.141 | 85.2 | 6.6% | 10.2% | 393 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.1% | 30 |
| 5 |
|
Jonathan Aranda | 41 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 141 | 0.173 | 93.0 | 10.6% | 14.7% | 398 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 12.1% | 11 |
| 6 |
|
Cedric Mullins | 39 | ⚪ D | · | · | 166 | 0.175 | 88.8 | 7.4% | 10.8% | 384 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.4% | 0 |
| 7 |
|
Richie Palacios | 31 | ⚪ D | · | · | 217 | 0.102 | 89.9 | 7.2% | 10.7% | 379 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.3% | 0 |
| 8 |
|
Hunter Feduccia | 26 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 237 | 0.057 | 87.6 | 8.5% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.4% | 1 |
| 9 |
|
Chandler Simpson | 12 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 250 | 0.051 | 84.3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.4% | 4 |
Joe Boyle
RHP
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Alec Burleson | 54 | 🟠 C | · | 🔥 HOT | 43 | 0.169 | 91.0 | 9.8% | 10.2% | 408 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 9.6% | 4 |
| 2 |
|
Iván Herrera ⚡ | 44 | ⚪ D | · | · | 113 | 0.180 | 91.2 | 10.6% | 19.4% | 407 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 13.3% | 0 |
| 3 |
|
Nolan Gorman | 41 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 145 | 0.165 | 89.6 | 9.6% | 12.7% | 409 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.7% | 8 |
| 4 |
|
Ramón Urías | 37 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 181 | 0.142 | 89.2 | 9.0% | 10.7% | 381 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.9% | 3 |
| 5 |
|
Jordan Walker | 34 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 201 | 0.091 | 92.3 | 10.5% | 6.6% | 415 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.7% | 5 |
| 6 |
|
Masyn Winn | 30 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 225 | 0.110 | 88.3 | 7.0% | 5.7% | 388 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.2% | 4 |
| 7 |
|
Victor Scott II | 25 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 238 | 0.080 | 86.1 | 6.1% | 4.9% | 397 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.7% | 3 |
| 8 |
|
Nathan Church | 24 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 239 | 0.071 | 89.0 | 5.0% | 10.0% | 414 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.5% | 4 |