PIT
@
—
NYM
Park Factor
0.97×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
cold air · strong partial wind out · roof open
Combined
0.970
Temp
38.1°F
Wind
22.0 mph
slight_out
Roof
open
Mitch Keller
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Juan Soto | 54 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 39 | 0.262 | 93.8 | 11.9% | 25.1% | 400 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 16.0% | 11 |
| 2 |
|
Jorge Polanco | 48 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 81 | 0.229 | 90.8 | 9.0% | 14.9% | 382 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 12.3% | 7 |
| 3 |
|
Francisco Alvarez | 46 | ⚪ D | · | · | 93 | 0.191 | 93.1 | 9.7% | 17.7% | 395 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 13.4% | 0 |
| 4 |
|
Brett Baty | 45 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 101 | 0.181 | 90.7 | 10.0% | 22.5% | 399 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 15.1% | 3 |
| 5 |
|
Francisco Lindor | 44 | ⚪ D | · | · | 116 | 0.199 | 90.5 | 8.3% | 15.0% | 390 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 12.3% | 0 |
| 6 |
|
Carson Benge | 42 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 132 | 0.179 | 88.8 | 8.6% | 13.6% | 386 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.8% | 6 |
| 7 |
|
Bo Bichette ⚡ | 40 | ⚪ D | · | · | 152 | 0.172 | 91.0 | 7.8% | 11.8% | 397 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.9% | 0 |
| 8 | Luis Robert Jr. | 38 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 168 | 0.141 | 89.4 | 8.9% | 12.3% | 387 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.2% | 1 | |
| 9 |
|
Marcus Semien | 34 | ⚪ D | · | · | 200 | 0.134 | 88.3 | 7.2% | 8.5% | 391 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.3% | 0 |
David Peterson
LHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Brandon Lowe | 46 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 92 | 0.221 | 91.1 | 9.1% | 22.0% | 400 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 13.8% | 9 |
| 2 |
|
Marcell Ozuna | 39 | ⚪ D | · | · | 163 | 0.168 | 89.9 | 8.5% | 15.0% | 411 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.4% | 0 |
| 3 |
|
Bryan Reynolds | 37 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 180 | 0.157 | 91.2 | 8.0% | 13.4% | 400 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.8% | 4 |
| 4 |
|
Ryan O'Hearn | 35 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 189 | 0.156 | 89.4 | 7.0% | 13.5% | 392 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.8% | 5 |
| 5 |
|
Nick Yorke | 32 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 214 | 0.087 | 85.6 | 3.5% | 6.3% | 393 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.4% | 14 |
| 6 |
|
Jared Triolo | 31 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 219 | 0.130 | 89.0 | 6.3% | 6.6% | 405 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.6% | 9 |
| 7 |
|
Joey Bart | 30 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 223 | 0.091 | 88.4 | 8.2% | 7.1% | 402 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.8% | 6 |
| 8 |
|
Nick Gonzales | 30 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 226 | 0.102 | 88.8 | 5.4% | 5.0% | 396 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.6% | 11 |
| 9 |
|
Jake Mangum | 21 | ⚪ D | · | · | 245 | 0.072 | 87.3 | 4.1% | 4.1% | 405 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.0% | 0 |