TB
@
1:35p
BOS
Park Factor
0.86×
Weather Mod
-1.0%
cool air · light partial wind out · roof open
Combined
0.770
Temp
59.2°F
Wind
6.9 mph
slight_out
Roof
open
Nick Martinez
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Willson Contreras | 44 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 45 | 0.224 | 91.2 | · | 26.7% | 409 | 20.0% | 25.0% | 26.4% | 31 |
| 2 |
|
Wilyer Abreu | 31 | ⚪ D | · | · | 128 | 0.175 | 90.5 | · | 16.7% | 391 | 17.1% | 16.7% | 11.1% | 31 |
| 3 |
|
Jarren Duran | 20 | ⚪ D | · | · | 200 | 0.080 | 90.0 | · | 26.7% | 397 | 8.6% | 25.0% | 11.6% | 34 |
| 4 |
|
Ceddanne Rafaela | 19 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 207 | 0.116 | 87.2 | · | 17.6% | 359 | 8.8% | 16.7% | 10.2% | 32 |
| 5 |
|
Marcelo Mayer | 13 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 230 | 0.120 | 87.4 | · | 0.0% | 385 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.5% | 30 |
| 6 |
|
Masataka Yoshida | 11 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 236 | 0.062 | 88.2 | · | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.2% | 17 |
| 7 |
|
Trevor Story | 10 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 240 | 0.098 | 89.1 | · | 12.5% | 407 | 5.7% | 0.0% | 7.5% | 25 |
| 8 |
|
Caleb Durbin | 8 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 246 | 0.091 | 85.4 | · | 10.0% | 386 | 2.9% | 0.0% | 7.3% | 34 |
| 9 |
|
Mickey Gasper | 1 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 252 | 0.029 | 90.4 | · | 12.5% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.5% | 11 |
Payton Tolle
LHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Junior Caminero | 38 | ⚪ D | · | · | 70 | 0.231 | 91.6 | · | 38.1% | 413 | 25.7% | 16.7% | 18.4% | 30 |
| 2 |
|
Yandy Díaz | 32 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 109 | 0.148 | 90.1 | · | 25.0% | 365 | 11.5% | 16.7% | 10.2% | 30 |
| 3 |
|
Jonathan Aranda | 27 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 154 | 0.230 | 89.5 | · | 20.0% | 393 | 14.7% | 8.3% | 13.0% | 31 |
| 4 |
|
Jake Fraley | 19 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 206 | 0.200 | 84.4 | · | 14.3% | 400 | 5.9% | 0.0% | 10.2% | 14 |
| 5 |
|
Ben Williamson | 15 | ⚪ D | · | · | 223 | 0.088 | 88.8 | · | 14.3% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.7% | 30 |
| 6 |
|
Chandler Simpson | 10 | ⚪ D | · | · | 238 | 0.042 | 84.3 | · | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.4% | 40 |
| 7 |
|
Nick Fortes | 10 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 239 | 0.106 | 88.4 | · | 0.0% | 408 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.9% | 23 |
| 8 |
|
Taylor Walls | 9 | ⚪ D | · | · | 244 | 0.034 | 82.1 | · | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.7% | 20 |
| 9 |
|
Cedric Mullins | 8 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 245 | 0.106 | 87.4 | · | 0.0% | 385 | 4.2% | 0.0% | 4.6% | 26 |