⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 3 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 6 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 7 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 8 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 9 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 10 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 11 James Wood 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs 1 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 3 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 6 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 7 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 8 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 9 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 10 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 11 James Wood 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs
TB
@ 1:35p
BOS
Fenway Park · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.86×
Weather Mod
-1.0%
cool air · light partial wind out · roof open
Combined
0.770
Temp
59.2°F
Wind
6.9 mph
slight_out
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Willson Contreras Willson Contreras 44 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 45 0.224 91.2 · 26.7% 409 20.0% 25.0% 26.4% 31
2 Wilyer Abreu Wilyer Abreu 31 ⚪ D · · 128 0.175 90.5 · 16.7% 391 17.1% 16.7% 11.1% 31
3 Jarren Duran Jarren Duran 20 ⚪ D · · 200 0.080 90.0 · 26.7% 397 8.6% 25.0% 11.6% 34
4 Ceddanne Rafaela Ceddanne Rafaela 19 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 207 0.116 87.2 · 17.6% 359 8.8% 16.7% 10.2% 32
5 Marcelo Mayer Marcelo Mayer 13 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 230 0.120 87.4 · 0.0% 385 0.0% 0.0% 4.5% 30
6 Masataka Yoshida Masataka Yoshida 11 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 236 0.062 88.2 · 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 5.2% 17
7 Trevor Story Trevor Story 10 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 240 0.098 89.1 · 12.5% 407 5.7% 0.0% 7.5% 25
8 Caleb Durbin Caleb Durbin 8 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 246 0.091 85.4 · 10.0% 386 2.9% 0.0% 7.3% 34
9 Mickey Gasper Mickey Gasper 1 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 252 0.029 90.4 · 12.5% · 0.0% 0.0% 7.5% 11
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Junior Caminero Junior Caminero 38 ⚪ D · · 70 0.231 91.6 · 38.1% 413 25.7% 16.7% 18.4% 30
2 Yandy Díaz Yandy Díaz 32 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 109 0.148 90.1 · 25.0% 365 11.5% 16.7% 10.2% 30
3 Jonathan Aranda Jonathan Aranda 27 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 154 0.230 89.5 · 20.0% 393 14.7% 8.3% 13.0% 31
4 Jake Fraley Jake Fraley 19 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 206 0.200 84.4 · 14.3% 400 5.9% 0.0% 10.2% 14
5 Ben Williamson Ben Williamson 15 ⚪ D · · 223 0.088 88.8 · 14.3% · 0.0% 0.0% 5.7% 30
6 Chandler Simpson Chandler Simpson 10 ⚪ D · · 238 0.042 84.3 · 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 5.4% 40
7 Nick Fortes Nick Fortes 10 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 239 0.106 88.4 · 0.0% 408 0.0% 0.0% 4.9% 23
8 Taylor Walls Taylor Walls 9 ⚪ D · · 244 0.034 82.1 · 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 4.7% 20
9 Cedric Mullins Cedric Mullins 8 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 245 0.106 87.4 · 0.0% 385 4.2% 0.0% 4.6% 26
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