⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 5 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 6 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs 1 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 5 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 6 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs
STL
@ 1:40p
CIN
Great American Ball Park · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.18×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
cool air · crosswind · roof open
Combined
1.179
Temp
63.1°F
Wind
0 mph
cross
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Jordan Walker Jordan Walker 88 🟢 A · · 2 0.274 94.5 14.2% 32.3% 406 23.7% 38.5% 40.5% 40
2 Iván Herrera Iván Herrera 60 🔵 C+ · 🌧️ COOL 46 0.175 89.4 9.3% 21.1% 403 15.8% 25.0% 15.3% 44
3 Alec Burleson Alec Burleson 60 🔵 C+ · 🌧️ COOL 47 0.176 91.3 11.3% 18.2% 408 14.6% 8.3% 16.7% 38
4 Nolan Gorman Nolan Gorman 59 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 51 0.138 89.5 10.7% 15.2% 409 8.5% 8.3% 12.6% 29
5 JJ Wetherholt JJ Wetherholt 55 🟠 C · · 66 0.168 90.2 9.7% 21.2% 394 0.0% 0.0% 19.7% 34
6 Nathan Church Nathan Church 49 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 99 0.144 86.1 10.8% 25.0% 387 9.1% 0.0% 14.8% 26
7 Pedro Pagés Pedro Pagés 48 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 101 0.136 86.2 8.5% 22.2% 403 7.4% 10.0% 12.0% 21
8 Masyn Winn Masyn Winn 40 ⚪ D · · 162 0.092 86.7 6.0% 6.7% 373 2.1% 0.0% 9.3% 32
9 Victor Scott Victor Scott 28 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 243 0.072 87.8 3.5% 9.1% 406 0.0% 0.0% 11.0% 25
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Nathaniel Lowe Nathaniel Lowe 78 🟡 B · 🌤️ WARM 4 0.239 90.7 12.6% 28.6% 399 25.0% 20.0% 33.9% 21
2 Elly De La Cruz Elly De La Cruz 75 🟡 B · · 6 0.245 94.1 12.6% 35.3% 394 18.4% 23.1% 26.9% 34
3 Sal Stewart Sal Stewart 68 🔵 C+ · 🌧️ COOL 24 0.232 90.9 13.2% 36.4% 393 11.1% 15.4% 26.5% 33
4 Spencer Steer Spencer Steer 61 🔵 C+ · · 43 0.186 90.0 12.2% 23.5% 392 10.4% 8.3% 15.3% 44
5 Matt McLain Matt McLain 50 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 86 0.144 88.1 8.9% 27.3% 398 0.0% 0.0% 15.1% 33
6 Tyler Stephenson Tyler Stephenson 45 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 129 0.123 90.6 11.2% 9.1% 388 4.8% 11.1% 8.9% 22
7 Eugenio Suárez Eugenio Suárez 45 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 130 0.120 84.9 9.2% 20.0% 397 3.8% 0.0% 13.0% 2
8 Ke'Bryan Hayes Ke'Bryan Hayes 37 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 191 0.078 90.5 9.9% 20.0% 365 6.9% 0.0% 10.4% 21
9 TJ Friedl TJ Friedl 35 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 202 0.091 88.1 5.4% 5.7% 364 0.0% 0.0% 8.1% 9
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