⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 5 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 6 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs 1 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 5 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 6 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs
STL
@ 6:40p
CIN
Great American Ball Park · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.16×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
cool air · steady partial wind out · roof open
Combined
1.160
Temp
59.6°F
Wind
11.5 mph
slight_out
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Jordan Walker Jordan Walker 82 🟢 A · ❄ COLD 8 0.281 94.4 16.0% 32.3% 406 20.0% 25.0% 42.7% 37
2 Alec Burleson Alec Burleson 58 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 57 0.175 91.4 11.0% 18.2% 408 15.6% 9.1% 13.8% 36
3 Nolan Gorman Nolan Gorman 56 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 65 0.135 89.6 10.0% 15.2% 409 9.1% 9.1% 10.0% 25
4 JJ Wetherholt JJ Wetherholt 54 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 70 0.177 89.8 7.5% 21.2% 394 10.0% 18.2% 18.2% 33
5 Ivan Herrera Ivan Herrera 47 ⚪ D · · 100 0.145 89.3 6.8% 21.1% 403 6.7% 0.0% 12.8% 45
6 Nathan Church Nathan Church 47 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 102 0.158 86.1 9.6% 25.0% 387 9.4% 0.0% 13.4% 33
7 Pedro Pagés Pedro Pagés 43 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 130 0.132 86.3 6.2% 22.2% 403 8.0% 10.0% 12.6% 19
8 Masyn Winn Masyn Winn 35 ⚪ D · · 182 0.098 86.8 3.2% 6.7% 373 2.3% 0.0% 9.0% 30
9 Victor Scott II Victor Scott II 25 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 227 0.077 87.7 1.1% 9.1% 406 2.2% 8.3% 8.8% 22
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Sal Stewart Sal Stewart 76 🟡 B · · 18 0.226 90.9 16.4% 22.2% 393 12.1% 16.7% 20.2% 37
2 Nathaniel Lowe Nathaniel Lowe 76 🟡 B · · 19 0.268 90.1 13.3% 37.5% 393 19.0% 0.0% 26.1% 19
3 Elly De La Cruz Elly De La Cruz 73 🟡 B · · 22 0.226 94.0 14.5% 19.4% 395 15.2% 8.3% 20.8% 34
4 Spencer Steer Spencer Steer 66 🔵 C+ · · 30 0.190 90.2 14.1% 11.8% 392 10.9% 8.3% 12.6% 45
5 Eugenio Suárez Eugenio Suárez 47 ⚪ D · · 101 0.132 84.8 8.2% 18.2% 397 4.2% 0.0% 14.2% 0
6 Tyler Stephenson Tyler Stephenson 47 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 103 0.121 90.8 11.9% 12.0% 388 5.0% 11.1% 8.7% 22
7 Matt McLain Matt McLain 45 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 120 0.130 87.9 6.8% 7.9% 398 8.7% 16.7% 9.0% 35
8 Ke'Bryan Hayes Ke'Bryan Hayes 39 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 160 0.093 90.5 9.0% 4.3% 365 7.1% 0.0% 7.3% 22
9 TJ Friedl TJ Friedl 31 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 206 0.086 87.9 2.7% 8.3% 364 5.0% 0.0% 9.7% 10
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