STL
@
6:40p
CIN
Park Factor
1.16×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
cool air · steady partial wind out · roof open
Combined
1.160
Temp
59.6°F
Wind
11.5 mph
slight_out
Roof
open
Chris Paddack
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Jordan Walker | 82 | 🟢 A | · | ❄ COLD | 8 | 0.281 | 94.4 | 16.0% | 32.3% | 406 | 20.0% | 25.0% | 42.7% | 37 |
| 2 |
|
Alec Burleson | 58 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 57 | 0.175 | 91.4 | 11.0% | 18.2% | 408 | 15.6% | 9.1% | 13.8% | 36 |
| 3 |
|
Nolan Gorman | 56 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 65 | 0.135 | 89.6 | 10.0% | 15.2% | 409 | 9.1% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 25 |
| 4 |
|
JJ Wetherholt | 54 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 70 | 0.177 | 89.8 | 7.5% | 21.2% | 394 | 10.0% | 18.2% | 18.2% | 33 |
| 5 |
|
Ivan Herrera | 47 | ⚪ D | · | · | 100 | 0.145 | 89.3 | 6.8% | 21.1% | 403 | 6.7% | 0.0% | 12.8% | 45 |
| 6 |
|
Nathan Church ⚡ | 47 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 102 | 0.158 | 86.1 | 9.6% | 25.0% | 387 | 9.4% | 0.0% | 13.4% | 33 |
| 7 |
|
Pedro Pagés ⚡ | 43 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 130 | 0.132 | 86.3 | 6.2% | 22.2% | 403 | 8.0% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 19 |
| 8 |
|
Masyn Winn | 35 | ⚪ D | · | · | 182 | 0.098 | 86.8 | 3.2% | 6.7% | 373 | 2.3% | 0.0% | 9.0% | 30 |
| 9 |
|
Victor Scott II | 25 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 227 | 0.077 | 87.7 | 1.1% | 9.1% | 406 | 2.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 22 |
Kyle Leahy
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Sal Stewart | 76 | 🟡 B | · | · | 18 | 0.226 | 90.9 | 16.4% | 22.2% | 393 | 12.1% | 16.7% | 20.2% | 37 |
| 2 |
|
Nathaniel Lowe | 76 | 🟡 B | · | · | 19 | 0.268 | 90.1 | 13.3% | 37.5% | 393 | 19.0% | 0.0% | 26.1% | 19 |
| 3 |
|
Elly De La Cruz | 73 | 🟡 B | · | · | 22 | 0.226 | 94.0 | 14.5% | 19.4% | 395 | 15.2% | 8.3% | 20.8% | 34 |
| 4 |
|
Spencer Steer | 66 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 30 | 0.190 | 90.2 | 14.1% | 11.8% | 392 | 10.9% | 8.3% | 12.6% | 45 |
| 5 |
|
Eugenio Suárez | 47 | ⚪ D | · | · | 101 | 0.132 | 84.8 | 8.2% | 18.2% | 397 | 4.2% | 0.0% | 14.2% | 0 |
| 6 |
|
Tyler Stephenson ⚡ | 47 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 103 | 0.121 | 90.8 | 11.9% | 12.0% | 388 | 5.0% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 22 |
| 7 |
|
Matt McLain | 45 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 120 | 0.130 | 87.9 | 6.8% | 7.9% | 398 | 8.7% | 16.7% | 9.0% | 35 |
| 8 |
|
Ke'Bryan Hayes ⚡ | 39 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 160 | 0.093 | 90.5 | 9.0% | 4.3% | 365 | 7.1% | 0.0% | 7.3% | 22 |
| 9 |
|
TJ Friedl | 31 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 206 | 0.086 | 87.9 | 2.7% | 8.3% | 364 | 5.0% | 0.0% | 9.7% | 10 |