SF
@
1:35p
WSH
Park Factor
1.08×
Weather Mod
-2.0%
cold air · steady crosswind · roof open
Combined
0.865
Temp
50.4°F
Wind
10.4 mph
cross
Roof
open
Robbie Ray
LHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
James Wood | 98 | 🥇 S | · | 🌤️ WARM | 3 | 0.314 | 94.7 | 23.8% | 50.0% | 395 | 57.1% | 50.0% | 42.3% | 33 |
| 2 |
|
CJ Abrams | 80 | 🟢 A | · | · | 19 | 0.296 | 91.9 | 14.0% | 33.3% | 379 | 16.7% | 16.7% | 36.2% | 38 |
| 3 |
|
Joey Wiemer | 50 | 🟠 C | · | ❄ COLD | 86 | 0.220 | 91.0 | 10.0% | 40.0% | 391 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 18.4% | 12 |
| 4 |
|
Keibert Ruiz | 43 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 125 | 0.132 | 87.7 | 7.1% | 8.3% | 373 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.9% | 20 |
| 5 | Luis García Jr. | 42 | ⚪ D | · | · | 132 | 0.123 | 90.8 | 8.5% | 10.0% | 405 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.1% | 30 | |
| 6 |
|
Jacob Young | 42 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 134 | 0.170 | 88.4 | 7.1% | 22.2% | 383 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 13.3% | 33 |
| 7 |
|
Curtis Mead | 41 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 138 | 0.150 | 90.5 | 8.0% | 16.7% | 398 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.1% | 29 |
| 8 |
|
Brady House | 38 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 149 | 0.130 | 88.7 | 9.8% | 14.3% | 395 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.6% | 34 |
| 9 |
|
Nasim Nuñez | 18 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 243 | 0.017 | 85.1 | 0.0% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.3% | 34 |
PJ Poulin
LHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Willy Adames | 69 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 35 | 0.226 | 88.4 | 12.0% | 16.7% | 375 | 12.5% | 10.0% | 18.0% | 39 |
| 2 |
|
Casey Schmitt | 64 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 47 | 0.200 | 93.3 | 10.7% | 14.3% | 385 | 6.2% | 10.0% | 21.4% | 28 |
| 3 |
|
Heliot Ramos | 58 | 🟠 C | · | 🔥 HOT | 62 | 0.121 | 89.3 | 5.1% | 16.7% | · | 14.3% | 25.0% | 14.9% | 27 |
| 4 |
|
Rafael Devers | 47 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 99 | 0.094 | 90.7 | 10.9% | 11.1% | 408 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.2% | 34 |
| 5 |
|
Matt Chapman ⚡ | 47 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 100 | 0.106 | 88.7 | 3.8% | 12.5% | 349 | 6.2% | 0.0% | 9.5% | 41 |
| 6 |
|
Jung Hoo Lee | 40 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 142 | 0.120 | 88.9 | 2.0% | 7.7% | 361 | 6.2% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 40 |
| 7 |
|
Patrick Bailey | 26 | ⚪ D | · | · | 208 | 0.000 | 89.1 | 5.3% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.9% | 22 |
| 8 |
|
Luis Arraez | 25 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 212 | 0.064 | 85.4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.0% | 43 |
| 9 |
|
Drew Gilbert | 25 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 214 | 0.060 | 73.3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 15.2% | 9 |