⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs
SF
@ 1:35p
WSH
Nationals Park · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.08×
Weather Mod
-2.0%
cold air · steady crosswind · roof open
Combined
0.865
Temp
50.4°F
Wind
10.4 mph
cross
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 James Wood James Wood 98 🥇 S · 🌤️ WARM 3 0.314 94.7 23.8% 50.0% 395 57.1% 50.0% 42.3% 33
2 CJ Abrams CJ Abrams 80 🟢 A · · 19 0.296 91.9 14.0% 33.3% 379 16.7% 16.7% 36.2% 38
3 Joey Wiemer Joey Wiemer 50 🟠 C · ❄ COLD 86 0.220 91.0 10.0% 40.0% 391 0.0% 0.0% 18.4% 12
4 Keibert Ruiz Keibert Ruiz 43 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 125 0.132 87.7 7.1% 8.3% 373 0.0% 0.0% 8.9% 20
5 Luis García Jr. 42 ⚪ D · · 132 0.123 90.8 8.5% 10.0% 405 0.0% 0.0% 9.1% 30
6 Jacob Young Jacob Young 42 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 134 0.170 88.4 7.1% 22.2% 383 0.0% 0.0% 13.3% 33
7 Curtis Mead Curtis Mead 41 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 138 0.150 90.5 8.0% 16.7% 398 0.0% 0.0% 11.1% 29
8 Brady House Brady House 38 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 149 0.130 88.7 9.8% 14.3% 395 0.0% 0.0% 9.6% 34
9 Nasim Nuñez Nasim Nuñez 18 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 243 0.017 85.1 0.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 8.3% 34
PJ Poulin
PJ Poulin LHP
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Willy Adames Willy Adames 69 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 35 0.226 88.4 12.0% 16.7% 375 12.5% 10.0% 18.0% 39
2 Casey Schmitt Casey Schmitt 64 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 47 0.200 93.3 10.7% 14.3% 385 6.2% 10.0% 21.4% 28
3 Heliot Ramos Heliot Ramos 58 🟠 C · 🔥 HOT 62 0.121 89.3 5.1% 16.7% · 14.3% 25.0% 14.9% 27
4 Rafael Devers Rafael Devers 47 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 99 0.094 90.7 10.9% 11.1% 408 0.0% 0.0% 9.2% 34
5 Matt Chapman Matt Chapman 47 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 100 0.106 88.7 3.8% 12.5% 349 6.2% 0.0% 9.5% 41
6 Jung Hoo Lee Jung Hoo Lee 40 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 142 0.120 88.9 2.0% 7.7% 361 6.2% 10.0% 8.9% 40
7 Patrick Bailey Patrick Bailey 26 ⚪ D · · 208 0.000 89.1 5.3% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 10.9% 22
8 Luis Arraez Luis Arraez 25 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 212 0.064 85.4 0.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 7.0% 43
9 Drew Gilbert Drew Gilbert 25 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 214 0.060 73.3 0.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 15.2% 9
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