⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs
SF
@ 4:05p
WSH
Nationals Park · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.02×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
mild air · light wind out · roof open
Combined
1.021
Temp
65.4°F
Wind
4.4 mph
out
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 James Wood James Wood 91 🔥 A+ · 🌤️ WARM 5 0.289 94.7 23.8% 50.0% 395 50.0% 40.0% 33.1% 34
2 CJ Abrams CJ Abrams 77 🟡 B · · 24 0.318 91.9 14.0% 37.5% 379 20.0% 20.0% 31.4% 35
3 Joey Wiemer Joey Wiemer 45 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 122 0.225 91.0 10.0% 40.0% 391 0.0% 0.0% 15.1% 12
4 Jacob Young Jacob Young 39 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 155 0.189 88.4 7.1% 25.0% 383 0.0% 0.0% 12.1% 30
5 Luis García Jr. 37 ⚪ D · · 167 0.129 90.8 8.5% 11.1% 405 0.0% 0.0% 7.4% 31
6 Daylen Lile Daylen Lile 36 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 175 0.093 88.4 3.2% 4.5% · 16.7% 20.0% 6.3% 44
7 Brady House Brady House 33 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 189 0.133 88.7 9.8% 15.4% 395 0.0% 0.0% 7.9% 34
8 Jorbit Vivas Jorbit Vivas 13 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 259 0.026 80.0 0.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.9% 24
9 Nasim Nuñez Nasim Nuñez 12 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 263 0.017 85.1 0.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.7% 30
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Willy Adames Willy Adames 65 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 48 0.244 88.4 12.0% 17.6% 375 13.3% 10.0% 13.1% 38
2 Casey Schmitt Casey Schmitt 59 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 66 0.204 93.3 10.7% 16.7% 385 6.7% 10.0% 17.0% 24
3 Rafael Devers Rafael Devers 42 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 137 0.101 90.7 10.9% 11.8% 408 0.0% 0.0% 6.1% 32
4 Matt Chapman Matt Chapman 39 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 154 0.114 88.7 3.8% 14.3% 349 6.7% 0.0% 6.3% 39
5 Heliot Ramos Heliot Ramos 39 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 156 0.072 89.3 5.1% 10.0% · 7.7% 12.5% 6.0% 26
6 Jung Hoo Lee Jung Hoo Lee 36 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 174 0.131 88.9 2.0% 7.7% 361 6.7% 10.0% 5.8% 36
7 Harrison Bader Harrison Bader 26 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 220 0.077 87.1 8.3% 14.3% 408 0.0% 0.0% 6.3% 16
8 Luis Arraez Luis Arraez 23 ⚪ D · · 233 0.070 85.4 0.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 4.5% 41
9 Patrick Bailey Patrick Bailey 20 ⚪ D · · 240 0.000 89.1 5.3% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 7.1% 24
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