⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 3 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 6 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 7 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 8 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 9 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 10 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 11 James Wood 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs 1 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 3 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 6 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 7 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 8 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 9 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 10 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 11 James Wood 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs
SF
@ 10:10p
LAD
Dodger Stadium · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.21×
Weather Mod
-1.0%
cool air · light partial wind out · roof open
Combined
1.091
Temp
61.6°F
Wind
5.8 mph
slight_out
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Andy Pages Andy Pages 52 🟠 C +425 🌤️ WARM 18 0.197 90.9 · 14.3% 387 15.4% 16.7% 27.0% 38
2 Max Muncy Max Muncy 48 ⚪ D +305 🌤️ WARM 30 0.163 93.0 · 33.3% 409 20.0% 13.0% 20.2% 27
3 Shohei Ohtani Shohei Ohtani 41 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 60 0.218 92.9 · 23.1% 400 10.3% 8.3% 17.1% 30
4 Freddie Freeman Freddie Freeman 36 ⚪ D +400 🌧️ COOL 91 0.155 92.0 · 20.0% 412 7.9% 8.3% 11.6% 37
5 Will Smith Will Smith 34 ⚪ D +390 🌤️ WARM 99 0.112 89.6 · 0.0% 406 7.9% 0.0% 7.2% 24
6 Kyle Tucker Kyle Tucker 34 ⚪ D +425 · 101 0.130 89.0 · 9.1% 397 5.3% 8.3% 7.9% 31
7 Teoscar Hernández Teoscar Hernández 33 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 105 0.163 90.8 · 0.0% 387 3.7% 0.0% 9.7% 22
8 Alex Freeland Alex Freeland 24 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 182 0.091 88.7 · 9.1% 388 4.0% 8.3% 10.6% 19
9 Hyeseong Kim Hyeseong Kim 23 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 192 0.093 85.3 · 10.0% 372 0.0% 0.0% 8.3% 24
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Casey Schmitt Casey Schmitt 48 ⚪ D +425 · 28 0.238 89.8 · 17.2% 396 13.9% 15.4% 20.7% 37
2 Rafael Devers Rafael Devers 32 ⚪ D +425 · 117 0.087 90.2 · 18.2% 396 11.5% 23.1% 15.8% 31
3 Matt Chapman Matt Chapman 31 ⚪ D +625 🌤️ WARM 119 0.091 87.1 · 11.1% 349 2.7% 0.0% 9.5% 30
4 Willy Adames Willy Adames 31 ⚪ D +525 🌧️ COOL 120 0.166 88.6 · 13.0% 375 5.4% 0.0% 12.2% 39
5 Heliot Ramos Heliot Ramos 29 ⚪ D +500 ❄ COLD 139 0.149 92.0 · 15.8% 399 11.4% 7.7% 11.4% 42
6 Harrison Bader Harrison Bader 28 ⚪ D +750 🌤️ WARM 155 0.077 88.6 · 0.0% 384 5.0% 8.3% 10.7% 5
7 Jung Hoo Lee Jung Hoo Lee 26 ⚪ D +850 ❄ COLD 165 0.155 88.3 · 9.1% 363 5.4% 0.0% 9.4% 48
8 Luis Arraez Luis Arraez 24 ⚪ D +950 · 178 0.065 86.6 · 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 5.9% 45
9 Patrick Bailey Patrick Bailey 13 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 240 0.043 89.8 · 0.0% 407 2.9% 0.0% 7.0% 11
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