SF
@
9:10p
COL
Park Factor
1.27×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
warm air · light wind in · roof open
Combined
1.269
Temp
73.7°F
Wind
2.0 mph
in
Roof
open
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Casey Schmitt | 86 | 🟢 A | +390 | · | 2 | 0.261 | 89.5 | 14.5% | 22.5% | 390 | 19.6% | 41.7% | 36.7% | 46 |
| 2 |
|
Willy Adames | 71 | 🟡 B | +330 | 🌤️ WARM | 17 | 0.184 | 89.0 | 11.2% | 21.2% | 381 | 11.5% | 33.3% | 27.1% | 38 |
| 3 |
|
Rafael Devers | 70 | 🟡 B | +305 | 🔥 HOT | 19 | 0.166 | 91.5 | 12.3% | 17.1% | 402 | 12.2% | 16.7% | 17.6% | 36 |
| 4 |
|
Heliot Ramos | 62 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 46 | 0.158 | 92.0 | 13.8% | 13.6% | 399 | 9.1% | 0.0% | 15.8% | 0 |
| 5 |
|
Patrick Bailey | 51 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 104 | 0.062 | 90.4 | 9.3% | 5.9% | 407 | 4.0% | 8.3% | 12.4% | 17 |
| 6 |
|
Matt Chapman | 43 | ⚪ D | +500 | · | 154 | 0.105 | 86.8 | 8.0% | 8.0% | 349 | 1.9% | 0.0% | 9.5% | 36 |
| 7 |
|
Jung Hoo Lee | 38 | ⚪ D | +850 | ❄ COLD | 184 | 0.130 | 87.8 | 5.1% | 12.0% | 363 | 6.5% | 0.0% | 11.5% | 14 |
| 8 |
|
Drew Gilbert | 37 | ⚪ D | +750 | 🌧️ COOL | 191 | 0.107 | 83.7 | 5.9% | 20.0% | 380 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 12.8% | 27 |
| 9 |
|
Luis Arráez | 35 | ⚪ D | · | · | 206 | 0.104 | 87.6 | · | 2.3% | 345 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.8% | 43 |
Adrian Houser
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Hunter Goodman | 72 | 🟡 B | +370 | 🌧️ COOL | 15 | 0.234 | 91.2 | 11.2% | 28.1% | 402 | 21.3% | 20.0% | 34.0% | 27 |
| 2 |
|
Mickey Moniak | 69 | 🔵 C+ | · | ❄ COLD | 20 | 0.311 | 89.7 | 11.0% | 25.0% | 417 | 17.0% | 0.0% | 25.0% | 13 |
| 3 | Tj Rumfield | 51 | 🟠 C | · | · | 102 | 0.171 | 85.8 | 8.4% | 21.1% | 412 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 16.7% | 32 | |
| 4 |
|
Ezequiel Tovar | 50 | 🟠 C | +700 | · | 107 | 0.114 | 88.0 | 8.4% | 12.5% | 420 | 6.0% | 18.2% | 17.8% | 35 |
| 5 |
|
Jake McCarthy | 44 | ⚪ D | +850 | · | 144 | 0.140 | 83.8 | 7.0% | 8.7% | 425 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.5% | 41 |
| 6 |
|
Kyle Karros | 43 | ⚪ D | · | · | 153 | 0.092 | 89.2 | 6.8% | 14.3% | 414 | 4.9% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 27 |
| 7 |
|
Edouard Julien | 40 | ⚪ D | +700 | ❄ COLD | 169 | 0.118 | 90.6 | 8.2% | 14.3% | 389 | 4.1% | 0.0% | 11.8% | 16 |
| 8 |
|
Willi Castro | 40 | ⚪ D | +750 | · | 171 | 0.086 | 89.4 | 7.1% | 8.0% | 406 | 2.6% | 0.0% | 10.7% | 29 |
| 9 |
|
Troy Johnston | 39 | ⚪ D | +750 | 🌧️ COOL | 180 | 0.150 | 88.7 | 3.7% | 13.6% | 415 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 13.3% | 32 |