SF
@
8:40p
COL
Park Factor
1.00×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
warm air · light wind out · roof open
Combined
0.999
Temp
76.7°F
Wind
3 mph
out
Roof
open
Michael Lorenzen
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Casey Schmitt | 76 | 🟡 B | +425 | · | 7 | 0.261 | 89.5 | 12.2% | 22.5% | 390 | 20.0% | 41.7% | 27.8% | 43 |
| 2 |
|
Rafael Devers | 61 | 🔵 C+ | +390 | 🔥 HOT | 44 | 0.166 | 91.4 | 10.0% | 17.1% | 402 | 12.5% | 16.7% | 15.3% | 35 |
| 3 |
|
Willy Adames | 59 | 🟠 C | +400 | · | 49 | 0.184 | 88.9 | 9.4% | 22.6% | 381 | 11.8% | 33.3% | 20.9% | 37 |
| 4 |
|
Heliot Ramos | 52 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 76 | 0.158 | 92.0 | 11.5% | 13.6% | 399 | 9.3% | 0.0% | 11.9% | 2 |
| 5 |
|
Patrick Bailey | 46 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 117 | 0.062 | 90.3 | 7.9% | 5.9% | 407 | 4.2% | 8.3% | 11.9% | 15 |
| 6 |
|
Matt Chapman | 36 | ⚪ D | +575 | · | 170 | 0.105 | 87.0 | 6.7% | 8.3% | 349 | 2.0% | 0.0% | 7.3% | 35 |
| 7 |
|
Jung Hoo Lee | 34 | ⚪ D | +850 | 🌧️ COOL | 180 | 0.130 | 88.0 | 4.3% | 12.0% | 363 | 6.7% | 0.0% | 9.8% | 14 |
| 8 |
|
Drew Gilbert | 30 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 203 | 0.107 | 83.7 | 4.9% | 20.0% | 380 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.9% | 27 |
| 9 |
|
Luis Arráez | 30 | ⚪ D | · | · | 204 | 0.104 | 87.5 | · | 2.3% | 345 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.2% | 44 |
Logan Webb
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Hunter Goodman | 58 | 🟠 C | +500 | 🌧️ COOL | 55 | 0.234 | 90.8 | 9.6% | 29.0% | 401 | 19.6% | 20.0% | 24.9% | 28 |
| 2 | TJ Rumfield | 38 | ⚪ D | +850 | 🌧️ COOL | 157 | 0.171 | 85.8 | 7.4% | 21.1% | 412 | 7.5% | 0.0% | 12.1% | 31 | |
| 3 |
|
Jake McCarthy | 35 | ⚪ D | · | · | 177 | 0.140 | 83.9 | 6.1% | 8.7% | 425 | 7.1% | 0.0% | 8.4% | 41 |
| 4 |
|
Willi Castro | 32 | ⚪ D | +850 | 🌤️ WARM | 199 | 0.086 | 89.7 | 6.3% | 8.3% | 406 | 2.7% | 0.0% | 7.8% | 28 |
| 5 |
|
Edouard Julien | 31 | ⚪ D | +850 | 🌧️ COOL | 200 | 0.118 | 90.6 | 7.3% | 14.3% | 389 | 4.2% | 0.0% | 8.5% | 15 |
| 6 |
|
Ezequiel Tovar | 31 | ⚪ D | +850 | 🌧️ COOL | 201 | 0.114 | 88.0 | 6.7% | 12.5% | 416 | 4.1% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 34 |
| 7 |
|
Kyle Karros | 31 | ⚪ D | +800 | · | 202 | 0.092 | 89.0 | 6.0% | 14.3% | 414 | 5.0% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 28 |
| 8 |
|
Troy Johnston | 27 | ⚪ D | +850 | 🌧️ COOL | 214 | 0.150 | 88.7 | 3.2% | 14.3% | 415 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.7% | 31 |
| 9 |
|
Tyler Freeman | 22 | ⚪ D | · | · | 234 | 0.074 | 87.2 | · | 0.0% | 361 | 5.3% | 0.0% | 6.3% | 30 |