⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Christian Walker 5 HRs · 2 Casey Schmitt 5 HRs · 3 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 6 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 9 Munetaka Murakami 4 HRs · 10 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs 1 Christian Walker 5 HRs · 2 Casey Schmitt 5 HRs · 3 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 6 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 9 Munetaka Murakami 4 HRs · 10 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs
SF
@ 8:40p
COL
Coors Field · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.00×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
warm air · light wind out · roof open
Combined
0.999
Temp
76.7°F
Wind
3 mph
out
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Casey Schmitt Casey Schmitt 76 🟡 B +425 · 7 0.261 89.5 12.2% 22.5% 390 20.0% 41.7% 27.8% 43
2 Rafael Devers Rafael Devers 61 🔵 C+ +390 🔥 HOT 44 0.166 91.4 10.0% 17.1% 402 12.5% 16.7% 15.3% 35
3 Willy Adames Willy Adames 59 🟠 C +400 · 49 0.184 88.9 9.4% 22.6% 381 11.8% 33.3% 20.9% 37
4 Heliot Ramos Heliot Ramos 52 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 76 0.158 92.0 11.5% 13.6% 399 9.3% 0.0% 11.9% 2
5 Patrick Bailey Patrick Bailey 46 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 117 0.062 90.3 7.9% 5.9% 407 4.2% 8.3% 11.9% 15
6 Matt Chapman Matt Chapman 36 ⚪ D +575 · 170 0.105 87.0 6.7% 8.3% 349 2.0% 0.0% 7.3% 35
7 Jung Hoo Lee Jung Hoo Lee 34 ⚪ D +850 🌧️ COOL 180 0.130 88.0 4.3% 12.0% 363 6.7% 0.0% 9.8% 14
8 Drew Gilbert Drew Gilbert 30 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 203 0.107 83.7 4.9% 20.0% 380 0.0% 0.0% 10.9% 27
9 Luis Arráez Luis Arráez 30 ⚪ D · · 204 0.104 87.5 · 2.3% 345 0.0% 0.0% 8.2% 44
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Hunter Goodman Hunter Goodman 58 🟠 C +500 🌧️ COOL 55 0.234 90.8 9.6% 29.0% 401 19.6% 20.0% 24.9% 28
2 TJ Rumfield 38 ⚪ D +850 🌧️ COOL 157 0.171 85.8 7.4% 21.1% 412 7.5% 0.0% 12.1% 31
3 Jake McCarthy Jake McCarthy 35 ⚪ D · · 177 0.140 83.9 6.1% 8.7% 425 7.1% 0.0% 8.4% 41
4 Willi Castro Willi Castro 32 ⚪ D +850 🌤️ WARM 199 0.086 89.7 6.3% 8.3% 406 2.7% 0.0% 7.8% 28
5 Edouard Julien Edouard Julien 31 ⚪ D +850 🌧️ COOL 200 0.118 90.6 7.3% 14.3% 389 4.2% 0.0% 8.5% 15
6 Ezequiel Tovar Ezequiel Tovar 31 ⚪ D +850 🌧️ COOL 201 0.114 88.0 6.7% 12.5% 416 4.1% 9.1% 8.0% 34
7 Kyle Karros Kyle Karros 31 ⚪ D +800 · 202 0.092 89.0 6.0% 14.3% 414 5.0% 9.1% 8.2% 28
8 Troy Johnston Troy Johnston 27 ⚪ D +850 🌧️ COOL 214 0.150 88.7 3.2% 14.3% 415 0.0% 0.0% 9.7% 31
9 Tyler Freeman Tyler Freeman 22 ⚪ D · · 234 0.074 87.2 · 0.0% 361 5.3% 0.0% 6.3% 30
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