⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs
SD
@ 3:45p
SF
Oracle Park · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.88×
Weather Mod
-1.0%
cool air · light crosswind · roof open
Combined
0.788
Temp
57.0°F
Wind
7 mph
cross
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Casey Schmitt Casey Schmitt 46 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 48 0.238 89.8 · 20.0% 396 16.7% 33.3% 26.7% 36
2 Jung Hoo Lee Jung Hoo Lee 37 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 102 0.155 88.3 · 10.5% 363 6.5% 7.7% 9.5% 43
3 Heliot Ramos Heliot Ramos 31 ⚪ D · · 147 0.149 92.7 · 11.1% 386 10.3% 7.7% 8.5% 37
4 Matt Chapman Matt Chapman 27 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 179 0.091 87.3 · 16.7% 349 3.2% 0.0% 8.0% 25
5 Willy Adames Willy Adames 24 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 204 0.166 87.7 · 20.0% 375 6.5% 0.0% 11.0% 30
6 Harrison Bader Harrison Bader 21 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 218 0.077 87.1 · 0.0% 408 0.0% 0.0% 11.2% 27
7 Luis Arraez Luis Arraez 20 ⚪ D · · 223 0.065 86.8 · 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 5.8% 47
8 Patrick Bailey Patrick Bailey 17 ⚪ D · · 240 0.043 90.6 · 0.0% 407 3.4% 8.3% 8.6% 16
9 Rafael Devers Rafael Devers 16 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 245 0.087 89.7 · 5.9% 408 0.0% 0.0% 7.3% 32
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Gavin Sheets Gavin Sheets 42 ⚪ D · · 68 0.244 88.5 · 29.4% 413 6.9% 9.1% 29.5% 23
2 Miguel Andujar Miguel Andujar 41 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 74 0.165 89.4 · 8.3% 397 11.8% 16.7% 14.4% 30
3 Manny Machado Manny Machado 38 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 94 0.162 89.9 · 26.7% 399 13.3% 16.7% 22.0% 34
4 Xander Bogaerts Xander Bogaerts 34 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 124 0.156 88.5 · 27.3% 386 16.7% 25.0% 22.4% 32
5 Ramón Laureano Ramón Laureano 30 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 152 0.187 89.2 · 27.3% 406 5.6% 8.3% 15.9% 25
6 Jackson Merrill Jackson Merrill 25 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 195 0.130 89.6 · 16.0% 408 13.3% 8.3% 8.3% 32
7 Nick Castellanos Nick Castellanos 24 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 202 0.109 88.5 · 7.7% 405 0.0% 0.0% 9.8% 17
8 Fernando Tatis Jr. Fernando Tatis Jr. 13 ⚪ D · · 258 0.036 92.8 · 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 7.0% 32
9 Jake Cronenworth Jake Cronenworth 12 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 261 0.056 87.4 · 7.7% 399 3.3% 0.0% 7.4% 21
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