⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs
SD
@ 9:45p
SF
Oracle Park · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.87×
Weather Mod
-3.0%
cold air · steady wind in · roof open
Combined
0.606
Temp
52.9°F
Wind
9.0 mph
in
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Gavin Sheets Gavin Sheets 37 ⚪ D · · 82 0.244 88.8 · 35.7% 413 7.1% 10.0% 30.3% 20
2 Manny Machado Manny Machado 33 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 120 0.168 89.5 · 28.6% 399 13.8% 18.2% 13.5% 33
3 Miguel Andujar Miguel Andujar 31 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 139 0.125 88.9 · 9.1% 397 12.5% 18.2% 7.2% 28
4 Xander Bogaerts Xander Bogaerts 25 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 178 0.162 88.3 · 25.0% 385 13.8% 18.2% 10.4% 30
5 Ramón Laureano Ramón Laureano 21 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 210 0.188 89.3 · 23.8% 396 5.9% 9.1% 8.9% 26
6 Jackson Merrill Jackson Merrill 20 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 213 0.134 89.1 · 12.5% 399 13.8% 9.1% 7.7% 29
7 Freddy Fermin Freddy Fermin 13 ⚪ D · · 244 0.064 87.2 · 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 4.4% 18
8 Jake Cronenworth Jake Cronenworth 7 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 259 0.058 87.6 · 8.3% 399 3.4% 0.0% 7.2% 24
9 Fernando Tatis Jr. Fernando Tatis Jr. 5 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 261 0.036 93.2 · 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 4.1% 30
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Casey Schmitt Casey Schmitt 37 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 84 0.238 89.1 · 13.0% 399 13.8% 25.0% 24.5% 37
2 Jung Hoo Lee Jung Hoo Lee 30 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 146 0.155 88.8 · 11.8% 363 6.7% 7.7% 8.3% 42
3 Heliot Ramos Heliot Ramos 25 ⚪ D · · 176 0.149 93.4 · 11.8% 386 10.7% 7.7% 9.2% 38
4 Willy Adames Willy Adames 18 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 220 0.166 88.7 · 20.0% 375 6.7% 0.0% 11.7% 29
5 Harrison Bader Harrison Bader 14 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 235 0.077 87.1 · 0.0% 408 0.0% 0.0% 8.6% 30
6 Patrick Bailey Patrick Bailey 14 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 238 0.043 90.6 · 0.0% 407 3.6% 8.3% 6.9% 17
7 Luis Arraez Luis Arraez 13 ⚪ D · · 243 0.065 86.9 · 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 4.9% 51
8 Matt Chapman Matt Chapman 11 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 248 0.091 87.2 · 18.2% 349 3.3% 0.0% 8.7% 23
9 Rafael Devers Rafael Devers 7 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 260 0.087 89.5 · 6.2% 408 0.0% 0.0% 6.3% 31
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