⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 3 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 6 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 7 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 8 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 9 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 10 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 11 James Wood 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs 1 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 3 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 6 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 7 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 8 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 9 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 10 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 11 James Wood 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs
PIT
@ 9:05p
SF
Oracle Park · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.92×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
cold air · steady wind out · roof open
Combined
0.916
Temp
53.4°F
Wind
8.1 mph
out
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Brandon Lowe Brandon Lowe 49 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 26 0.275 88.6 · 33.3% 402 14.3% 27.3% 28.5% 31
2 Oneil Cruz Oneil Cruz 37 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 78 0.265 95.6 · 30.0% 415 25.8% 9.1% 16.2% 29
3 Spencer Horwitz Spencer Horwitz 28 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 148 0.136 86.2 · 16.0% 385 3.6% 9.1% 7.5% 36
4 Ryan O'Hearn Ryan O'Hearn 26 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 172 0.183 90.4 · 16.7% 388 10.0% 8.3% 10.3% 33
5 Bryan Reynolds Bryan Reynolds 23 ⚪ D · · 191 0.119 91.6 · 12.5% 415 12.5% 8.3% 6.9% 30
6 Konnor Griffin Konnor Griffin 19 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 212 0.115 88.3 · 15.4% 395 0.0% 0.0% 5.7% 31
7 Marcell Ozuna Marcell Ozuna 17 ⚪ D · · 226 0.080 89.1 · 10.5% 400 8.8% 9.1% 8.0% 27
8 Nick Yorke Nick Yorke 16 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 229 0.089 90.4 · 0.0% 394 5.6% 0.0% 5.4% 5
9 Nick Gonzales Nick Gonzales 6 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 259 0.049 86.6 · 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 4.5% 33
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Casey Schmitt Casey Schmitt 40 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 57 0.238 89.7 · 19.2% 396 15.6% 33.3% 20.6% 36
2 Jung Hoo Lee Jung Hoo Lee 30 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 132 0.155 88.4 · 10.0% 363 6.1% 0.0% 8.2% 42
3 Heliot Ramos Heliot Ramos 26 ⚪ D · · 170 0.149 92.9 · 11.1% 386 9.7% 8.3% 6.7% 35
4 Matt Chapman Matt Chapman 22 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 196 0.091 87.3 · 15.4% 349 3.0% 0.0% 6.2% 22
5 Willy Adames Willy Adames 21 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 203 0.166 87.9 · 17.6% 375 6.1% 0.0% 8.3% 29
6 Rafael Devers Rafael Devers 20 ⚪ D · · 208 0.087 90.1 · 15.8% 395 9.1% 16.7% 10.4% 30
7 Harrison Bader Harrison Bader 16 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 230 0.077 87.1 · 0.0% 408 0.0% 0.0% 6.5% 28
8 Luis Arraez Luis Arraez 15 ⚪ D · · 237 0.065 86.7 · 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 5.0% 40
9 Patrick Bailey Patrick Bailey 8 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 257 0.043 90.4 · 0.0% 407 3.2% 0.0% 5.9% 11
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