PIT
@
9:05p
SF
Park Factor
0.92×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
cold air · steady wind out · roof open
Combined
0.916
Temp
53.4°F
Wind
8.1 mph
out
Roof
open
Landen Roupp
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Brandon Lowe | 49 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 26 | 0.275 | 88.6 | · | 33.3% | 402 | 14.3% | 27.3% | 28.5% | 31 |
| 2 |
|
Oneil Cruz | 37 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 78 | 0.265 | 95.6 | · | 30.0% | 415 | 25.8% | 9.1% | 16.2% | 29 |
| 3 |
|
Spencer Horwitz | 28 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 148 | 0.136 | 86.2 | · | 16.0% | 385 | 3.6% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 36 |
| 4 |
|
Ryan O'Hearn | 26 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 172 | 0.183 | 90.4 | · | 16.7% | 388 | 10.0% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 33 |
| 5 |
|
Bryan Reynolds | 23 | ⚪ D | · | · | 191 | 0.119 | 91.6 | · | 12.5% | 415 | 12.5% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 30 |
| 6 |
|
Konnor Griffin | 19 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 212 | 0.115 | 88.3 | · | 15.4% | 395 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.7% | 31 |
| 7 |
|
Marcell Ozuna | 17 | ⚪ D | · | · | 226 | 0.080 | 89.1 | · | 10.5% | 400 | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 27 |
| 8 |
|
Nick Yorke | 16 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 229 | 0.089 | 90.4 | · | 0.0% | 394 | 5.6% | 0.0% | 5.4% | 5 |
| 9 |
|
Nick Gonzales | 6 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 259 | 0.049 | 86.6 | · | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.5% | 33 |
Braxton Ashcraft
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Casey Schmitt | 40 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 57 | 0.238 | 89.7 | · | 19.2% | 396 | 15.6% | 33.3% | 20.6% | 36 |
| 2 |
|
Jung Hoo Lee | 30 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 132 | 0.155 | 88.4 | · | 10.0% | 363 | 6.1% | 0.0% | 8.2% | 42 |
| 3 |
|
Heliot Ramos | 26 | ⚪ D | · | · | 170 | 0.149 | 92.9 | · | 11.1% | 386 | 9.7% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 35 |
| 4 |
|
Matt Chapman ⚡ | 22 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 196 | 0.091 | 87.3 | · | 15.4% | 349 | 3.0% | 0.0% | 6.2% | 22 |
| 5 |
|
Willy Adames | 21 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 203 | 0.166 | 87.9 | · | 17.6% | 375 | 6.1% | 0.0% | 8.3% | 29 |
| 6 |
|
Rafael Devers | 20 | ⚪ D | · | · | 208 | 0.087 | 90.1 | · | 15.8% | 395 | 9.1% | 16.7% | 10.4% | 30 |
| 7 |
|
Harrison Bader | 16 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 230 | 0.077 | 87.1 | · | 0.0% | 408 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.5% | 28 |
| 8 |
|
Luis Arraez | 15 | ⚪ D | · | · | 237 | 0.065 | 86.7 | · | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.0% | 40 |
| 9 |
|
Patrick Bailey | 8 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 257 | 0.043 | 90.4 | · | 0.0% | 407 | 3.2% | 0.0% | 5.9% | 11 |