PIT
@
10:15p
SF
Park Factor
0.91×
Weather Mod
+1.0%
cold air · strong partial wind out · roof open
Combined
0.999
Temp
52.8°F
Wind
18.0 mph
slight_out
Roof
open
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Casey Schmitt | 39 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 63 | 0.238 | 89.4 | · | 19.2% | 396 | 16.1% | 33.3% | 18.8% | 36 |
| 2 |
|
Jung Hoo Lee | 31 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 120 | 0.155 | 88.3 | · | 10.0% | 363 | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 42 |
| 3 |
|
Heliot Ramos | 25 | ⚪ D | · | · | 163 | 0.149 | 92.5 | · | 11.1% | 386 | 10.0% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 34 |
| 4 |
|
Matt Chapman ⚡ | 21 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 184 | 0.091 | 87.3 | · | 15.4% | 349 | 3.1% | 0.0% | 5.7% | 23 |
| 5 |
|
Harrison Bader | 18 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 201 | 0.077 | 87.1 | · | 0.0% | 408 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.6% | 30 |
| 6 |
|
Willy Adames | 18 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 202 | 0.166 | 88.0 | · | 18.8% | 375 | 6.2% | 0.0% | 7.7% | 28 |
| 7 |
|
Luis Arraez | 14 | ⚪ D | · | · | 217 | 0.065 | 86.8 | · | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.4% | 41 |
| 8 |
|
Rafael Devers | 10 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 235 | 0.087 | 89.8 | · | 11.1% | 393 | 4.8% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 30 |
| 9 |
|
Patrick Bailey | 7 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 240 | 0.043 | 90.4 | · | 0.0% | 407 | 3.3% | 0.0% | 5.2% | 11 |