PIT
@
2:20p
CHC
Park Factor
1.03×
Weather Mod
-3.0%
cold air · light wind in · roof open
Combined
0.724
Temp
35.4°F
Wind
4.8 mph
in
Roof
open
Edward Cabrera
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Oneil Cruz | 63 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 22 | 0.178 | 95.8 | 12.4% | 17.7% | 410 | 27.3% | 30.0% | 22.0% | 31 |
| 2 |
|
Bryan Reynolds | 57 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 49 | 0.157 | 91.2 | 9.3% | 13.4% | 400 | 25.0% | 27.3% | 16.9% | 32 |
| 3 |
|
Andrew McCutchen | 43 | ⚪ D | · | · | 116 | 0.128 | 89.5 | 8.5% | 9.6% | 393 | 9.1% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 12 |
| 4 |
|
Henry Davis | 40 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 146 | 0.111 | 88.6 | 9.9% | 7.7% | 404 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.3% | 19 |
| 5 |
|
Tommy Pham | 37 | ⚪ D | · | · | 162 | 0.125 | 91.6 | 7.5% | 10.0% | 418 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.0% | 0 |
| 6 |
|
Spencer Horwitz | 35 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 181 | 0.162 | 87.4 | 8.4% | 9.2% | 403 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.6% | 20 |
| 7 |
|
Joey Bart | 35 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 182 | 0.091 | 88.4 | 9.5% | 7.1% | 402 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.6% | 7 |
| 8 |
|
Nick Gonzales | 31 | ⚪ D | · | · | 199 | 0.102 | 88.8 | 6.2% | 5.0% | 396 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.1% | 32 |
| 9 |
|
Jared Triolo | 30 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 204 | 0.130 | 89.0 | 7.3% | 6.6% | 405 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.9% | 15 |
Braxton Ashcraft
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Ian Happ | 55 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 54 | 0.178 | 90.0 | 6.9% | 13.3% | 393 | 38.5% | 41.7% | 11.6% | 23 |
| 2 |
|
Seiya Suzuki ⚡ | 48 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 87 | 0.233 | 91.3 | 8.7% | 16.5% | 398 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 12.5% | 2 |
| 3 |
|
Matt Shaw | 48 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 91 | 0.168 | 84.9 | 5.6% | 10.8% | 387 | 27.3% | 30.0% | 8.1% | 29 |
| 4 |
|
Dansby Swanson ⚡ | 46 | ⚪ D | · | · | 99 | 0.173 | 90.5 | 7.3% | 15.5% | 403 | 15.4% | 16.7% | 7.2% | 25 |
| 5 |
|
Michael Busch | 45 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 103 | 0.261 | 92.2 | 8.9% | 20.9% | 397 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.8% | 35 |
| 6 |
|
Pete Crow-Armstrong | 43 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 118 | 0.234 | 89.5 | 7.7% | 14.2% | 395 | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 35 |
| 7 |
|
Carson Kelly ⚡ | 41 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 134 | 0.179 | 88.8 | 6.7% | 13.6% | 386 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.0% | 23 |
| 8 |
|
Kyle Tucker | 35 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 183 | 0.198 | 90.1 | 7.0% | 11.8% | 393 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.2% | 31 |
| 9 |
|
Nico Hoerner ⚡ | 21 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 223 | 0.097 | 86.7 | 3.2% | 3.7% | 379 | 7.7% | 8.3% | 2.7% | 38 |