⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs
PIT
@ 2:20p
CHC
Wrigley Field · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.03×
Weather Mod
-3.0%
cold air · light wind in · roof open
Combined
0.724
Temp
35.4°F
Wind
4.8 mph
in
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Oneil Cruz Oneil Cruz 63 🔵 C+ · · 22 0.178 95.8 12.4% 17.7% 410 27.3% 30.0% 22.0% 31
2 Bryan Reynolds Bryan Reynolds 57 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 49 0.157 91.2 9.3% 13.4% 400 25.0% 27.3% 16.9% 32
3 Andrew McCutchen Andrew McCutchen 43 ⚪ D · · 116 0.128 89.5 8.5% 9.6% 393 9.1% 10.0% 11.9% 12
4 Henry Davis Henry Davis 40 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 146 0.111 88.6 9.9% 7.7% 404 0.0% 0.0% 6.3% 19
5 Tommy Pham Tommy Pham 37 ⚪ D · · 162 0.125 91.6 7.5% 10.0% 418 0.0% 0.0% 9.0% 0
6 Spencer Horwitz Spencer Horwitz 35 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 181 0.162 87.4 8.4% 9.2% 403 0.0% 0.0% 8.6% 20
7 Joey Bart Joey Bart 35 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 182 0.091 88.4 9.5% 7.1% 402 0.0% 0.0% 7.6% 7
8 Nick Gonzales Nick Gonzales 31 ⚪ D · · 199 0.102 88.8 6.2% 5.0% 396 0.0% 0.0% 5.1% 32
9 Jared Triolo Jared Triolo 30 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 204 0.130 89.0 7.3% 6.6% 405 0.0% 0.0% 5.9% 15
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Ian Happ Ian Happ 55 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 54 0.178 90.0 6.9% 13.3% 393 38.5% 41.7% 11.6% 23
2 Seiya Suzuki Seiya Suzuki 48 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 87 0.233 91.3 8.7% 16.5% 398 0.0% 0.0% 12.5% 2
3 Matt Shaw Matt Shaw 48 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 91 0.168 84.9 5.6% 10.8% 387 27.3% 30.0% 8.1% 29
4 Dansby Swanson Dansby Swanson 46 ⚪ D · · 99 0.173 90.5 7.3% 15.5% 403 15.4% 16.7% 7.2% 25
5 Michael Busch Michael Busch 45 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 103 0.261 92.2 8.9% 20.9% 397 0.0% 0.0% 11.8% 35
6 Pete Crow-Armstrong Pete Crow-Armstrong 43 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 118 0.234 89.5 7.7% 14.2% 395 7.7% 8.3% 9.3% 35
7 Carson Kelly Carson Kelly 41 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 134 0.179 88.8 6.7% 13.6% 386 0.0% 0.0% 7.0% 23
8 Kyle Tucker Kyle Tucker 35 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 183 0.198 90.1 7.0% 11.8% 393 0.0% 0.0% 7.2% 31
9 Nico Hoerner Nico Hoerner 21 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 223 0.097 86.7 3.2% 3.7% 379 7.7% 8.3% 2.7% 38
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