⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs
MIN
@ 3:07p
TOR
Rogers Centre · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.14×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
neutral
Combined
1.140
Wind
0 mph
dome
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Matt Wallner Matt Wallner 76 🟡 B · 🌤️ WARM 3 0.262 91.0 10.6% 19.6% 406 23.1% 25.0% 30.5% 27
2 Byron Buxton Byron Buxton 60 🔵 C+ · ❄ COLD 37 0.287 92.5 11.9% 21.3% 406 0.0% 0.0% 18.8% 32
3 Royce Lewis Royce Lewis 59 🟠 C · 🔥 HOT 43 0.152 89.8 8.4% 9.6% 402 16.7% 18.2% 13.2% 22
4 Ryan Jeffers Ryan Jeffers 54 🟠 C · 🔥 HOT 59 0.131 89.3 7.1% 7.0% 411 8.3% 9.1% 5.8% 22
5 Edouard Julien Edouard Julien 44 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 114 0.104 89.2 9.9% 10.3% 391 0.0% 0.0% 7.0% 20
6 Trevor Larnach Trevor Larnach 41 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 131 0.153 90.9 7.6% 12.0% 405 0.0% 0.0% 8.8% 16
7 Brooks Lee Brooks Lee 41 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 133 0.133 88.6 6.9% 10.3% 383 8.3% 9.1% 7.1% 24
8 Luke Keaschall Luke Keaschall 40 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 145 0.143 86.2 6.5% 7.7% 399 7.7% 8.3% 6.6% 43
9 Christian Vazquez Christian Vazquez 30 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 207 0.084 85.9 5.5% 4.1% 386 10.0% 11.1% 4.5% 20
Joe Ryan
Joe Ryan RHP
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 George Springer George Springer 72 🟡 B · · 9 0.251 90.0 13.6% 20.0% 409 15.4% 16.7% 22.9% 35
2 Addison Barger Addison Barger 59 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 41 0.211 91.7 11.5% 15.7% 403 0.0% 0.0% 15.2% 11
3 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 59 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 44 0.175 92.0 11.8% 14.3% 405 7.7% 8.3% 12.0% 38
4 Alejandro Kirk Alejandro Kirk 48 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 89 0.140 91.1 10.8% 10.1% 402 9.1% 10.0% 11.7% 14
5 Andres Gimenez Andres Gimenez 46 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 100 0.103 86.3 5.9% 7.6% 396 10.0% 11.1% 6.6% 40
6 Bo Bichette Bo Bichette 45 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 104 0.172 91.0 9.5% 11.8% 397 0.0% 0.0% 10.7% 44
7 Nathan Lukes Nathan Lukes 36 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 174 0.152 87.9 7.3% 10.4% 391 0.0% 0.0% 8.9% 13
8 Myles Straw Myles Straw 30 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 206 0.105 87.2 6.7% 5.1% 386 0.0% 0.0% 5.4% 12
9 Ernie Clement Ernie Clement 29 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 212 0.121 86.6 5.2% 4.3% 388 0.0% 0.0% 4.9% 46
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