MIN
@
3:07p
TOR
Park Factor
1.14×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
neutral
Combined
1.140
Wind
0 mph
dome
Eric Lauer
LHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Matt Wallner | 76 | 🟡 B | · | 🌤️ WARM | 3 | 0.262 | 91.0 | 10.6% | 19.6% | 406 | 23.1% | 25.0% | 30.5% | 27 |
| 2 |
|
Byron Buxton | 60 | 🔵 C+ | · | ❄ COLD | 37 | 0.287 | 92.5 | 11.9% | 21.3% | 406 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 18.8% | 32 |
| 3 |
|
Royce Lewis | 59 | 🟠 C | · | 🔥 HOT | 43 | 0.152 | 89.8 | 8.4% | 9.6% | 402 | 16.7% | 18.2% | 13.2% | 22 |
| 4 |
|
Ryan Jeffers | 54 | 🟠 C | · | 🔥 HOT | 59 | 0.131 | 89.3 | 7.1% | 7.0% | 411 | 8.3% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 22 |
| 5 |
|
Edouard Julien | 44 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 114 | 0.104 | 89.2 | 9.9% | 10.3% | 391 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.0% | 20 |
| 6 |
|
Trevor Larnach | 41 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 131 | 0.153 | 90.9 | 7.6% | 12.0% | 405 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.8% | 16 |
| 7 |
|
Brooks Lee | 41 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 133 | 0.133 | 88.6 | 6.9% | 10.3% | 383 | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 24 |
| 8 |
|
Luke Keaschall | 40 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 145 | 0.143 | 86.2 | 6.5% | 7.7% | 399 | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 43 |
| 9 |
|
Christian Vazquez | 30 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 207 | 0.084 | 85.9 | 5.5% | 4.1% | 386 | 10.0% | 11.1% | 4.5% | 20 |
Joe Ryan
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
George Springer | 72 | 🟡 B | · | · | 9 | 0.251 | 90.0 | 13.6% | 20.0% | 409 | 15.4% | 16.7% | 22.9% | 35 |
| 2 |
|
Addison Barger | 59 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 41 | 0.211 | 91.7 | 11.5% | 15.7% | 403 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 15.2% | 11 |
| 3 |
|
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 59 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 44 | 0.175 | 92.0 | 11.8% | 14.3% | 405 | 7.7% | 8.3% | 12.0% | 38 |
| 4 |
|
Alejandro Kirk | 48 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 89 | 0.140 | 91.1 | 10.8% | 10.1% | 402 | 9.1% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 14 |
| 5 |
|
Andres Gimenez | 46 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 100 | 0.103 | 86.3 | 5.9% | 7.6% | 396 | 10.0% | 11.1% | 6.6% | 40 |
| 6 |
|
Bo Bichette ⚡ | 45 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 104 | 0.172 | 91.0 | 9.5% | 11.8% | 397 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.7% | 44 |
| 7 |
|
Nathan Lukes | 36 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 174 | 0.152 | 87.9 | 7.3% | 10.4% | 391 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.9% | 13 |
| 8 |
|
Myles Straw | 30 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 206 | 0.105 | 87.2 | 6.7% | 5.1% | 386 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.4% | 12 |
| 9 |
|
Ernie Clement | 29 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 212 | 0.121 | 86.6 | 5.2% | 4.3% | 388 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.9% | 46 |