⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs
ATH
@ 4:10p
NYM
Citi Field · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.86×
Weather Mod
-1.0%
cold air · strong crosswind · roof open
Combined
0.773
Temp
51.0°F
Wind
17.0 mph
cross
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Max Muncy Max Muncy 61 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 32 0.227 91.3 10.4% 16.8% 400 22.7% 26.3% 19.7% 58
2 Nick Kurtz Nick Kurtz 60 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 39 0.329 92.7 12.1% 30.8% 404 0.0% 0.0% 17.1% 21
3 Shea Langeliers Shea Langeliers 58 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 45 0.260 90.9 9.4% 18.6% 399 36.4% 30.0% 22.4% 30
4 Brent Rooker Brent Rooker 48 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 86 0.217 90.7 10.4% 15.2% 402 10.0% 11.1% 17.2% 25
5 Tyler Soderstrom Tyler Soderstrom 39 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 149 0.198 91.6 9.5% 18.9% 398 0.0% 0.0% 10.8% 34
6 JJ Bleday JJ Bleday 38 ⚪ D · · 156 0.192 88.7 7.8% 13.7% 386 0.0% 0.0% 11.1% 0
7 Lawrence Butler Lawrence Butler 34 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 189 0.170 90.5 8.5% 16.3% 414 0.0% 0.0% 8.6% 25
8 Luis Urias Luis Urias 24 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 220 0.108 86.2 5.4% 8.3% 381 0.0% 0.0% 5.9% 3
9 Jacob Wilson Jacob Wilson 22 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 221 0.134 84.6 4.2% 10.5% 383 0.0% 0.0% 5.5% 45
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Pete Alonso Pete Alonso 52 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 63 0.252 93.5 11.2% 19.3% 408 8.3% 9.1% 15.0% 33
2 Juan Soto Juan Soto 50 🟠 C · ❄ COLD 75 0.262 93.8 10.9% 25.1% 400 8.3% 9.1% 17.1% 21
3 Brett Baty Brett Baty 40 ⚪ D · · 135 0.181 90.7 9.2% 22.5% 399 0.0% 0.0% 12.0% 32
4 Mark Vientos Mark Vientos 40 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 138 0.179 91.4 8.7% 14.9% 394 10.0% 11.1% 9.6% 25
5 Brandon Nimmo Brandon Nimmo 37 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 161 0.174 91.9 7.6% 15.0% 388 8.3% 9.1% 9.4% 37
6 Tyrone Taylor Tyrone Taylor 37 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 171 0.097 86.5 5.0% 2.0% 402 10.0% 11.1% 4.0% 13
7 Francisco Lindor Francisco Lindor 36 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 173 0.199 90.5 7.6% 15.0% 390 0.0% 0.0% 10.7% 42
8 Starling Marte Starling Marte 31 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 197 0.140 87.6 7.2% 12.7% 397 0.0% 0.0% 8.7% 5
9 Jeff McNeil Jeff McNeil 29 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 210 0.168 87.2 5.8% 8.5% 392 0.0% 0.0% 6.8% 25
🏟️

Unlock the full game board

See every batter in this game, both pitcher groups, all HR profile signals, and the matchup context that drives the slate.

15 more waiting in the on-deck circle
LD 3.2.88

The top 10 picks. Every morning.

Free daily home run predictions from the model, in your inbox before first pitch.

No spam. Unsubscribe anytime. Just picks and results.