MIA
@
1:10p
DET
Park Factor
0.98×
Weather Mod
-3.0%
cold air · light crosswind · roof open
Combined
0.688
Temp
39.1°F
Wind
2.9 mph
cross
Roof
open
Janson Junk
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Kerry Carpenter | 56 | 🟠 C | · | · | 51 | 0.245 | 91.4 | 10.3% | 17.3% | 391 | 15.4% | 18.2% | 18.9% | 20 |
| 2 |
|
Riley Greene | 48 | ⚪ D | · | · | 88 | 0.235 | 89.9 | 12.1% | 22.9% | 397 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 12.4% | 33 |
| 3 |
|
Spencer Torkelson ⚡ | 44 | ⚪ D | · | · | 112 | 0.217 | 90.2 | 10.7% | 15.0% | 394 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.3% | 23 |
| 4 |
|
Dillon Dingler | 38 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 160 | 0.147 | 90.0 | 8.8% | 11.1% | 389 | 7.7% | 0.0% | 5.4% | 21 |
| 5 |
|
Wenceel Perez | 37 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 165 | 0.186 | 90.3 | 8.6% | 11.0% | 385 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.5% | 3 |
| 6 |
|
Zach McKinstry ⚡ | 37 | ⚪ D | · | · | 167 | 0.179 | 85.7 | 7.2% | 10.3% | 376 | 8.3% | 10.0% | 6.4% | 20 |
| 7 |
|
Colt Keith | 37 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 170 | 0.157 | 90.0 | 8.8% | 10.7% | 390 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.7% | 29 |
| 8 |
|
Gleyber Torres | 31 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 200 | 0.132 | 90.0 | 8.3% | 9.0% | 400 | 7.7% | 9.1% | 4.4% | 34 |
| 9 |
|
Javier Baez | 29 | ⚪ D | · | · | 211 | 0.141 | 88.2 | 6.8% | 10.4% | 391 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.0% | 22 |
Casey Mize
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Kyle Stowers ⚡ | 49 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 81 | 0.256 | 91.1 | 13.2% | 22.9% | 395 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 17.8% | 31 |
| 2 |
|
Liam Hicks | 45 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 105 | 0.099 | 84.6 | 5.6% | 6.4% | 377 | 25.0% | 27.3% | 8.5% | 36 |
| 3 |
|
Otto Lopez | 38 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 159 | 0.121 | 88.5 | 8.0% | 9.5% | 402 | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 38 |
| 4 |
|
Agustin Ramirez | 35 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 179 | 0.182 | 90.8 | 10.0% | 13.9% | 410 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.3% | 33 |
| 5 |
|
Eric Wagaman | 35 | ⚪ D | · | · | 186 | 0.128 | 91.0 | 7.9% | 6.6% | 417 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.4% | 0 |
| 6 |
|
Connor Norby | 32 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 195 | 0.138 | 88.3 | 9.2% | 9.9% | 396 | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 25 |
| 7 |
|
Xavier Edwards ⚡ | 27 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 217 | 0.070 | 86.8 | 2.7% | 2.2% | 378 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 2.9% | 41 |
| 8 |
|
Dane Myers | 26 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 218 | 0.091 | 90.7 | 8.4% | 7.7% | 398 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.5% | 15 |
| 9 |
|
Javier Sanoja | 25 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 219 | 0.153 | 88.5 | 4.0% | 5.9% | 379 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.6% | 27 |