PIT
@
2:20p
CHC
Park Factor
1.03×
Weather Mod
+1.0%
cold air · steady partial wind out · roof open
Combined
1.133
Temp
46.4°F
Wind
13.3 mph
slight_out
Roof
open
Shota Imanaga
LHP
7 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Oneil Cruz | 69 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 14 | 0.178 | 95.8 | 14.4% | 17.7% | 410 | 30.0% | 33.3% | 21.9% | 30 |
| 2 |
|
Bryan Reynolds | 60 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 39 | 0.157 | 91.2 | 10.8% | 13.4% | 400 | 18.2% | 20.0% | 13.9% | 29 |
| 3 |
|
Marcell Ozuna | 44 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 129 | 0.168 | 89.9 | 11.5% | 15.0% | 411 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.3% | 20 |
| 4 |
|
Ryan O'Hearn | 42 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 143 | 0.156 | 89.4 | 9.4% | 13.5% | 392 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 13.0% | 31 |
| 5 |
|
Joey Bart | 40 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 167 | 0.091 | 88.4 | 11.0% | 7.1% | 402 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.6% | 7 |
| 6 |
|
Nick Gonzales | 35 | ⚪ D | · | · | 204 | 0.102 | 88.8 | 7.2% | 5.0% | 396 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.1% | 30 |
| 7 |
|
Nick Yorke | 32 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 217 | 0.087 | 85.6 | 4.7% | 6.3% | 393 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.7% | 18 |
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Ian Happ | 58 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 47 | 0.178 | 90.0 | 7.9% | 13.3% | 393 | 41.7% | 45.5% | 15.8% | 20 |
| 2 |
|
Alex Bregman | 54 | 🟠 C | · | 🔥 HOT | 67 | 0.189 | 90.1 | 6.3% | 11.2% | 386 | 8.3% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 37 |
| 3 |
|
Seiya Suzuki | 51 | 🟠 C | · | · | 82 | 0.233 | 91.3 | 10.0% | 16.5% | 398 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 17.1% | 0 |
| 4 |
|
Pete Crow-Armstrong | 50 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 88 | 0.234 | 89.5 | 8.8% | 14.2% | 395 | 8.3% | 9.1% | 12.7% | 32 |
| 5 |
|
Michael Busch | 49 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 93 | 0.261 | 92.2 | 10.1% | 20.9% | 397 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 16.2% | 32 |
| 6 |
|
Moisés Ballesteros | 49 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 96 | 0.175 | 89.1 | 6.3% | 22.2% | 401 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 13.4% | 18 |
| 7 |
|
Dansby Swanson | 49 | ⚪ D | · | · | 99 | 0.173 | 90.5 | 8.4% | 15.5% | 403 | 16.7% | 18.2% | 9.8% | 23 |
| 8 |
|
Carson Kelly | 43 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 140 | 0.179 | 88.8 | 7.6% | 13.6% | 386 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.5% | 22 |
| 9 |
|
Nico Hoerner | 26 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 237 | 0.097 | 86.7 | 3.7% | 3.7% | 379 | 8.3% | 9.1% | 3.6% | 34 |