⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 4 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 5 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 6 James Wood 4 HRs · 7 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 8 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 9 Julio Rodríguez 4 HRs · 10 Ketel Marte 4 HRs · 11 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 4 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 5 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 6 James Wood 4 HRs · 7 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 8 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 9 Julio Rodríguez 4 HRs · 10 Ketel Marte 4 HRs · 11 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs
AZ
@ 6:40p
PHI
Citizens Bank Park · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.07×
Weather Mod
-3.0%
cold air · light partial wind out · roof open
Combined
0.749
Temp
43.4°F
Wind
3.4 mph
slight_out
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Kyle Schwarber Kyle Schwarber 80 🟢 A · 🌤️ WARM 3 0.323 94.3 11.8% 28.6% 410 22.2% 12.5% 37.5% 19
2 Bryce Harper Bryce Harper 56 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 55 0.226 91.3 9.1% 18.5% 404 11.1% 12.5% 18.5% 36
3 Bryson Stott Bryson Stott 46 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 122 0.134 87.6 5.9% 7.8% 395 0.0% 0.0% 6.3% 26
4 Adolis García Adolis García 43 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 138 0.168 92.1 8.8% 10.9% 403 0.0% 0.0% 12.3% 31
5 J.T. Realmuto 41 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 159 0.127 90.0 7.7% 9.3% 408 11.1% 12.5% 7.2% 19
6 Justin Crawford Justin Crawford 40 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 171 0.105 87.2 5.7% 8.5% 381 0.0% 0.0% 6.5% 10
7 Brandon Marsh Brandon Marsh 37 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 187 0.164 91.1 7.5% 11.7% 395 0.0% 0.0% 9.5% 28
8 Alec Bohm Alec Bohm 34 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 209 0.123 90.8 6.5% 10.0% 386 11.1% 0.0% 7.0% 35
9 Trea Turner Trea Turner 33 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 211 0.153 89.3 6.2% 9.4% 393 0.0% 0.0% 8.0% 35
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Ketel Marte Ketel Marte 54 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 65 0.233 90.8 9.4% 16.8% 407 0.0% 0.0% 14.0% 39
2 Gabriel Moreno Gabriel Moreno 40 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 169 0.148 90.4 6.9% 10.6% 392 0.0% 0.0% 7.1% 29
3 Jose Fernandez Jose Fernandez 39 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 178 0.133 88.5 5.3% 5.6% 389 0.0% 0.0% 7.8% 23
4 Tim Tawa Tim Tawa 38 ⚪ D · · 182 0.146 89.2 7.8% 13.5% 402 0.0% 0.0% 7.9% 16
5 Ildemaro Vargas Ildemaro Vargas 37 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 194 0.113 89.2 5.1% 9.7% 426 0.0% 0.0% 6.0% 22
6 Alek Thomas Alek Thomas 37 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 196 0.120 89.6 7.2% 9.5% 401 0.0% 0.0% 5.9% 24
7 Geraldo Perdomo Geraldo Perdomo 32 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 215 0.173 87.6 6.4% 9.9% 393 0.0% 0.0% 8.0% 39
8 Nolan Arenado Nolan Arenado 26 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 235 0.140 86.8 5.1% 7.5% 383 0.0% 0.0% 5.6% 28
9 Jorge Barrosa Jorge Barrosa 16 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 249 0.085 87.8 0.0% 5.3% 389 0.0% 0.0% 4.4% 17
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