MIA
@
6:40p
DET
Park Factor
0.93×
Weather Mod
-2.0%
cold air · light crosswind · roof open
Combined
0.744
Temp
49.8°F
Wind
6.0 mph
cross
Roof
open
Chris Paddack
RHP
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Kerry Carpenter | 65 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 22 | 0.245 | 91.4 | 11.3% | 17.3% | 391 | 16.7% | 18.2% | 27.1% | 18 |
| 2 |
|
Riley Greene | 54 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 62 | 0.235 | 89.9 | 13.2% | 22.9% | 397 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 17.7% | 35 |
| 3 |
|
Spencer Torkelson | 52 | 🟠 C | · | · | 75 | 0.217 | 90.2 | 11.7% | 15.0% | 394 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 13.2% | 23 |
| 4 |
|
Dillon Dingler | 49 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 101 | 0.147 | 90.0 | 9.7% | 11.1% | 389 | 8.3% | 0.0% | 7.8% | 20 |
| 5 |
|
Wenceel Pérez | 45 | ⚪ D | · | · | 124 | 0.186 | 90.3 | 9.5% | 11.0% | 385 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 12.1% | 0 |
| 6 |
|
Colt Keith | 45 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 126 | 0.157 | 90.0 | 9.7% | 10.7% | 390 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.1% | 26 |
| 7 |
|
Gleyber Torres | 39 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 180 | 0.132 | 90.0 | 9.2% | 9.0% | 400 | 8.3% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 32 |
| 8 |
|
Javier Báez | 33 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 213 | 0.141 | 88.2 | 7.5% | 10.4% | 391 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.1% | 23 |
Keider Montero
RHP
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Liam Hicks | 49 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 100 | 0.099 | 84.6 | 5.3% | 6.4% | 377 | 27.3% | 27.3% | 9.2% | 33 |
| 2 |
|
Otto Lopez | 48 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 106 | 0.121 | 88.5 | 7.6% | 9.5% | 402 | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 37 |
| 3 |
|
Agustín Ramírez | 39 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 175 | 0.182 | 90.8 | 9.4% | 13.9% | 410 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.2% | 33 |
| 4 |
|
Jakob Marsee | 39 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 177 | 0.187 | 88.9 | 8.1% | 8.8% | 399 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.1% | 37 |
| 5 |
|
Connor Norby | 39 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 179 | 0.138 | 88.3 | 8.7% | 9.9% | 396 | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 27 |
| 6 |
|
Graham Pauley | 32 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 216 | 0.143 | 86.6 | 6.7% | 6.8% | 383 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.1% | 17 |
| 7 |
|
Xavier Edwards | 30 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 223 | 0.070 | 86.8 | 2.5% | 2.2% | 378 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 3.2% | 43 |
| 8 |
|
Javier Sanoja | 29 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 225 | 0.153 | 88.5 | 3.8% | 5.9% | 379 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.1% | 28 |