MIA
@
1:15p
STL
Stadium Conditions
Busch Stadium
First pitch 1:15p
· roof open
Park 0.83×
Wind 1 mph in
75°F
open
-5
8 mph · cross
87°F
1:15p
Suppress for HR environment
-4
9 mph · cross
91°F
2:15p
Neutral for HR environment
-3
9 mph · cross
96°F
3:15p
Neutral for HR environment
-2
9 mph · slight_out
99°F
4:15p
Neutral for HR environment
-1
9 mph · slight_out
97°F
5:15p
Neutral for HR environment
⚪ Suppress · Combined 0.83
75°F, wind 1 mph WNW (in) — modifier: +0. Park, wind, temperature, and roof are inputs to Combined, not separate signals to stack on top.
7 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Owen Caissie | 57 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 49 | 0.190 | 91.5 | 13.2% | 25.7% vs RHP | 391 | 13.0% | 30.0% | 20.2% | 18 |
| 2 |
|
Kyle Stowers | 52 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 70 | 0.200 | 90.7 | 11.3% | 20.0% vs RHP | 401 | 9.1% | 18.2% | 20.0% | 20 |
| 3 |
|
Heriberto Hernández | 42 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 128 | 0.179 | 92.0 | 10.6% | 19.1% vs RHP | 409 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 15.2% | 22 |
| 4 |
|
Otto Lopez | 37 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 157 | 0.138 | 89.9 | 9.1% | 10.9% vs RHP | 404 | 6.2% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 39 |
| 5 |
|
Xavier Edwards | 32 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 184 | 0.132 | 87.0 | 7.7% | 4.5% vs RHP | 396 | 6.3% | 0.0% | 6.2% | 30 |
| 6 |
|
Jakob Marsee | 28 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 205 | 0.097 | 86.8 | 6.4% | 7.5% vs RHP | 379 | 6.3% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 32 |
| 7 |
|
Javier Sanoja | 23 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 215 | 0.104 | 87.0 | 3.9% | 0.0% vs RHP | 369 | 4.3% | 0.0% | 4.8% | 23 |
7 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate for this matchup. A vs LHP/vs RHP chip means a handedness split is shown; otherwise the value is overall. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Jordan Walker ⚡ | 52 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 71 | 0.232 | 93.8 | 10.0% | 30.2% vs RHP | 408 | 17.4% | 0.0% | 13.4% | 30 |
| 2 |
|
Alec Burleson | 48 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 90 | 0.199 | 91.8 | 8.9% | 23.1% vs RHP | 405 | 16.9% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 37 |
| 3 |
|
Ivan Herrera ⚡ | 34 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 168 | 0.164 | 89.8 | 7.2% | 19.4% vs RHP | 406 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.4% | 27 |
| 4 |
|
Nathan Church ⚡ | 34 | ⚪ D | · | · | 171 | 0.139 | 85.9 | 8.2% | 22.7% vs RHP | 387 | 6.1% | 0.0% | 7.8% | 20 |
| 5 |
|
Jj Wetherholt | 33 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 174 | 0.146 | 90.0 | 7.2% | 19.6% vs RHP | 389 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.4% | 42 |
| 6 |
|
Pedro Pages ⚡ | 30 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 192 | 0.134 | 87.0 | 6.7% | 20.0% vs RHP | 403 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.6% | 5 |
| 7 |
|
Masyn Winn | 25 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 214 | 0.089 | 87.4 | 5.0% | 13.0% vs RHP | 389 | 4.0% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 32 |