⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs
MIA
@ 4:05p
SF
Oracle Park · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.79×
Weather Mod
-1.0%
cold air · steady partial wind out · roof open
Combined
0.710
Temp
54.3°F
Wind
8.1 mph
slight_out
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Heliot Ramos Heliot Ramos 53 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 94 0.122 92.8 15.0% 14.3% 397 10.5% 25.0% 8.8% 30
2 Casey Schmitt Casey Schmitt 47 ⚪ D · · 123 0.173 91.2 12.1% 9.1% 392 5.0% 11.1% 8.4% 38
3 Willy Adames Willy Adames 45 ⚪ D · · 132 0.179 88.4 11.1% 14.3% 375 9.5% 0.0% 9.0% 31
4 Rafael Devers Rafael Devers 29 ⚪ D · · 215 0.087 90.8 8.7% 10.0% 408 0.0% 0.0% 6.1% 29
5 Harrison Bader Harrison Bader 27 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 232 0.077 87.1 8.3% 14.3% 408 0.0% 0.0% 8.2% 2
6 Patrick Bailey Patrick Bailey 25 ⚪ D · · 238 0.049 90.4 6.1% 7.7% 407 5.3% 12.5% 7.1% 17
7 Jung Hoo Lee Jung Hoo Lee 24 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 240 0.132 88.9 1.3% 12.5% 363 9.5% 10.0% 6.4% 41
8 Matt Chapman Matt Chapman 23 ⚪ D · · 248 0.089 88.0 3.7% 10.0% 349 4.8% 0.0% 6.2% 40
9 Luis Arraez Luis Arraez 15 ⚪ D · · 262 0.051 85.9 0.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 4.6% 44
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Connor Norby Connor Norby 49 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 115 0.179 88.8 9.1% 15.0% 390 13.0% 20.0% 13.9% 27
2 Otto Lopez Otto Lopez 48 ⚪ D · · 118 0.185 92.9 11.4% 15.8% 390 8.3% 9.1% 10.0% 39
3 Liam Hicks Liam Hicks 48 ⚪ D · · 119 0.220 87.7 6.3% 29.4% 370 22.7% 20.0% 13.5% 43
4 Owen Caissie Owen Caissie 42 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 143 0.162 92.3 14.6% 18.2% 387 0.0% 0.0% 8.6% 19
5 Xavier Edwards Xavier Edwards 36 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 178 0.133 90.6 5.8% 5.6% 377 0.0% 0.0% 5.8% 41
6 Agustín Ramírez Agustín Ramírez 35 ⚪ D · · 187 0.140 88.2 5.6% 16.7% 415 11.1% 14.3% 8.5% 35
7 Jakob Marsee Jakob Marsee 24 ⚪ D · · 239 0.089 87.8 2.6% 4.8% 351 10.0% 12.5% 5.5% 38
8 Graham Pauley Graham Pauley 23 ⚪ D · · 247 0.105 84.0 4.8% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 5.3% 22
9 Heriberto Hernández 13 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 263 0.036 89.4 4.5% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 5.5% 18
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