⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs
MIA
@ 10:15p
SF
Oracle Park · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.79×
Weather Mod
-1.0%
cold air · steady partial wind out · roof open
Combined
0.710
Temp
54.3°F
Wind
8.1 mph
slight_out
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Heliot Ramos Heliot Ramos 51 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 103 0.122 92.8 15.0% 14.3% 397 11.1% 25.0% 8.1% 30
2 Casey Schmitt Casey Schmitt 45 ⚪ D · · 124 0.173 91.2 12.1% 9.1% 392 5.3% 11.1% 7.6% 38
3 Willy Adames Willy Adames 45 ⚪ D · · 125 0.179 88.4 11.1% 14.3% 375 10.0% 10.0% 8.2% 31
4 Rafael Devers Rafael Devers 27 ⚪ D · · 218 0.087 90.8 8.7% 10.0% 408 0.0% 0.0% 5.6% 29
5 Matt Chapman Matt Chapman 21 ⚪ D · · 230 0.089 88.0 3.7% 10.0% 349 5.0% 0.0% 5.7% 40
6 Jung Hoo Lee Jung Hoo Lee 21 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 231 0.132 88.9 1.3% 12.5% 363 5.0% 10.0% 5.9% 41
7 Drew Gilbert Drew Gilbert 18 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 238 0.046 88.2 10.0% 0.0% 389 0.0% 0.0% 5.5% 20
8 Luis Arraez Luis Arraez 13 ⚪ D · · 244 0.051 85.9 0.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 4.2% 44
9 Eric Haase Eric Haase 4 ⚪ D · · 252 · · 0.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 7.8% 3
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Otto Lopez Otto Lopez 50 🟠 C · · 110 0.185 92.9 11.4% 15.8% 390 8.7% 9.1% 10.7% 39
2 Connor Norby Connor Norby 49 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 111 0.179 88.8 9.1% 15.0% 390 9.1% 10.0% 14.7% 27
3 Liam Hicks Liam Hicks 49 ⚪ D · · 113 0.220 87.7 6.3% 29.4% 370 19.0% 10.0% 14.4% 43
4 Owen Caissie Owen Caissie 44 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 131 0.162 92.3 14.6% 18.2% 387 0.0% 0.0% 9.1% 19
5 Xavier Edwards Xavier Edwards 38 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 161 0.133 90.6 5.8% 5.6% 377 0.0% 0.0% 6.2% 41
6 Agustín Ramírez Agustín Ramírez 37 ⚪ D · · 164 0.140 88.2 5.6% 16.7% 415 12.5% 14.3% 9.0% 35
7 Kyle Stowers Kyle Stowers 34 ⚪ D · · 179 0.124 96.9 8.3% 13.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 7.0% 12
8 Jakob Marsee Jakob Marsee 26 ⚪ D · · 221 0.089 87.8 2.6% 4.8% 351 11.1% 12.5% 5.9% 38
9 Graham Pauley Graham Pauley 25 ⚪ D · · 225 0.105 84.0 4.8% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 5.7% 22
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