⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs
LAD
@ 9:45p
SF
Oracle Park · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.79×
Weather Mod
+2.0%
cold air · steady wind out · roof open
Combined
0.947
Temp
50.3°F
Wind
10.7 mph
out
Roof
open
Tyler Mahle
Tyler Mahle RHP 💥 Meltdown
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Shohei Ohtani Shohei Ohtani 70 🟡 B · · 30 0.223 94.0 23.9% 20.8% 403 10.0% 9.1% 22.2% 30
2 Freddie Freeman Freddie Freeman 61 🔵 C+ · · 48 0.217 92.7 16.7% 12.0% 412 10.5% 0.0% 13.8% 30
3 Teoscar Hernández Teoscar Hernández 60 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 52 0.216 89.7 11.1% 30.8% 393 12.5% 12.5% 25.5% 27
4 Andy Pages Andy Pages 60 🔵 C+ · · 53 0.232 91.9 8.9% 33.3% 392 20.0% 18.2% 28.5% 27
5 Max Muncy Max Muncy 58 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 58 0.178 95.3 12.8% 15.4% 383 25.0% 31.6% 20.1% 59
6 Miguel Rojas Miguel Rojas 51 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 79 0.143 90.0 4.3% 25.0% · 50.0% 50.0% 13.3% 15
7 Will Smith Will Smith 37 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 146 0.097 88.8 12.2% 9.1% 416 10.0% 0.0% 7.9% 30
8 Alex Freeland Alex Freeland 36 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 155 0.086 92.1 6.9% 14.3% 413 0.0% 0.0% 8.6% 19
9 Kyle Tucker Kyle Tucker 36 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 158 0.128 87.3 2.2% 15.8% 404 5.3% 10.0% 10.6% 34
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Willy Adames Willy Adames 47 ⚪ D · · 92 0.205 88.4 12.0% 15.8% 375 11.1% 11.1% 11.0% 32
2 Casey Schmitt Casey Schmitt 43 ⚪ D · · 111 0.194 93.3 10.7% 11.1% 385 5.6% 11.1% 8.8% 35
3 Heliot Ramos Heliot Ramos 41 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 124 0.124 89.3 5.1% 14.3% · 12.5% 28.6% 8.1% 27
4 Rafael Devers Rafael Devers 27 ⚪ D · · 200 0.086 90.7 10.9% 10.5% 408 0.0% 0.0% 5.1% 31
5 Harrison Bader Harrison Bader 25 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 210 0.077 87.1 8.3% 14.3% 408 0.0% 0.0% 5.4% 8
6 Jung Hoo Lee Jung Hoo Lee 23 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 218 0.111 88.9 2.0% 7.7% 361 5.6% 11.1% 4.9% 38
7 Matt Chapman Matt Chapman 19 ⚪ D · · 231 0.099 88.7 3.8% 12.5% 349 5.6% 0.0% 5.3% 37
8 Patrick Bailey Patrick Bailey 13 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 252 0.000 89.1 5.3% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.1% 18
9 Luis Arraez Luis Arraez 11 ⚪ D · · 255 0.058 85.4 0.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 3.8% 39
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