⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs
DET
@ 7:15p
CIN
Great American Ball Park · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.26×
Weather Mod
-2.0%
cool air · steady wind in · roof open
Combined
1.006
Temp
61.8°F
Wind
9.2 mph
in
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Dillon Dingler Dillon Dingler 88 🟢 A · · 9 0.238 91.5 18.8% 27.8% 410 16.0% 25.0% 37.1% 37
2 Kerry Carpenter Kerry Carpenter 81 🟢 A · · 18 0.279 93.2 12.2% 33.3% 382 20.8% 27.3% 41.7% 18
3 Riley Greene Riley Greene 71 🟡 B · 🌤️ WARM 39 0.179 89.8 14.5% 13.0% 406 11.5% 23.1% 23.7% 29
4 Spencer Torkelson Spencer Torkelson 64 🔵 C+ · · 54 0.160 90.4 13.2% 15.8% 406 11.5% 23.1% 22.1% 26
5 Kevin McGonigle Kevin McGonigle 55 🟠 C · · 81 0.175 88.1 12.2% 3.5% 408 0.0% 0.0% 13.3% 0
6 Javier Báez Javier Báez 46 ⚪ D · · 127 0.153 85.0 3.4% 18.2% 379 16.7% 9.1% 12.7% 32
7 Colt Keith Colt Keith 38 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 163 0.094 94.2 8.3% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 8.1% 26
8 Matt Vierling Matt Vierling 37 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 170 0.167 88.1 2.5% 12.5% 350 0.0% 0.0% 13.0% 25
9 Gleyber Torres Gleyber Torres 32 ⚪ D · · 199 0.052 83.2 5.3% 5.0% 364 3.8% 0.0% 8.8% 37
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Elly De La Cruz Elly De La Cruz 87 🟢 A · 🌤️ WARM 11 0.273 95.8 15.1% 38.1% 394 21.7% 20.0% 37.2% 36
2 Sal Stewart Sal Stewart 81 🟢 A · 🌧️ COOL 16 0.305 91.3 23.7% 29.6% 394 0.0% 0.0% 34.9% 36
3 Spencer Steer Spencer Steer 81 🟢 A · 🌤️ WARM 17 0.207 89.5 17.9% 16.7% 393 13.0% 30.0% 24.4% 24
4 Dane Myers Dane Myers 54 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 84 0.088 88.8 15.4% 10.0% 396 0.0% 0.0% 14.0% 10
5 Tyler Stephenson Tyler Stephenson 49 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 109 0.116 95.5 12.8% 12.5% 379 4.8% 0.0% 8.5% 16
6 Matt McLain Matt McLain 49 ⚪ D · · 110 0.117 87.8 10.3% 8.0% 420 4.3% 10.0% 11.2% 28
7 Eugenio Suárez Eugenio Suárez 44 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 136 0.132 84.8 8.2% 20.0% 397 11.1% 0.0% 9.5% 26
8 Ke'Bryan Hayes Ke'Bryan Hayes 37 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 171 0.048 90.1 7.3% 5.3% 363 12.5% 14.3% 7.4% 24
9 TJ Friedl TJ Friedl 29 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 212 0.023 86.5 1.5% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.9% 31
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