⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs
CIN
@ 1:10p
TB
Tropicana Field · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.95×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
neutral
Combined
0.950
Wind
0 mph
dome
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Elly De La Cruz Elly De La Cruz 83 🟢 A · 🌤️ WARM 6 0.295 94.7 15.2% 42.1% 377 23.8% 27.3% 33.1% 37
2 Sal Stewart Sal Stewart 73 🟡 B · 🌧️ COOL 22 0.333 93.4 21.3% 30.8% 391 0.0% 0.0% 30.8% 40
3 Spencer Steer Spencer Steer 73 🟡 B · 🌤️ WARM 24 0.216 87.6 17.9% 18.2% 394 14.3% 27.3% 22.7% 26
4 Tyler Stephenson Tyler Stephenson 42 ⚪ D · · 114 0.105 94.9 12.0% 12.5% 379 5.3% 0.0% 7.4% 20
5 Eugenio Suárez Eugenio Suárez 40 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 126 0.138 85.6 10.3% 21.4% 421 12.5% 0.0% 8.8% 32
6 Ke'Bryan Hayes Ke'Bryan Hayes 39 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 134 0.051 91.3 5.3% 5.6% · 16.7% 16.7% 6.6% 26
7 Matt McLain Matt McLain 23 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 214 0.058 87.7 8.7% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 5.5% 32
8 Will Benson Will Benson 20 ⚪ D · · 228 0.093 89.4 0.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 8.2% 6
9 TJ Friedl TJ Friedl 16 ⚪ D · · 243 0.024 84.1 0.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.2% 38
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Junior Caminero Junior Caminero 62 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 43 0.196 90.2 8.5% 29.4% 399 25.0% 27.3% 19.3% 42
2 Jonathan Aranda Jonathan Aranda 50 🟠 C · ❄ COLD 80 0.193 93.0 10.2% 18.2% 399 15.8% 10.0% 11.6% 27
3 Yandy Díaz Yandy Díaz 40 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 127 0.156 91.9 7.3% 20.0% 368 9.1% 11.1% 9.5% 40
4 Jonny DeLuca Jonny DeLuca 39 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 135 0.213 89.2 3.6% 25.0% 438 0.0% 0.0% 13.1% 23
5 Nick Fortes Nick Fortes 26 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 203 0.119 87.2 2.4% 12.5% 408 0.0% 0.0% 7.2% 21
6 Ben Williamson Ben Williamson 20 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 229 0.069 85.2 0.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.7% 19
7 Ryan Vilade Ryan Vilade 17 ⚪ D · · 239 · 90.9 0.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 7.7% 15
8 Chandler Simpson Chandler Simpson 17 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 241 0.043 82.7 0.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.6% 49
9 Taylor Walls Taylor Walls 15 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 246 0.022 83.8 0.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.2% 28
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