⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs
CIN
@ 6:40p
TB
Tropicana Field · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.95×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
neutral
Combined
0.951
Wind
0 mph
dome
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Sal Stewart Sal Stewart 70 🟡 B · 🌧️ COOL 24 0.350 93.4 21.3% 33.3% 391 0.0% 0.0% 30.8% 38
2 Elly De La Cruz Elly De La Cruz 70 🟡 B · · 26 0.250 94.7 15.2% 33.3% 377 20.0% 18.2% 29.8% 35
3 Spencer Steer Spencer Steer 63 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 41 0.183 87.6 17.9% 15.0% 394 10.0% 18.2% 16.5% 26
4 Tyler Stephenson Tyler Stephenson 39 ⚪ D · · 119 0.113 94.9 12.0% 13.3% 379 5.6% 0.0% 7.4% 19
5 Eugenio Suárez Eugenio Suárez 38 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 130 0.146 85.6 10.3% 25.0% 421 14.3% 0.0% 9.3% 31
6 Ke'Bryan Hayes Ke'Bryan Hayes 22 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 201 0.000 91.3 5.3% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 7.6% 25
7 Matt McLain Matt McLain 21 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 207 0.050 87.7 8.7% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 5.5% 32
8 Will Benson Will Benson 17 ⚪ D · · 219 0.093 89.4 0.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 8.0% 7
9 TJ Friedl TJ Friedl 12 ⚪ D · · 237 0.024 84.1 0.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.0% 42
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Junior Caminero Junior Caminero 56 🟠 C · · 52 0.205 90.2 8.5% 29.4% 399 26.3% 27.3% 22.9% 40
2 Jake Fraley Jake Fraley 46 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 88 0.149 87.9 4.0% 8.3% · 14.3% 20.0% 11.3% 15
3 Jonathan Aranda Jonathan Aranda 40 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 112 0.163 93.0 10.2% 13.6% 399 11.1% 0.0% 9.9% 29
4 Yandy Díaz Yandy Díaz 37 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 133 0.162 91.9 7.3% 21.4% 368 10.0% 12.5% 10.8% 40
5 Cedric Mullins Cedric Mullins 28 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 183 0.133 87.0 2.5% 9.5% 367 10.0% 12.5% 7.5% 31
6 Nick Fortes Nick Fortes 19 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 212 0.119 87.2 2.4% 12.5% 408 0.0% 0.0% 7.8% 25
7 Ben Williamson Ben Williamson 17 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 220 0.069 85.2 0.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 7.3% 19
8 Chandler Simpson Chandler Simpson 14 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 227 0.045 82.7 0.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 7.2% 49
9 Taylor Walls Taylor Walls 12 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 238 0.024 83.8 0.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.9% 30
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