CIN
@
6:40p
TB
Park Factor
0.95×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
neutral
Combined
0.951
Wind
0 mph
dome
Steven Matz
LHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Sal Stewart | 70 | 🟡 B | · | 🌧️ COOL | 24 | 0.350 | 93.4 | 21.3% | 33.3% | 391 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 30.8% | 38 |
| 2 |
|
Elly De La Cruz | 70 | 🟡 B | · | · | 26 | 0.250 | 94.7 | 15.2% | 33.3% | 377 | 20.0% | 18.2% | 29.8% | 35 |
| 3 |
|
Spencer Steer | 63 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 41 | 0.183 | 87.6 | 17.9% | 15.0% | 394 | 10.0% | 18.2% | 16.5% | 26 |
| 4 |
|
Tyler Stephenson | 39 | ⚪ D | · | · | 119 | 0.113 | 94.9 | 12.0% | 13.3% | 379 | 5.6% | 0.0% | 7.4% | 19 |
| 5 |
|
Eugenio Suárez ⚡ | 38 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 130 | 0.146 | 85.6 | 10.3% | 25.0% | 421 | 14.3% | 0.0% | 9.3% | 31 |
| 6 |
|
Ke'Bryan Hayes | 22 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 201 | 0.000 | 91.3 | 5.3% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.6% | 25 |
| 7 |
|
Matt McLain ⚡ | 21 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 207 | 0.050 | 87.7 | 8.7% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.5% | 32 |
| 8 |
|
Will Benson | 17 | ⚪ D | · | · | 219 | 0.093 | 89.4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.0% | 7 |
| 9 |
|
TJ Friedl ⚡ | 12 | ⚪ D | · | · | 237 | 0.024 | 84.1 | 0.0% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.0% | 42 |
Chase Burns
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Junior Caminero | 56 | 🟠 C | · | · | 52 | 0.205 | 90.2 | 8.5% | 29.4% | 399 | 26.3% | 27.3% | 22.9% | 40 |
| 2 |
|
Jake Fraley | 46 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 88 | 0.149 | 87.9 | 4.0% | 8.3% | · | 14.3% | 20.0% | 11.3% | 15 |
| 3 |
|
Jonathan Aranda | 40 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 112 | 0.163 | 93.0 | 10.2% | 13.6% | 399 | 11.1% | 0.0% | 9.9% | 29 |
| 4 |
|
Yandy Díaz | 37 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 133 | 0.162 | 91.9 | 7.3% | 21.4% | 368 | 10.0% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 40 |
| 5 |
|
Cedric Mullins | 28 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 183 | 0.133 | 87.0 | 2.5% | 9.5% | 367 | 10.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% | 31 |
| 6 |
|
Nick Fortes | 19 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 212 | 0.119 | 87.2 | 2.4% | 12.5% | 408 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.8% | 25 |
| 7 |
|
Ben Williamson | 17 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 220 | 0.069 | 85.2 | 0.0% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.3% | 19 |
| 8 |
|
Chandler Simpson | 14 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 227 | 0.045 | 82.7 | 0.0% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.2% | 49 |
| 9 |
|
Taylor Walls | 12 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 238 | 0.024 | 83.8 | 0.0% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.9% | 30 |