⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs
CIN
@ 2:10p
MIN
Target Field · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.84×
Weather Mod
-1.0%
cold air · steady wind out · roof open
Combined
0.760
Temp
37.7°F
Wind
9.4 mph
out
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Elly De La Cruz Elly De La Cruz 68 🔵 C+ · · 39 0.265 94.7 15.2% 37.5% 377 21.1% 16.7% 25.9% 35
2 Sal Stewart Sal Stewart 67 🔵 C+ · 🌧️ COOL 44 0.338 93.4 21.3% 31.8% 391 0.0% 0.0% 25.4% 37
3 Spencer Steer Spencer Steer 58 🟠 C · · 63 0.188 87.6 17.9% 16.7% 394 10.5% 16.7% 14.1% 27
4 Tyler Stephenson Tyler Stephenson 44 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 121 0.130 94.9 12.0% 14.3% 379 5.9% 10.0% 7.1% 18
5 Eugenio Suárez Eugenio Suárez 35 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 169 0.162 85.6 10.3% 25.0% 421 16.7% 0.0% 8.8% 33
6 Ke'Bryan Hayes Ke'Bryan Hayes 20 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 236 0.000 91.3 5.3% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.4% 28
7 Matt McLain Matt McLain 15 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 252 0.042 87.7 8.7% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 4.9% 29
8 TJ Friedl TJ Friedl 5 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 269 0.000 84.1 0.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 7.2% 38
9 Rece Hinds Rece Hinds 4 ⚪ D · · 270 · · 0.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.6% 9
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Kody Clemens Kody Clemens 60 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 58 0.177 90.5 22.2% 22.2% 404 0.0% 0.0% 18.8% 10
2 Byron Buxton Byron Buxton 56 🟠 C · · 69 0.182 89.8 14.9% 15.0% 420 11.1% 18.2% 17.3% 38
3 Tristan Gray Tristan Gray 49 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 91 0.219 87.7 15.8% 50.0% 385 0.0% 0.0% 23.2% 13
4 Trevor Larnach Trevor Larnach 48 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 96 0.152 88.0 12.5% 14.3% 398 6.7% 12.5% 9.4% 19
5 Josh Bell Josh Bell 45 ⚪ D · · 116 0.197 89.6 11.4% 17.6% 392 0.0% 0.0% 12.2% 39
6 Brooks Lee Brooks Lee 40 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 143 0.167 88.2 5.1% 21.4% 367 17.6% 27.3% 16.6% 39
7 James Outman James Outman 38 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 150 0.107 94.8 12.5% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 8.6% 3
8 Luke Keaschall Luke Keaschall 29 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 198 0.074 84.9 3.4% 5.6% 367 5.6% 9.1% 6.6% 41
9 Victor Caratini Victor Caratini 24 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 219 0.069 88.9 6.7% 12.5% 423 5.6% 10.0% 7.5% 31
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