⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs
CIN
@ 7:40p
CHC
Wrigley Field · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.06×
Weather Mod
-2.0%
cold air · light wind out · roof open
Combined
0.851
Temp
49.0°F
Wind
5.0 mph
out
Roof
open
Jameson Taillon
Jameson Taillon RHP 💥 Meltdown
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Nathaniel Lowe Nathaniel Lowe 72 🟡 B · 🌤️ WARM 1 0.319 91.3 · 41.7% 391 33.3% 37.5% 38.9% 30
2 Elly De La Cruz Elly De La Cruz 63 🔵 C+ · · 4 0.299 94.4 · 23.8% 394 19.4% 18.2% 36.8% 31
3 Sal Stewart Sal Stewart 53 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 21 0.308 91.3 · 25.0% 391 5.6% 9.1% 26.5% 40
4 Spencer Steer Spencer Steer 50 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 32 0.218 90.3 · 9.1% 396 9.7% 9.1% 22.3% 32
5 Ke'Bryan Hayes Ke'Bryan Hayes 41 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 58 0.082 91.8 · 0.0% 363 13.3% 20.0% 14.2% 22
6 TJ Friedl TJ Friedl 38 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 79 0.071 87.8 · 10.0% 364 6.7% 20.0% 12.6% 30
7 Eugenio Suárez Eugenio Suárez 34 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 114 0.132 84.8 · 18.2% 397 6.7% 0.0% 15.6% 6
8 Matt McLain Matt McLain 32 ⚪ D · · 126 0.114 87.5 · 4.3% 420 3.2% 9.1% 12.7% 30
9 Tyler Stephenson Tyler Stephenson 28 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 160 0.103 93.5 · 10.5% 379 3.6% 0.0% 11.1% 20
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Seiya Suzuki Seiya Suzuki 60 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 9 0.239 90.6 · 35.7% 404 13.6% 42.9% 35.0% 35
2 Ian Happ Ian Happ 48 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 38 0.230 89.3 · 21.4% 397 26.5% 15.4% 22.6% 32
3 Dansby Swanson Dansby Swanson 46 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 43 0.225 90.5 · 33.3% 393 17.6% 7.7% 20.4% 32
4 Pete Crow-Armstrong Pete Crow-Armstrong 40 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 65 0.098 91.7 · 12.5% 385 9.1% 16.7% 13.3% 32
5 Michael Busch Michael Busch 36 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 94 0.091 86.2 · 11.1% 398 5.9% 15.4% 11.5% 36
6 Nico Hoerner Nico Hoerner 35 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 110 0.162 86.4 · 28.6% 383 11.8% 7.7% 14.2% 48
7 Matt Shaw Matt Shaw 33 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 124 0.160 86.8 · 25.0% 357 13.8% 8.3% 13.3% 19
8 Alex Bregman Alex Bregman 29 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 158 0.116 89.6 · 14.3% 395 6.2% 7.7% 9.1% 41
9 Carson Kelly Carson Kelly 27 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 164 0.133 91.6 · 28.6% 414 6.2% 0.0% 10.7% 27
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