CIN
@
7:40p
CHC
Park Factor
1.06×
Weather Mod
-2.0%
cold air · light wind out · roof open
Combined
0.851
Temp
49.0°F
Wind
5.0 mph
out
Roof
open
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Nathaniel Lowe | 72 | 🟡 B | · | 🌤️ WARM | 1 | 0.319 | 91.3 | · | 41.7% | 391 | 33.3% | 37.5% | 38.9% | 30 |
| 2 |
|
Elly De La Cruz | 63 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 4 | 0.299 | 94.4 | · | 23.8% | 394 | 19.4% | 18.2% | 36.8% | 31 |
| 3 |
|
Sal Stewart | 53 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 21 | 0.308 | 91.3 | · | 25.0% | 391 | 5.6% | 9.1% | 26.5% | 40 |
| 4 |
|
Spencer Steer | 50 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 32 | 0.218 | 90.3 | · | 9.1% | 396 | 9.7% | 9.1% | 22.3% | 32 |
| 5 |
|
Ke'Bryan Hayes | 41 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 58 | 0.082 | 91.8 | · | 0.0% | 363 | 13.3% | 20.0% | 14.2% | 22 |
| 6 |
|
TJ Friedl | 38 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 79 | 0.071 | 87.8 | · | 10.0% | 364 | 6.7% | 20.0% | 12.6% | 30 |
| 7 |
|
Eugenio Suárez | 34 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 114 | 0.132 | 84.8 | · | 18.2% | 397 | 6.7% | 0.0% | 15.6% | 6 |
| 8 |
|
Matt McLain | 32 | ⚪ D | · | · | 126 | 0.114 | 87.5 | · | 4.3% | 420 | 3.2% | 9.1% | 12.7% | 30 |
| 9 |
|
Tyler Stephenson | 28 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 160 | 0.103 | 93.5 | · | 10.5% | 379 | 3.6% | 0.0% | 11.1% | 20 |
Andrew Abbott
LHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Seiya Suzuki | 60 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 9 | 0.239 | 90.6 | · | 35.7% | 404 | 13.6% | 42.9% | 35.0% | 35 |
| 2 |
|
Ian Happ | 48 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 38 | 0.230 | 89.3 | · | 21.4% | 397 | 26.5% | 15.4% | 22.6% | 32 |
| 3 |
|
Dansby Swanson | 46 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 43 | 0.225 | 90.5 | · | 33.3% | 393 | 17.6% | 7.7% | 20.4% | 32 |
| 4 |
|
Pete Crow-Armstrong | 40 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 65 | 0.098 | 91.7 | · | 12.5% | 385 | 9.1% | 16.7% | 13.3% | 32 |
| 5 |
|
Michael Busch | 36 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 94 | 0.091 | 86.2 | · | 11.1% | 398 | 5.9% | 15.4% | 11.5% | 36 |
| 6 |
|
Nico Hoerner | 35 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 110 | 0.162 | 86.4 | · | 28.6% | 383 | 11.8% | 7.7% | 14.2% | 48 |
| 7 |
|
Matt Shaw | 33 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 124 | 0.160 | 86.8 | · | 25.0% | 357 | 13.8% | 8.3% | 13.3% | 19 |
| 8 |
|
Alex Bregman | 29 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 158 | 0.116 | 89.6 | · | 14.3% | 395 | 6.2% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 41 |
| 9 |
|
Carson Kelly | 27 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 164 | 0.133 | 91.6 | · | 28.6% | 414 | 6.2% | 0.0% | 10.7% | 27 |