⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs
BOS
@ 2:15p
STL
Busch Stadium · 17 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.87×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
cool air · steady crosswind · roof open
Combined
0.867
Temp
62.4°F
Wind
9.0 mph
cross
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Wilyer Abreu Wilyer Abreu 53 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 40 0.223 90.9 7.9% 0.0% 372 23.1% 18.2% 1.9% 35
2 Willson Contreras Willson Contreras 42 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 75 0.190 90.2 6.3% 0.0% 393 8.3% 9.1% 1.9% 29
3 Jarren Duran Jarren Duran 40 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 84 0.185 87.3 4.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 0.8% 24
4 Ceddanne Rafaela Ceddanne Rafaela 37 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 94 0.165 87.2 5.4% 0.0% 337 8.3% 10.0% 0.7% 24
5 Roman Anthony Roman Anthony 34 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 111 0.171 90.1 6.1% 0.0% 391 8.3% 10.0% 1.2% 26
6 Trevor Story Trevor Story 29 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 136 0.170 88.4 4.6% 0.0% 402 7.7% 0.0% 1.2% 36
7 Marcelo Mayer Marcelo Mayer 29 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 137 0.173 93.0 7.3% 0.0% 385 0.0% 0.0% 1.1% 20
8 Caleb Durbin Caleb Durbin 19 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 164 0.130 85.7 0.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 0.5% 29
9 Connor Wong Connor Wong 18 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 168 0.048 87.3 5.5% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 8
Brayan Bello
Brayan Bello RHP 💥 Meltdown
8 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Jordan Walker Jordan Walker 41 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 80 0.091 98.3 8.6% 0.0% 417 33.3% 50.0% 0.0% 28
2 Nolan Gorman Nolan Gorman 32 ⚪ D · · 119 0.165 86.3 5.6% 0.0% 431 9.1% 11.1% 1.7% 22
3 Ramón Urías Ramón Urías 30 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 133 0.142 96.0 10.4% 0.0% 412 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 17
4 Alec Burleson Alec Burleson 29 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 138 0.169 92.6 6.5% 0.0% 432 7.7% 0.0% 0.8% 38
5 Iván Herrera Iván Herrera 25 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 155 0.180 88.6 4.9% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 32
6 Thomas Saggese Thomas Saggese 20 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 162 0.084 85.8 5.1% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 24
7 José Fermín José Fermín 15 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 171 0.133 87.5 0.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 6
8 Victor Scott II Victor Scott II 11 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 172 0.080 87.6 0.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 0.3% 26
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