BOS
@
2:15p
STL
Park Factor
0.87×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
cool air · steady crosswind · roof open
Combined
0.867
Temp
62.4°F
Wind
9.0 mph
cross
Roof
open
Andre Pallante
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Wilyer Abreu | 53 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 40 | 0.223 | 90.9 | 7.9% | 0.0% | 372 | 23.1% | 18.2% | 1.9% | 35 |
| 2 |
|
Willson Contreras | 42 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 75 | 0.190 | 90.2 | 6.3% | 0.0% | 393 | 8.3% | 9.1% | 1.9% | 29 |
| 3 |
|
Jarren Duran | 40 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 84 | 0.185 | 87.3 | 4.0% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.8% | 24 |
| 4 |
|
Ceddanne Rafaela | 37 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 94 | 0.165 | 87.2 | 5.4% | 0.0% | 337 | 8.3% | 10.0% | 0.7% | 24 |
| 5 |
|
Roman Anthony | 34 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 111 | 0.171 | 90.1 | 6.1% | 0.0% | 391 | 8.3% | 10.0% | 1.2% | 26 |
| 6 |
|
Trevor Story | 29 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 136 | 0.170 | 88.4 | 4.6% | 0.0% | 402 | 7.7% | 0.0% | 1.2% | 36 |
| 7 |
|
Marcelo Mayer ⚡ | 29 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 137 | 0.173 | 93.0 | 7.3% | 0.0% | 385 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.1% | 20 |
| 8 |
|
Caleb Durbin | 19 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 164 | 0.130 | 85.7 | 0.0% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 29 |
| 9 |
|
Connor Wong | 18 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 168 | 0.048 | 87.3 | 5.5% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8 |
8 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Jordan Walker | 41 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 80 | 0.091 | 98.3 | 8.6% | 0.0% | 417 | 33.3% | 50.0% | 0.0% | 28 |
| 2 |
|
Nolan Gorman | 32 | ⚪ D | · | · | 119 | 0.165 | 86.3 | 5.6% | 0.0% | 431 | 9.1% | 11.1% | 1.7% | 22 |
| 3 |
|
Ramón Urías | 30 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 133 | 0.142 | 96.0 | 10.4% | 0.0% | 412 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 17 |
| 4 |
|
Alec Burleson | 29 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 138 | 0.169 | 92.6 | 6.5% | 0.0% | 432 | 7.7% | 0.0% | 0.8% | 38 |
| 5 |
|
Iván Herrera | 25 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 155 | 0.180 | 88.6 | 4.9% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 32 |
| 6 |
|
Thomas Saggese | 20 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 162 | 0.084 | 85.8 | 5.1% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 24 |
| 7 |
|
José Fermín | 15 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 171 | 0.133 | 87.5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6 |
| 8 |
|
Victor Scott II | 11 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 172 | 0.080 | 87.6 | 0.0% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 26 |